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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?
Vol

PM $5.6K

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Events

1

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Markets

12

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $5.6K

Reported volume · provider units

12

Saved contracts

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to the AI lab with the second highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026. A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used. This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026 once the figures for the week of October 26, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of October 26, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on October 30, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other". The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 2nd after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketTech
#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?

PM $8.3K
Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Yes 50%
Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Yes 49.5%
Will Xiaomi have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Yes 1.6%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?

PM $3.7K
Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Yes 87.5%
Will Google have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Yes 5.3%
Will OpenAI have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Yes 4.8%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

PM $62.3K
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 52%
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 26.5%
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 20%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
OpenRouter token usage week of October 19?

OpenRouter token usage week of October 19?

PM $4.9K
Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 19?Yes 52%
Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 19?Yes 22.5%
Will OpenRouter process less than 165T tokens the week of October 19?Yes 20.6%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
How many Codex resets week of October 19?

How many Codex resets week of October 19?

PM $7.06
Will there be exactly 1 Codex weekly usage limit reset in the week of October 19?Yes 45.5%
Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 19?Yes 45.5%
Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 19?Yes 45.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

PM $299.0K · K 62.0K contracts

Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Xiaomi)

Related contracts

PM Yes 54.6%Rules differK Yes 78%

Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Top Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Xiaomi)

Related contracts

PM Yes 54.6%Rules differK Yes 38.5%

Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?

Kalshi: Top Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Xiaomi)

Related contracts

PM Yes 22%Rules differK Yes 38.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

28 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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