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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Will Ilhan Omar resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Ilhan Omar resign by December 31, 2026?
Vol

PM $5.2K

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Events

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Markets

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Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, Yes is priced at 6.5% on Polymarket.

Polymarket

  1. Yes6.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $5.2K

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilhan Omar announces, on or before the date specified in the market title, 11:59 PM ET, that she has resigned or will resign as United States Representative for Minnesota's 5th congressional district. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The deadline applies to the timing of the announcement, not the effective date of the resignation. An announcement made by the deadline that she will resign on a later date, including a date after the specified deadline, will qualify. If it becomes impossible for Ilhan Omar to resign or to announce her resignation (e.g., due to her removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", it is only necessary that Ilhan Omar announce that she has resigned or will resign. Whether she actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. An announcement that she will not seek re-election, or that she is ending her 2026 campaign, will not qualify on its own. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilhan Omar or the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketPolitics
Ilhan Omar arrested by...?

Ilhan Omar arrested by...?

PM $73.9K
Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?Yes 29.5%
Ilhan Omar arrested by October 31, 2026?Yes 3.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US files Ilhan Omar denaturalization case by...?

US files Ilhan Omar denaturalization case by...?

PM $29.4K
Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by March 31, 2027?Yes 28.5%
Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by December 31, 2026?Yes 14.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

PM $692.0K · K 3.72M contracts

Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?

Kalshi: Will any federal appellate court (including the U.S. Supreme Court) rule reverses or vacates the district court's November 24, 2025 order dismissing the indictment of James Comey, such that the criminal prosecution may proceed?

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Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31?

Kalshi: Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before Jan 1, 2027?

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Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

7 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by...?

Will Ilhan Omar be deported by...?

PM $127.3K
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by June 30, 2027Yes 9%
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?

Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?

PM $198.8K
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?Yes 42.5%
Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?Yes 3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

PM $1.98M
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes 41.5%
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes 41.5%
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes 40.5%
+21 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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