Market snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. This snapshot is older than six hours. Check the provider for current prices and availability.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Kansas Republican Senate nominee? (2028)

Reported volume

K 9.5K contracts

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Markets

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Kansas Republican Senate nominee? (2028)

Vol

K 9.5K contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Jerry Moran at 82.5%.

Kalshi

Jerry Moran82.5%
Derek Schmidt4%
Philip Sarnecki2.9%
Tracey Mann2.7%
Roger Marshall2.4%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

10 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Jerry Moran be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Kansas?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Jerry Moran be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Kansas?	Kalshi	82.5%
Will Derek Schmidt be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Kansas?	Kalshi	4.0%
Will Philip Sarnecki be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Kansas?	Kalshi	2.9%
Will Tracey Mann be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Kansas?	Kalshi	2.7%
Will Roger Marshall be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Kansas?	Kalshi	2.4%
Will Kris Kobach be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Kansas?	Kalshi	2.3%
Will Ty Masterson be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Kansas?	Kalshi	2.3%
Will Ron Estes be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Kansas?	Kalshi	2.3%
Will Vicki Schmidt be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Kansas?	Kalshi	0.9%
Will Scott Schwab be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Kansas?	Kalshi	0.9%

Rules & Resolution

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AI Analysis

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K 9.5K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Kansas (R) If X wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class III Kansas Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market will close after X wins the party's nomination.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Kansas Republican Senate nominee? (2028)
Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 9.5K contracts
Coverage: 10 of 10 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Philip Sarnecki be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Kansas?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSENATENOM-KSR-28-PSAR; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom-ksr-28
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.0K contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.1%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Philip Sarnecki wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class III Kansas Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. Early close condition: This market will close after Philip Sarnecki wins the party's nomination.

Contract: Will Vicki Schmidt be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Kansas?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSENATENOM-KSR-28-VSCH; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom-ksr-28
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.0K contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.1%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Vicki Schmidt wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class III Kansas Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. Early close condition: This market will close after Vicki Schmidt wins the party's nomination.

Contract: Will Scott Schwab be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Kansas?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSENATENOM-KSR-28-SSCH; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom-ksr-28
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.0K contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.1%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Scott Schwab wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class III Kansas Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. Early close condition: This market will close after Scott Schwab wins the party's nomination.

Contract: Will Roger Marshall be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Kansas?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSENATENOM-KSR-28-RMAR; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom-ksr-28
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.0K contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.7%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Roger Marshall wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class III Kansas Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. Early close condition: This market will close after Roger Marshall wins the party's nomination.

Contract: Will Ty Masterson be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Kansas?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSENATENOM-KSR-28-TMAS; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom-ksr-28
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.0K contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Ty Masterson wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class III Kansas Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. Early close condition: This market will close after Ty Masterson wins the party's nomination.

Contract: Will Kris Kobach be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Kansas?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSENATENOM-KSR-28-KKOB; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom-ksr-28
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 500 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.7%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Kris Kobach wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class III Kansas Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. Early close condition: This market will close after Kris Kobach wins the party's nomination.

Contract: Will Ron Estes be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Kansas?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSENATENOM-KSR-28-REST; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom-ksr-28
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.0K contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Ron Estes wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class III Kansas Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. Early close condition: This market will close after Ron Estes wins the party's nomination.

Contract: Will Derek Schmidt be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Kansas?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSENATENOM-KSR-28-DSCH; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom-ksr-28
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.0K contracts
Outcome Yes: 4.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Derek Schmidt wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class III Kansas Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. Early close condition: This market will close after Derek Schmidt wins the party's nomination.

Contract: Will Tracey Mann be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Kansas?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSENATENOM-KSR-28-TMAN; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom-ksr-28
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.0K contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.7%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.3%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Tracey Mann wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class III Kansas Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. Early close condition: This market will close after Tracey Mann wins the party's nomination.

Contract: Will Jerry Moran be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Kansas?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSENATENOM-KSR-28-JMOR; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom-ksr-28
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.0K contracts
Outcome Yes: 82.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 17.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Jerry Moran wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class III Kansas Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. Early close condition: This market will close after Jerry Moran wins the party's nomination.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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KALSHIElections