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GroupPOLYMARKET

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Nevada?

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Nevada?
Vol

PM $20.8K

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Events

1

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Markets

5

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 3 at 70.5%.

Polymarket

  1. 370.5%
  2. 422.5%
  3. 24.7%
  4. 11.9%
  5. 00.7%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $20.8K

Reported volume · provider units

5

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Nevada in the 2026 United States midterm election. All Nevada US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
Where will Democrats win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?

Where will Democrats win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?

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Will the number of Washington State Senate seats held by Democrats be at least 33 after the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 50%
Will the number of Washington House of Representatives seats held by Democrats be at least 66 after the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 50%
Will the number of Vermont Senate seats held by Democrats be at least 20 after the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 50%
+21 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Democrats win in Nevada?

How many House seats will Democrats win in Nevada?

K 37.9K contracts
Will Democrats win exactly 3 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Nevada?Yes 71%
Will Democrats win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Nevada?Yes 23.5%
Will Democrats win fewer than 2 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Nevada?Yes 3%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Democrats win in California?

How many House seats will Democrats win in California?

PM $29.0K · K 27.1K contracts

Will Democrats win exactly 48 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?

Kalshi: Will Democrats win exactly 48 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 78%Rules differK Yes 77.5%

Will Democrats win exactly 47 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?

Kalshi: Will Democrats win exactly 47 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 12%Rules differK Yes 11.5%

Will Democrats win 49 or more House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?

Kalshi: Will Democrats win exactly 49 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California?

Related contracts

PM Yes 5.2%Rules differK Yes 1.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

7 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Democrats win in New York?

How many House seats will Democrats win in New York?

K 36.6K contracts
Will Democrats win exactly 20 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?Yes 38.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 19 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?Yes 31%
Will Democrats win exactly 21 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York?Yes 13%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
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How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?

PM $13.8K
Will Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 16%
Will Democrats win 12 or more House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 14%
Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 12.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Democrats win in Florida?

How many House seats will Democrats win in Florida?

K 4.9K contracts
Will Democrats win 7 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Florida?Yes 16.5%
Will Democrats win more than 10 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Florida?Yes 15.5%
Will Democrats win 8 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Florida?Yes 12.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

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