Market snapshot: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform

Event GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform18 EventsPolitics

AR-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Reported volume

PM $578.5K · K 1.27M contracts

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

AR-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Vol

PM $578.5K · K 1.27M contracts

Events

Markets

Polymarket Kalshi

Polymarket vs Kalshi

Snapshot from Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

As of Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, Brad Finstad is priced at 61.5% on Polymarket and 60% on Kalshi.

Outcome (Yes price)	Polymarket	Kalshi	Gap
Brad FinstadSame question, fine print differs	61.5%	60%	1.5 pts
Jake JohnsonSame question, fine print differs	40%	40%	0.0 pts

Yes prices for outcomes an automated review found to ask the same question on both platforms. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

20 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 30%-35%?

No data available

Include related or unreviewed contracts

No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with usable prices. You can inspect related contracts, but their prices do not measure the same outcome.

Market	Polymarket	Kalshi	Diff

Single-Platform Markets(18)

Rules & Resolution

Differs

Saved matching review

Same question, fine print differs: 10 pairs

Related contracts: 23 pairs

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

Review notes

Saved notes may describe earlier contract terms. Use the pair status above and current provider rules.

This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 2 same question with differing fine print, 0 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "IN-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "IN-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

The saved review identifies different resolution rules.

The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "OR-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "IN-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "UT-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "IN-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 1 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "AR-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "AR-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "AR-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "OR-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 2 same question with differing fine print, 0 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "AR-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "AR-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "MA-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "OR-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "MN-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "OR-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "NE-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "OR-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "NY-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "OR-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "OR-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "OR-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 2 same question with differing fine print, 0 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "MA-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "MA-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 2 same question with differing fine print, 0 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "MN-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "MN-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 2 same question with differing fine print, 0 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "NE-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "NE-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "NE-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "NE-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "NY-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "NY-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "UT-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "UT-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $578.5K · K 1.27M contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

The 2026 AR-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 AR-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Snapshot observed 2026-11-03T09:00:06.018Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The Polymarket AR-01 margin event resolves on the gap between the top two candidates. Its rules define margin as "the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates" [4]. A value that "falls exactly between two brackets" resolves to the higher bracket [4]. Resolution depends on the official vote count, with "Other" used if results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET [4]. That date is a rule fallback, not an announced event date.

The Kalshi AR-01 winner contract measures something different. It resolves on the House member "sworn in for AR-01 for the term beginning in 2027" [3]. It can be determined early after "a consensus of media organizations project the winner" [3]. Its listed end time is not supplied in the excerpt, though the market data shows an end date of 2027-11-03 15:00 UTC.

The supplied excerpts do not include the rule text for the Polymarket AR-01 winner event, so its resolution terms cannot be compared directly.

Reading the snapshot

The provider data was observed at 2026-11-03 09:00:06 UTC and retrieved at 11:07:56 UTC. These are the times of this snapshot, not a live feed. Prices are snapshot values, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.

All ten Polymarket margin brackets are included, with no partial sample flagged. The sample warning still states that this does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome. Among the included brackets, the highest Yes price is the Republican 30% to 35% bracket at 0.31, followed by 40% to 45% at 0.24 and 35% to 40% at 0.14. The Democratic winner contract in the same event is 0.0075. The Yes prices across the ten brackets total about 0.95, so they do not form a complete distribution in this snapshot.

For the winner contracts, Kalshi shows Republican Yes at 0.987 and Democratic Yes at 0.009. Polymarket's AR-01 winner event shows Republican at 0.988 and Democratic at 0.011. These come from different platforms with different wording and close times, so they should not be averaged or compared as an arbitrage opportunity.

What remains uncertain

No vote count appears in the evidence, so the snapshot cannot indicate an outcome. Volume and trader counts are not supplied, so these prices cannot be read as liquidity or confidence. The evidence does not explain why prices are at these levels. The Polymarket margin listed end time is 2026-11-04 04:59 UTC, while the Kalshi winner data lists a 2027 end date, and the reader should not assume these timings reflect a result announcement.

