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Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?

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Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?

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Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Boston)

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Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Boston)	Kalshi	35%
Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Denver)	Kalshi	33%
Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Philadelphia)	Kalshi	23%
Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Atlanta)	Kalshi	6%
Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Chicago)	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

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35%

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About This Event

In 2028 If X hosts the 2028 Democratic national convention, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2028

If X hosts the 2028 Democratic national convention, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Philadelphia hosts the 2028 Democratic national convention, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Philadelphia)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Denver)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Chicago)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Boston)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Atlanta)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.6% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?

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KALSHI

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Boston)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 35.0¢No 65.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Boston)

If Boston hosts the 2028 Democratic national convention, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Denver)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 33.0¢No 67.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Denver)

If Denver hosts the 2028 Democratic national convention, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Philadelphia)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 23.0¢No 77.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Philadelphia)

If Philadelphia hosts the 2028 Democratic national convention, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Atlanta)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.4¢No 93.6¢

KALSHIPolitics

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Atlanta)

If Atlanta hosts the 2028 Democratic national convention, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Chicago)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Chicago)

If Chicago hosts the 2028 Democratic national convention, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/qv55UE" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?"></iframe>

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Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?

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Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Boston)

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?

Markets (5)

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Boston)

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Boston)

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Denver)

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Denver)

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Philadelphia)

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Philadelphia)

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Atlanta)

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Atlanta)

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Chicago)

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Chicago)

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Boston)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Boston)

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Boston)

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Denver)

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Denver)

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Philadelphia)

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Philadelphia)

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Atlanta)

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Atlanta)

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Chicago)

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? (Chicago)

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Discussion

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