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What will Airbnb say during their next earnings call?

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What will Airbnb say during their next earnings call?

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12 markets tracked

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Service Agent)

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Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Service Agent)	Kalshi	86%
What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Domestic)	Kalshi	84%
What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (World Cup)	Kalshi	82%
What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Take Rate)	Kalshi	78%
What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (International)	Kalshi	77%
What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Boutique)	Kalshi	75%
What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Headwind)	Kalshi	74%
What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Social Media)	Kalshi	73%
What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Tailwind)	Kalshi	68%
What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Home Sharing)	Kalshi	54%
What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Acquisition)	Kalshi	43%
What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (China)	Kalshi	26%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

86%

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About This Event

On May 7, 2026 If X is said by any Airbnb, Inc. representative, including the operator of the call, during the next Airbnb, Inc. earnings call, including the Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes. Video of the Airbnb, Inc. earnings call will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Airbnb, Inc. earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plura

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will Airbnb say during their next earnings call?
**Category:** Mentions | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On May 7, 2026

If X is said by any Airbnb, Inc. representative, including the operator of the call, during the next Airbnb, Inc. earnings call, including the Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes. Video of the Airbnb, Inc. earnings call will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Airbnb, Inc. earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plura

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If World Cup is said by any Airbnb, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Airbnb, Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Video of the Airbnb, Inc. earnings call will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a co"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (World Cup)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 82.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Take Rate)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 78.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Tailwind)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 67.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Social Media)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 72.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Service Agent)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 86.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (International)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 77.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Home Sharing)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Headwind)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 74.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Domestic)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 83.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (China)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Boutique)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 75.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Acquisition)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIMentions

What will Airbnb say during their next earnings call?

Volume$0.00

Markets12

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KALSHI

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Service Agent)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 86.0¢No 14.0¢

KALSHICompanies

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Service Agent)

If Service Agent is said by any Airbnb, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Airbnb, Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Video of the Airbnb, Inc. earnings call will be primarily used to resolve the market; if

KALSHI

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Domestic)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 83.5¢No 16.5¢

KALSHICompanies

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Domestic)

If Domestic is said by any Airbnb, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Airbnb, Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Video of the Airbnb, Inc. earnings call will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a con

KALSHI

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (World Cup)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 82.0¢No 18.0¢

KALSHISports

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (World Cup)

If World Cup is said by any Airbnb, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Airbnb, Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Video of the Airbnb, Inc. earnings call will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a co

KALSHI

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Take Rate)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 78.0¢No 22.0¢

KALSHICompanies

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Take Rate)

If Take Rate is said by any Airbnb, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Airbnb, Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Video of the Airbnb, Inc. earnings call will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a co

KALSHI

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (International)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 77.5¢No 22.5¢

KALSHICompanies

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (International)

If International is said by any Airbnb, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Airbnb, Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Video of the Airbnb, Inc. earnings call will be primarily used to resolve the market; if

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What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Service Agent)

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Events (1)

What will Airbnb say during their next earnings call?

Markets (12)

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Service Agent)

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Service Agent)

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Domestic)

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Domestic)

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (World Cup)

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (World Cup)

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Take Rate)

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Take Rate)

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (International)

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (International)

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What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Service Agent)

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What will Airbnb say during their next earnings call?

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Service Agent)

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Service Agent)

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Domestic)

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Domestic)

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (World Cup)

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (World Cup)

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Take Rate)

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Take Rate)

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (International)

What will Airbnb, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (International)

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