References

Kalshi: IN-01 House winner?. Provider data observed 2026-11-03T09:00:06.018Z.
Polymarket: IN-01 House Election Winner. Provider data observed 2026-11-03T09:00:06.018Z.
Kalshi: AR-01 House winner?. Provider data observed 2026-11-03T09:00:06.018Z.
Polymarket: AR-01 House Election Margin of Victory. Provider data observed 2026-11-03T09:00:06.018Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Nov 3, 2026 UTC

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Event: AR-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Source snapshot: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $578.5K · K 1.27M contracts
Coverage: 53 of 53 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will a Democrat win the House race for IN-1?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-HOUSEIN1-26-D; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/housein1-26
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 12.0K contracts
Outcome Yes: 97.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 2.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the House member sworn in for IN-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close following the swearing in of the Representative for the seat in question.

Contract: Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-942425; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-in-01-house-seat
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $12.0K
Outcome Yes: 97.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 2.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Contract: Will Democratic win the House race for OR-01?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-OR01-26-D; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouserace-or01-26
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 453.46 contracts
Outcome Yes: 98.8%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 1.2%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the House member sworn in for OR-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Contract: Will Democratic win the House race for UT-01?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSEUT01-26-D; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouseut01-26
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 8.0K contracts
Outcome Yes: 98.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 1.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the House member sworn in for UT-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close following the swearing in of the Representative for the seat in question.

Contract: Will Democratic win the House race for AR-01?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-AR01-26-D; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouserace-ar01-26
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 10.8K contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the House member sworn in for AR-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Contract: Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3390119; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-democratic-party-candidate-win-the-2026-ar-01-house-election
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $970.72
Outcome Yes: 0.8%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.3%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The 2026 AR-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.

The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolv

Contract: Will the Democratic Party win the OR-01 House seat?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1284520; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-or-01-house-seat
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $10.6K
Outcome Yes: 98.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 1.1%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Contract: Will the Democratic Party win the AR-01 House seat?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1280849; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ar-01-house-seat
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $10.5K
Outcome Yes: 0.7%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.4%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Contract: Will Democratic win the House race for MA-01?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-MA01-26-D; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouserace-ma01-26
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 4.2K contracts
Outcome Yes: 98.6%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 1.4%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the House member sworn in for MA-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Contract: Will Democratic win the House race for MN-01?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-MN01-26-D; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouserace-mn01-26
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 215.0K contracts
Outcome Yes: 40.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 60.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the House member sworn in for MN-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Contract: Will Democratic win the House race for NE-01?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-NE01-26-D; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouserace-ne01-26
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 150.4K contracts
Outcome Yes: 21.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 78.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the House member sworn in for NE-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Contract: Will Democratic win the House race for NY-01?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-NY01-26-D; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouserace-ny01-26
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 471.4K contracts
Outcome Yes: 20.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 80.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the House member sworn in for NY-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Contract: Will the Democratic Party win the MA-01 House seat?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1283641; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ma-01-house-seat
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $13.1K
Outcome Yes: 98.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 2.1%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Contract: Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1283849; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-mn-01-house-seat
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $66.4K
Outcome Yes: 40.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 60.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Contract: Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1284106; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ne-01-house-seat
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $32.9K
Outcome Yes: 21.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 78.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Contract: Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 3% or more?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3518944; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-democratic-party-candidate-win-the-2026-ne-01-house-election-by-3-or-more
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.3K
Outcome Yes: 10.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 90.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The 2026 NE-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.

