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S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?
Vol

PM $661.56

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Events

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Markets

1

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $661.56

Reported volume ยท provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, October 22, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, October 22, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketFinance
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 22?

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 22?

PM $0
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 22?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 22?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 22?

PM $521.12
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on October 22?Yes 97.4%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 22?Yes 97%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 22?Yes 96%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?

PM $178.9K
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 in October?Yes 81%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October?Yes 67%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in October?Yes 40.6%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 19 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 19 2026?

PM $34.4K
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 75.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 62.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 61.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

PM $426.9K
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December?Yes 57.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (LOW) in December?Yes 49.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?Yes 34.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on October 22?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on October 22?

PM $344.13
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on October 22?Yes 94%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on October 22?Yes 87%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on October 22?Yes 79.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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