Skip to main content
Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?

Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?
Vol

PM $6.7K

|
Events

1

|
Markets

1

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is December 31 at 23%.

Polymarket

  1. December 3123%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $6.7K

Reported volume ยท provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?

When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?

K 7.3K contracts
Will a reconciliation bill passed the Senate before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 24.5%
Will a reconciliation bill passed the Senate before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 4%
Will a reconciliation bill passed the Senate before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 1%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

PM $18.2K
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by December 31?Yes 35.5%
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by October 31?Yes 4.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?

When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?

K 7.8K contracts
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before January 01, 2027?Yes 20.5%
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 01, 2026?Yes 5.5%
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before November 01, 2026?Yes 1.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Tennessee Senate election: Bill Hagerty vote percent

Tennessee Senate election: Bill Hagerty vote percent

K 2.0K contracts
Will Bill Hagerty receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Tennessee Senate election?Yes 96.5%
Will Bill Hagerty receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Tennessee Senate election?Yes 96%
Will Bill Hagerty receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Tennessee Senate election?Yes 94%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

K 188.5K contracts
How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)? (Above 55)Yes 6%
How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)? (Above 66)Yes 5.5%
How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)? (Above 64)Yes 5.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will a reconciliation bill become law?

When will a reconciliation bill become law?

K 1.2K contracts
Will a reconciliation bill become law before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 38.5%
Will a reconciliation bill become law before Jul 1, 2028?Yes 31.5%
Will a reconciliation bill become law before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 30.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

Trade This Market