The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolv

Contract: Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1284219; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ny-01-house-seat
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $100.1K
Outcome Yes: 19.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 80.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Contract: Will the Democratic Party win the UT-01 House seat?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-944258; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ut-01-house-seat
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $14.2K
Outcome Yes: 98.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 1.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Contract: Will a Republican win the House race for IN-1?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-HOUSEIN1-26-R; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/housein1-26
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 22.6K contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the House member sworn in for IN-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close following the swearing in of the Representative for the seat in question.

Contract: Will the Republican Party win the IN-01 House seat?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-942424; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-republican-party-win-the-in-01-house-seat
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $13.1K
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Contract: Will Republican win the House race for OR-01?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-OR01-26-R; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouserace-or01-26
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 422.49 contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the House member sworn in for OR-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Contract: Will Republican win the House race for UT-01?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSEUT01-26-R; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouseut01-26
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 6.8K contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.2%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the House member sworn in for UT-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close following the swearing in of the Representative for the seat in question.

Contract: Will Republican win the House race for AR-01?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-AR01-26-R; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouserace-ar01-26
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 11.8K contracts
Outcome Yes: 99.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 1.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the House member sworn in for AR-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Contract: Will the Republican Party win the OR-01 House seat?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1284519; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-republican-party-win-the-or-01-house-seat
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $17.1K
Outcome Yes: 1.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Contract: Will the Republican Party win the AR-01 House seat?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1280848; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-republican-party-win-the-ar-01-house-seat
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $17.0K
Outcome Yes: 99.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 0.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Contract: Will Republican win the House race for MA-01?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-MA01-26-R; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouserace-ma01-26
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.3K contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the House member sworn in for MA-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Contract: Will Republican win the House race for MN-01?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-MN01-26-R; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouserace-mn01-26
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 197.6K contracts
Outcome Yes: 60.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 40.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the House member sworn in for MN-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Contract: Will Republican win the House race for NE-01?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-NE01-26-R; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouserace-ne01-26
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 44.4K contracts
Outcome Yes: 78.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 21.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the House member sworn in for NE-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Contract: Will Republican win the House race for NY-01?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-NY01-26-R; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouserace-ny01-26
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 107.7K contracts
Outcome Yes: 81.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 18.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the House member sworn in for NY-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Contract: Will the Republican Party win the MA-01 House seat?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1283640; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-republican-party-win-the-ma-01-house-seat
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $43.7K
Outcome Yes: 1.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Contract: Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1283848; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-republican-party-win-the-mn-01-house-seat
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $39.9K
Outcome Yes: 61.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 38.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Contract: Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1284105; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-republican-party-win-the-ne-01-house-seat
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $26.1K
Outcome Yes: 78.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 21.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Contract: Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 21% or more?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3518935; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-ne-01-house-election-by-21-or-more
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.1K
Outcome Yes: 3.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The 2026 NE-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.

The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolv

Contract: Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1284218; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-republican-party-win-the-ny-01-house-seat
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $48.9K
Outcome Yes: 81.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 19.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Contract: Will the Republican Party win the UT-01 House seat?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-944257; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-republican-party-win-the-ut-01-house-seat
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $40.3K
Outcome Yes: 1.8%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.2%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Contract: Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 55% or more?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3390110; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-ar-01-house-election-by-55-or-more
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.3K
Outcome Yes: 4.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The 2026 AR-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.

The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolv

Contract: Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 50%-55%?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3390111; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-ar-01-house-election-by-50-55
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.3K
Outcome Yes: 5.8%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.3%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The 2026 AR-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.

The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolv

Contract: Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 45%-50%?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3390112; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-ar-01-house-election-by-45-50
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $4.9K
Outcome Yes: 3.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The 2026 AR-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.

The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolv

Contract: Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 40%-45%?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3390113; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-ar-01-house-election-by-40-45
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $7.9K
Outcome Yes: 24.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 76.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The 2026 AR-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.

The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolv

Contract: Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 35%-40%?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3390114; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-ar-01-house-election-by-35-40
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $14.7K
Outcome Yes: 28.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 72.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The 2026 AR-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.

