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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Next DeepSeek Flash released by...?

Next DeepSeek Flash released by...?
Vol

PM $100.02

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Events

1

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Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is December 31 at 30%.

Polymarket

  1. December 3130%
  2. November 3027.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $100.02

Reported volume ยท provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if DeepSeek's next Flash model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be part of DeepSeek's core model series (currently the V-series), have a name or model identifier that includes "DeepSeek" and "Flash," and be a new model release designated as newer than DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-1017, regardless of capitalization or naming convention, including subsequently dated builds, decimal version increases, or new generations. For example, a later dated build named in the same manner as DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-1017, a decimal increase such as DeepSeek-V4.2-Flash, or a new generation such as DeepSeek-V5-Flash would qualify, while side or specialized models, such as Janus-Pro, DeepSeek-OCR, or DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Vision-Exp, Pro-tier models such as DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813 or DeepSeek-V4.1-Pro, and the existing DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-1017 (released October 17, 2026), including any open-weight re-release, snapshot, or re-pointing of the deepseek-flash API alias to it, will not qualify. A qualifying release must carry a new, distinct model name or date designation, even if it is served through an unchanged API alias such as deepseek-flash; updates published without a new model name or date designation will not qualify. If DeepSeek releases a single unified successor without tier naming, it will qualify if it replaces or serves DeepSeek's lite or Flash endpoint or is positioned as DeepSeek's fast, low-cost model. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketTech
Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?

Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?

PM $26.2K
Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?Yes 12.5%
Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?Yes 7%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?

PM $12.9K
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 70%
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 4.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by...?

Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by...?

PM $10.7K
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 48.5%
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 11%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by...?

Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by...?

PM $1.8K
Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 86%
Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 3.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
Next Pirates of the Caribbean Movie: Cast

Next Pirates of the Caribbean Movie: Cast

K 934.7 contracts
Will Orlando Bloom be cast in The next feature-length film in the Pirates of the Caribbean franchise to be released by Walt Disney Studios after Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (2017)?Yes 30.5%
Will Keira Knightley be cast in The next feature-length film in the Pirates of the Caribbean franchise to be released by Walt Disney Studios after Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (2017)?Yes 22.5%
Will Margot Robbie be cast in The next feature-length film in the Pirates of the Caribbean franchise to be released by Walt Disney Studios after Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (2017)?Yes 18%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2029 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

PM $239.3K
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?Yes 31.1%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?Yes 26.9%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?Yes 10.8%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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