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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?
Vol

PM $18.2K

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Events

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Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is December 31 at 33.5%.

Polymarket

  1. December 3133.5%
  2. October 315%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $18.2K

Reported volume ยท provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?

When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?

K 7.8K contracts
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before January 01, 2027?Yes 20.5%
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 01, 2026?Yes 5.5%
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before November 01, 2026?Yes 1.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?

Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?

PM $6.7K
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by December 31?Yes 23%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?

When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?

K 7.3K contracts
Will a reconciliation bill passed the Senate before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 24%
Will a reconciliation bill passed the Senate before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 4%
Will a reconciliation bill passed the Senate before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 1%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the House pass a cap on federal student loan interest rates?

Will the House pass a cap on federal student loan interest rates?

K 0 contracts
Will a bill capping federal student loan interest rates passed the House before Jan 3, 2027?Yes 11%
Will a bill capping federal student loan interest rates passed the House before Dec 12, 2026?Yes 8%
2 mktsNext deadline Dec 12, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MA-09 House election: Bill Keating vote percent

MA-09 House election: Bill Keating vote percent

K 2.1K contracts
Will Bill Keating receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-09 House election?Yes 97%
Will Bill Keating receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-09 House election?Yes 96%
Will Bill Keating receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-09 House election?Yes 93%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MI-04 House election: Bill Huizenga vote percent

MI-04 House election: Bill Huizenga vote percent

K 0 contracts
Will Bill Huizenga receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-04 House election?Yes 90%
Will Bill Huizenga receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-04 House election?Yes 77%
Will Bill Huizenga receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-04 House election?Yes 58%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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