The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolv

Contract: Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 30%-35%?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3390115; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-ar-01-house-election-by-30-35
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $3.3K
Outcome Yes: 31.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 69.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The 2026 AR-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.

The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolv

Contract: Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 25%-30%?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3390116; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-ar-01-house-election-by-25-30
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $2.4K
Outcome Yes: 11.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 89.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The 2026 AR-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.

The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolv

Contract: Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 15%-25%?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3390117; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-ar-01-house-election-by-15-25
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $908.63
Outcome Yes: 4.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The 2026 AR-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.

The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolv

Contract: Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 0%-15%?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3390118; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-ar-01-house-election-by-0-15
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $2.7K
Outcome Yes: 2.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The 2026 AR-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.

The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolv

Contract: Will Austin Ahlman win the House race for NE-01?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-NE01-26-AAHL; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouserace-ne01-26
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 4.2K contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the House member sworn in for NE-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is Austin Ahlman (as an independent), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Contract: Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 18%-21%?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3518936; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-ne-01-house-election-by-18-21
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $507.04
Outcome Yes: 0.7%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.3%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The 2026 NE-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.

The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolv

Contract: Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 15%-18%?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3518937; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-ne-01-house-election-by-15-18
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $793.66
Outcome Yes: 1.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The 2026 NE-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.

The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolv

Contract: Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 12%-15%?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3518938; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-ne-01-house-election-by-12-15
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $7.3K
Outcome Yes: 17.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 82.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The 2026 NE-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.

The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolv

Contract: Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 9%-12%?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3518939; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-ne-01-house-election-by-9-12
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $6.6K
Outcome Yes: 5.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The 2026 NE-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.

The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolv

Contract: Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 6%-9%?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3518940; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-ne-01-house-election-by-6-9
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $6.3K
Outcome Yes: 24.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 76.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The 2026 NE-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.

The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolv

Contract: Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 3%-6%?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3518941; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-ne-01-house-election-by-3-6
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $5.7K
Outcome Yes: 14.6%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 85.4%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The 2026 NE-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.

The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolv

Contract: Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 0%-3%?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3518942; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-ne-01-house-election-by-0-3
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.5K
Outcome Yes: 23.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 76.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The 2026 NE-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.

The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolv

Contract: Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 0%-3%?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3518943; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-democratic-party-candidate-win-the-2026-ne-01-house-election-by-0-3
Observed: Nov 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.3K
Outcome Yes: 13.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 86.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): The 2026 NE-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.

