Market snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. This snapshot is older than six hours. Check the provider for current prices and availability.

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Event GroupKALSHIElections

Tennessee Republican Senate nominee? (2028)

Reported volume

K 2.8K contracts

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Markets

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Tennessee Republican Senate nominee? (2028)

Vol

K 2.8K contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Glenn Jacobs at 35.5%.

Kalshi

Glenn Jacobs35.5%
Tim Burchett33.5%
Damon Hininger6.2%
Chuck Fleischmann5.3%
Stuart McWhorter4.3%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

12 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Glenn Jacobs be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Tennessee?

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Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Glenn Jacobs be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Tennessee?	Kalshi	35.5%
Will Tim Burchett be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Tennessee?	Kalshi	33.5%
Will Damon Hininger be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Tennessee?	Kalshi	6.2%
Will Chuck Fleischmann be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Tennessee?	Kalshi	5.3%
Will Stuart McWhorter be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Tennessee?	Kalshi	4.3%
Will Andy Ogles be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Tennessee?	Kalshi	3.6%
Will John Rose be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Tennessee?	Kalshi	3.6%
Will Monty Fritts be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Tennessee?	Kalshi	3.4%
Will Cameron Sexton be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Tennessee?	Kalshi	3.3%
Will Jack Johnson be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Tennessee?	Kalshi	3.0%
Will Diana Harshbarger be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Tennessee?	Kalshi	2.8%
Will Matt Van Epps be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Tennessee?	Kalshi	2.6%

Rules & Resolution

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K 2.8K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Tennessee (R) If X wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class I Tennessee Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market will close after X wins the party's nomination.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Tennessee Republican Senate nominee? (2028)
Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 2.8K contracts
Coverage: 12 of 12 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Monty Fritts be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Tennessee?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSENATENOM-TNR-28-MFRI; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom-tnr-28
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 240 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.7%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Monty Fritts wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class I Tennessee Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. Early close condition: This market will close after Monty Fritts wins the party's nomination.

Contract: Will Matt Van Epps be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Tennessee?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSENATENOM-TNR-28-MEPP; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom-tnr-28
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 260 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.6%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.4%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Matt Van Epps wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class I Tennessee Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. Early close condition: This market will close after Matt Van Epps wins the party's nomination.

Contract: Will John Rose be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Tennessee?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSENATENOM-TNR-28-JROS; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom-tnr-28
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 260 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.6%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If John Rose wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class I Tennessee Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. Early close condition: This market will close after John Rose wins the party's nomination.

Contract: Will Diana Harshbarger be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Tennessee?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSENATENOM-TNR-28-DHAR; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom-tnr-28
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 220 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.8%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.3%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Diana Harshbarger wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class I Tennessee Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. Early close condition: This market will close after Diana Harshbarger wins the party's nomination.

Contract: Will Tim Burchett be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Tennessee?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSENATENOM-TNR-28-TBUR; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom-tnr-28
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 185 contracts
Outcome Yes: 33.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 66.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Tim Burchett wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class I Tennessee Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. Early close condition: This market will close after Tim Burchett wins the party's nomination.

Contract: Will Stuart McWhorter be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Tennessee?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSENATENOM-TNR-28-SMCW; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom-tnr-28
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 180 contracts
Outcome Yes: 4.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.7%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Stuart McWhorter wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class I Tennessee Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. Early close condition: This market will close after Stuart McWhorter wins the party's nomination.

Contract: Will Jack Johnson be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Tennessee?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSENATENOM-TNR-28-JJOH; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom-tnr-28
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 260 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Jack Johnson wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class I Tennessee Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. Early close condition: This market will close after Jack Johnson wins the party's nomination.

Contract: Will Glenn Jacobs be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Tennessee?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSENATENOM-TNR-28-GJAC; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom-tnr-28
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 222.29 contracts
Outcome Yes: 35.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 64.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Glenn Jacobs wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class I Tennessee Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. Early close condition: This market will close after Glenn Jacobs wins the party's nomination.

Contract: Will Damon Hininger be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Tennessee?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSENATENOM-TNR-28-DHIN; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom-tnr-28
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 220 contracts
Outcome Yes: 6.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 93.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Damon Hininger wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class I Tennessee Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. Early close condition: This market will close after Damon Hininger wins the party's nomination.

Contract: Will Cameron Sexton be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Tennessee?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSENATENOM-TNR-28-CSEX; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom-tnr-28
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 220 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Cameron Sexton wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class I Tennessee Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. Early close condition: This market will close after Cameron Sexton wins the party's nomination.

Contract: Will Chuck Fleischmann be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Tennessee?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSENATENOM-TNR-28-CFLE; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom-tnr-28
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 220 contracts
Outcome Yes: 5.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.7%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Chuck Fleischmann wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class I Tennessee Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. Early close condition: This market will close after Chuck Fleischmann wins the party's nomination.

Contract: Will Andy Ogles be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Tennessee?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSENATENOM-TNR-28-AOGL; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom-tnr-28
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 280 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.6%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.4%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Andy Ogles wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class I Tennessee Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. Early close condition: This market will close after Andy Ogles wins the party's nomination.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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KALSHIElections