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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

FL-26 House Election Winner

FL-26 House Election Winner
Vol

PM $98.0K

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Events

1

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Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Mario Díaz-Balart (R) at 84%.

Polymarket

  1. Mario Díaz-Balart (R)84%
  2. Nicole Locklin (D)15.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $98.0K

Reported volume · provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
FL-24 House election: Te Mayonna Brown vote percent

FL-24 House election: Te Mayonna Brown vote percent

K 1.4K contracts
Will Te Mayonna Brown receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-24 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Te Mayonna Brown receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-24 House election?Yes 96%
Will Te Mayonna Brown receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-24 House election?Yes 87.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-20 House election: Brent Andersen vote percent

FL-20 House election: Brent Andersen vote percent

K 1.1K contracts
Will Brent Andersen receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-20 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Brent Andersen receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-20 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Brent Andersen receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-20 House election?Yes 88%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
FL-23 House Election Margin of Victory

FL-23 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $42.6K · K 21.4K contracts

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-23 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for FL-23?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 96%Rules differK Yes 95.6%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-23 House election?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for FL-23?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.4%Rules differK Yes 4.1%

Will the Republican Party win the FL-23 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for FL-23?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 4.1%Rules differK Yes 4.1%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida 26 House General Election: voter turnout

Florida 26 House General Election: voter turnout

K 401.36 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida 26 House General Election be above 190000?Yes 91%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida 26 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 85%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida 26 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 78%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-20 House Election Margin of Victory

FL-20 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $30.3K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-20 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 29.3%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-20 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 19%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-20 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 18.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-24 House Election Margin of Victory

FL-24 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $24.4K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 32%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 30.6%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 55% or more?Yes 24%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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