The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolv

Saved cross-platform review:
polymarket-1284519 / kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-AR01-26-R: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Republican win the House race for AR-01?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Republican Party win the OR-01 House seat?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 30, 2026, 10:35 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "AR-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "OR-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-1284520 / kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-AR01-26-D: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Democratic win the House race for AR-01?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Democratic Party win the OR-01 House seat?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 30, 2026, 10:35 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "AR-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "OR-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-1284519 / kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-NY01-26-R: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Republican win the House race for NY-01?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Republican Party win the OR-01 House seat?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 31, 2026, 9:04 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "NY-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "OR-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-1284520 / kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-NY01-26-D: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Democratic win the House race for NY-01?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Democratic Party win the OR-01 House seat?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 31, 2026, 9:04 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "NY-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "OR-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-1284520 / kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-NE01-26-D: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Democratic win the House race for NE-01?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Democratic Party win the OR-01 House seat?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 31, 2026, 8:04 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "NE-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "OR-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-1284519 / kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-NE01-26-R: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Republican win the House race for NE-01?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Republican Party win the OR-01 House seat?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 31, 2026, 8:04 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "NE-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "OR-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-3518935 / kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-NE01-26-R: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Republican win the House race for NE-01?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 21% or more?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 31, 2026, 8:04 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "NE-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "NE-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-1284520 / kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-MN01-26-D: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Democratic win the House race for MN-01?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Democratic Party win the OR-01 House seat?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 31, 2026, 2:49 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "MN-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "OR-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-1284519 / kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-MN01-26-R: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Republican win the House race for MN-01?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Republican Party win the OR-01 House seat?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 31, 2026, 2:49 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "MN-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "OR-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-3518944 / kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-NE01-26-D: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Democratic win the House race for NE-01?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 3% or more?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 31, 2026, 8:04 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "NE-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "NE-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-1283848 / kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-MN01-26-R: Same question, fine print differs. The automated review found that both contracts ask the same question, but their fine print differs, so they may not settle identically. Kalshi: "Will Republican win the House race for MN-01?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 31, 2026, 2:50 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 2 same question with differing fine print, 0 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "MN-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "MN-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-942425 / kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-OR01-26-D: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Democratic win the House race for OR-01?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 31, 2026, 4:49 PM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "OR-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "IN-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-942424 / kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-OR01-26-R: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Republican win the House race for OR-01?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Republican Party win the IN-01 House seat?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 31, 2026, 4:49 PM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "OR-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "IN-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-942425 / kalshi-KXHOUSEUT01-26-D: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Democratic win the House race for UT-01?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Nov 1, 2026, 1:50 PM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "UT-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "IN-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-1283641 / kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-MA01-26-D: Same question, fine print differs. The automated review found that both contracts ask the same question, but their fine print differs, so they may not settle identically. Kalshi: "Will Democratic win the House race for MA-01?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Democratic Party win the MA-01 House seat?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 31, 2026, 12:50 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 2 same question with differing fine print, 0 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "MA-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "MA-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-942424 / kalshi-KXHOUSEUT01-26-R: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Republican win the House race for UT-01?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Republican Party win the IN-01 House seat?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Nov 1, 2026, 1:50 PM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "UT-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "IN-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-1284219 / kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-NY01-26-D: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Democratic win the House race for NY-01?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 31, 2026, 8:50 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "NY-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "NY-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-1284218 / kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-NY01-26-R: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Republican win the House race for NY-01?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 31, 2026, 8:50 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "NY-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "NY-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-1280849 / kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-AR01-26-D: Same question, fine print differs. The automated review found that both contracts ask the same question, but their fine print differs, so they may not settle identically. Kalshi: "Will Democratic win the House race for AR-01?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Democratic Party win the AR-01 House seat?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 30, 2026, 10:35 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 2 same question with differing fine print, 0 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "AR-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "AR-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-3390119 / kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-AR01-26-D: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Democratic win the House race for AR-01?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 30, 2026, 10:34 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 1 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "AR-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "AR-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-1280848 / kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-AR01-26-R: Same question, fine print differs. The automated review found that both contracts ask the same question, but their fine print differs, so they may not settle identically. Kalshi: "Will Republican win the House race for AR-01?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Republican Party win the AR-01 House seat?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 30, 2026, 10:35 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 2 same question with differing fine print, 0 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "AR-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "AR-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-1284520 / kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-MA01-26-D: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Democratic win the House race for MA-01?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Democratic Party win the OR-01 House seat?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 31, 2026, 1:04 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "MA-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "OR-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-944257 / kalshi-KXHOUSEUT01-26-R: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Republican win the House race for UT-01?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Republican Party win the UT-01 House seat?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Nov 1, 2026, 1:50 PM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "UT-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "UT-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-1284520 / kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-OR01-26-D: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Democratic win the House race for OR-01?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Democratic Party win the OR-01 House seat?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 31, 2026, 4:49 PM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "OR-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "OR-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-942425 / kalshi-HOUSEIN1-26-D: Same question, fine print differs. The automated review found that both contracts ask the same question, but their fine print differs, so they may not settle identically. Kalshi: "Will a Democrat win the House race for IN-1?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Nov 3, 2026, 7:05 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 2 same question with differing fine print, 0 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "IN-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "IN-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-942424 / kalshi-HOUSEIN1-26-R: Same question, fine print differs. The automated review found that both contracts ask the same question, but their fine print differs, so they may not settle identically. Kalshi: "Will a Republican win the House race for IN-1?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Republican Party win the IN-01 House seat?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Nov 3, 2026, 7:05 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 2 same question with differing fine print, 0 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "IN-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "IN-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-1284519 / kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-MA01-26-R: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Republican win the House race for MA-01?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Republican Party win the OR-01 House seat?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 31, 2026, 1:04 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "MA-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "OR-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-1284519 / kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-OR01-26-R: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Republican win the House race for OR-01?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Republican Party win the OR-01 House seat?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 31, 2026, 4:49 PM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "OR-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "OR-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-1283640 / kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-MA01-26-R: Same question, fine print differs. The automated review found that both contracts ask the same question, but their fine print differs, so they may not settle identically. Kalshi: "Will Republican win the House race for MA-01?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Republican Party win the MA-01 House seat?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 31, 2026, 12:50 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 2 same question with differing fine print, 0 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "MA-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "MA-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-1283849 / kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-MN01-26-D: Same question, fine print differs. The automated review found that both contracts ask the same question, but their fine print differs, so they may not settle identically. Kalshi: "Will Democratic win the House race for MN-01?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 31, 2026, 2:50 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 2 same question with differing fine print, 0 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "MN-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "MN-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-1284105 / kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-NE01-26-R: Same question, fine print differs. The automated review found that both contracts ask the same question, but their fine print differs, so they may not settle identically. Kalshi: "Will Republican win the House race for NE-01?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 31, 2026, 7:49 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 2 same question with differing fine print, 0 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "NE-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "NE-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-1284106 / kalshi-KXHOUSERACE-NE01-26-D: Same question, fine print differs. The automated review found that both contracts ask the same question, but their fine print differs, so they may not settle identically. Kalshi: "Will Democratic win the House race for NE-01?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 31, 2026, 7:49 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 2 same question with differing fine print, 0 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "NE-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "NE-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-944258 / kalshi-KXHOUSEUT01-26-D: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Democratic win the House race for UT-01?"; listed deadline 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will the Democratic Party win the UT-01 House seat?"; listed deadline 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Nov 1, 2026, 1:50 PM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "UT-01 House winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "UT-01 House Election Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIElections

