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Events
GroupKALSHI
Texas Senate winner? (2030)
Texas Senate winner? (2030)
Vol

K 0 contracts

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Events

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Markets

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Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Republican party at 74.5%.

Kalshi

  1. Republican party74.5%
  2. Democratic party25%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

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Reported volume · provider units

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Related prediction markets

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiElections
Texas Senate margin of victory

Texas Senate margin of victory

K 8.04M contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 5 percentage points?Yes >99.9%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 4.5 percentage points?Yes 99.9%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 99.9%
+22 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many Texas counties will James Talarico win in 2026?

How many Texas counties will James Talarico win in 2026?

K 40.8K contracts
Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 32 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?Yes 99.5%
Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 30 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?Yes 99.5%
Will the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico be at least 28 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election?Yes 99.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas Senate General Election: voter turnout

Texas Senate General Election: voter turnout

K 299.2K contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas Senate General Election be above 8200000?Yes 99.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas Senate General Election be above 8800000?Yes 99.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas Senate General Election be above 9400000?Yes 99.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Tarrant County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent

Tarrant County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent

K 13.1K contracts
Will James Talarico receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Tarrant County, Texas?Yes 97.5%
Will James Talarico receive at least 53% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Tarrant County, Texas?Yes 97.5%
Will James Talarico receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Tarrant County, Texas?Yes 97.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas Senate election: James Talarico vote percent

Texas Senate election: James Talarico vote percent

K 64.1K contracts
Will James Talarico receive at least 49% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 99.5%
Will James Talarico receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 99.5%
Will James Talarico receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 99.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas Senate election: Ken Paxton vote percent

Texas Senate election: Ken Paxton vote percent

K 51.2K contracts
Will Ken Paxton receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 98%
Will Ken Paxton receive at least 49% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 3.5%
Will Ken Paxton receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 3.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

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