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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?

Name: UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?
End: 2027-03-01T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$52.26K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?

Vol

$52.26K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $52.26K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $52.26K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?	Poly	55%
Will Mateusz Gamrot fight Max Holloway next?	Poly	50%
Will Paddy Pimblett fight Max Holloway next?	Poly	46%
Will Justin Gaethje fight Max Holloway next?	Poly	40%
Will Maurício Ruffy fight Max Holloway next?	Poly	35%
Will Dan Hooker fight Max Holloway next?	Poly	35%
Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Max Holloway next?	Poly	33%
Will Alexander Volkanovski fight Max Holloway next?	Poly	31%
Will Ilia Topuria fight Max Holloway next?	Poly	2%
Will Benoît Saint Denis fight Max Holloway next?	Poly	1%
Will Islam Makhachev fight Max Holloway next?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

55%

Top Probability

$52.26K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other uno

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, August 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 1, 2027 (200 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other uno

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Onl"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $52.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.7K
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 30.42)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Ilia Topuria fight Max Holloway next?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $543
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Justin Gaethje fight Max Holloway next?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $500
  DATA: [Yes: 39.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.1% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Islam Makhachev fight Max Holloway next?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $490
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Dan Hooker fight Max Holloway next?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $20.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 34.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.2% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Alexander Volkanovski fight Max Holloway next?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $826
  DATA: [Yes: 30.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.2% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Max Holloway next?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $520
  DATA: [Yes: 32.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.2% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Benoît Saint Denis fight Max Holloway next?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $401
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Paddy Pimblett fight Max Holloway next?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $493
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Mateusz Gamrot fight Max Holloway next?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 49.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.4% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Maurício Ruffy fight Max Holloway next?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $20.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 35.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.8% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $2.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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