IN-01 House winner?

In 2026 If the House member sworn in for IN-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member X then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. This market will close following the swearing in of the Representative for the seat in question.

Volume$34.58K

Markets2

POLYMARKETPolitics

IN-01 House Election Winner

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Volume$25.10K

Markets2

20 of 20

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Will a Democrat win the House race for IN-1?

kalshi

Will a Democrat win the House race for IN-1?

Yes: 97.4¢
No: 2.6¢

polymarket

Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?

Yes: 97.4¢
No: 2.6¢

kalshi

Will Democratic win the House race for OR-01?

Yes: 98.8¢
No: 1.2¢

kalshi

Will Democratic win the House race for UT-01?

Yes: 98.2¢
No: 1.8¢

kalshi

Will Democratic win the House race for AR-01?

Yes: 1.0¢
No: 99.0¢

polymarket

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election?

Yes: 0.8¢
No: 99.3¢

polymarket

Will the Democratic Party win the OR-01 House seat?

Yes: 98.9¢
No: 1.1¢

polymarket

Will the Democratic Party win the AR-01 House seat?

Yes: 0.7¢
No: 99.4¢

kalshi

Will Democratic win the House race for MA-01?

Yes: 98.6¢
No: 1.4¢

kalshi

Will Democratic win the House race for MN-01?

Yes: 40.0¢
No: 60.0¢

kalshi

Will Democratic win the House race for NE-01?

Yes: 21.5¢
No: 78.5¢

kalshi

Will Democratic win the House race for NY-01?

