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Events
GroupKALSHI

Will Chris Van Hollen announce a presidential run?

Will Chris Van Hollen announce a presidential run?
Vol

K 19.7K contracts

|
Events

1

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Markets

9

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Before Jan 1, 2028 at 48.5%.

Kalshi

  1. Before Jan 1, 202848.5%
  2. Before Oct 1, 202746.5%
  3. Before Jul 1, 202745.5%
  4. Before Jun 1, 202741.5%
  5. Before May 1, 202737.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 19.7K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

9

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

2028 President of the United States race If Chris Van Hollen has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 before X 1, Y including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources. This market will close and expire early if the person announces their candidacy.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader?

120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader?

K 39.1K contracts
Will Chris Van Hollen announce a run for Senate Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?Yes 57%
Will Brian Schatz announce a run for Senate Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?Yes 5.5%
Will Elissa Slotkin announce a run for Senate Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?Yes 3.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Chris Christie announce a presidential run?

Will Chris Christie announce a presidential run?

K 16.3K contracts
Will Chris Christie announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 55.5%
Will Chris Christie announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 45%
Will Chris Christie announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 38.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

PM $739.92M · K 99.22M contracts

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next presidential election? (J.D. Vance)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 13.1%Rules differK Yes 13.5%

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next presidential election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 10.3%Rules differK Yes 9.8%

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next presidential election? (Marco Rubio)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 9.5%Rules differK Yes 9%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

35 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Chris Van Hollen say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki?

What will Chris Van Hollen say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki?

K 17.4K contracts
What will Chris Van Hollen say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for November 11, 2026? (Event does not qualify)Yes 99.5%
What will Chris Van Hollen say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for November 11, 2026? (Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional)Yes 1%
What will Chris Van Hollen say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki originally scheduled for November 11, 2026? (Trump)Yes 0.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be the first Republican listed to announce a presidential run?

Who will be the first Republican listed to announce a presidential run?

K 1.8K contracts
Will J.D. Vance be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?Yes 18%
Will Ron DeSantis be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?Yes 14.5%
Will Marco Rubio be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?Yes 13%
+34 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will run for Pennsylvania Senate in 2028?

Who will run for Pennsylvania Senate in 2028?

K 5.4K contracts
Will Chris Deluzio announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?Yes 81%
Will Conor Lamb announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?Yes 76%
Will Summer Lee announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?Yes 46%
+9 moreNext deadline Feb 16, 2028 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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