Yes: 20.0¢
No: 80.0¢

polymarket

Will the Democratic Party win the MA-01 House seat?

Yes: 98.0¢
No: 2.1¢

polymarket

Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?

Yes: 40.0¢
No: 60.0¢

polymarket

Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?

Yes: 21.5¢
No: 78.5¢

polymarket

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 3% or more?

Yes: 10.0¢
No: 90.0¢

polymarket

Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?

Yes: 19.5¢
No: 80.5¢

polymarket

Will the Democratic Party win the UT-01 House seat?

Yes: 98.2¢
No: 1.8¢

Will a Republican win the House race for IN-1?

kalshi

Will a Republican win the House race for IN-1?

Yes: 2.5¢
No: 97.5¢

polymarket

Will the Republican Party win the IN-01 House seat?

Yes: 2.5¢
No: 97.5¢

kalshi

Will Republican win the House race for OR-01?

Yes: 1.1¢
No: 98.9¢

kalshi

Will Republican win the House race for UT-01?

Yes: 1.9¢
No: 98.2¢

kalshi

Will Republican win the House race for AR-01?

Yes: 99.0¢
No: 1.0¢

polymarket

Will the Republican Party win the OR-01 House seat?

Yes: 1.1¢
No: 98.9¢

polymarket

Will the Republican Party win the AR-01 House seat?

Yes: 99.3¢
No: 0.8¢

kalshi

Will Republican win the House race for MA-01?

Yes: 1.1¢
No: 98.9¢

kalshi

Will Republican win the House race for MN-01?

Yes: 60.0¢
No: 40.0¢

kalshi

Will Republican win the House race for NE-01?

Yes: 78.5¢
No: 21.5¢

kalshi

Will Republican win the House race for NY-01?

Yes: 81.5¢
No: 18.5¢

polymarket

Will the Republican Party win the MA-01 House seat?

Yes: 1.1¢
No: 98.9¢

polymarket

Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?

Yes: 61.5¢
No: 38.5¢

polymarket

Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat?

Yes: 78.5¢
No: 21.5¢

polymarket

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 21% or more?

Yes: 3.4¢
No: 96.6¢

polymarket

Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?

Yes: 81.0¢
No: 19.0¢

polymarket

Will the Republican Party win the UT-01 House seat?

Yes: 1.8¢
No: 98.2¢

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 30%-35%?

polymarket

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 30%-35%?

Yes: 31.0¢
No: 69.0¢

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 35%-40%?

polymarket

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 35%-40%?

Yes: 28.0¢
No: 72.0¢

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 40%-45%?

polymarket

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 40%-45%?

Yes: 24.0¢
No: 76.0¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

NE-03 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $66.5K · K 7.6K contracts

Will the Republican Party win the NE-03 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for NE-03?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 98.7%Rules differK Yes 98.6%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for NE-03?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.4%Rules differK Yes 1.4%

Will the Democratic Party win the NE-03 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for NE-03?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 1.4%Rules differK Yes 1.4%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

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Next Market Deadline

Calculating time remaining…

Nov 04, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

Same-question pairs

Largest saved gap: 1.5 percentage points.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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AR-01 House Election Margin of Victory

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 30%-35%?

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Events (18)

IN-01 House winner?

IN-01 House Election Winner

Markets (2)

Will a Democrat win the House race for IN-1?

Will a Republican win the House race for IN-1?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 30%-35%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 35%-40%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 40%-45%?

Related prediction markets

NE-03 House Election Margin of Victory

NE-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Virginia's 8th District margin of victory

Louisiana's 5th District margin of victory

Louisiana's 4th District margin of victory

Alabama's 1st District margin of victory

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 30%-35%?

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IN-01 House winner?

IN-01 House Election Winner

Will a Democrat win the House race for IN-1?

Will a Republican win the House race for IN-1?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 30%-35%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 35%-40%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 40%-45%?

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