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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Vatican III in 2026?

Vatican III in 2026?
Vol

PM $17.46

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Events

1

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Markets

1

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, Yes is priced at 50.8% on Polymarket.

Polymarket

  1. Yes50.8%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $17.46

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Pope convokes any ecumenical council between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only ecumenical councils will qualify. Plenary or provincial councils will not be considered. This market will resolve according to announcements from the Pope, Vatican officials, or a consensus of credible reporting. Any official announcement will qualify, regardless of if or when the council actually occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiCulture
Who will release a new album in 2026?

Who will release a new album in 2026?

K 327.8K contracts
Will Lil Baby release a new album in 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Big Sean release a new album in 2026?Yes 80.5%
Will Offset release a new album in 2026?Yes 79.5%
+70 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech
Time's Person of the Year for 2026

Time's Person of the Year for 2026

K 1.88M contracts
Will Zohran Mamdani be Time Person of the Year in 2026?Yes 28.5%
Will Pope Leo XIV be Time Person of the Year in 2026?Yes 14.5%
Will Mark Carney be Time Person of the Year in 2026?Yes 12.5%
+39 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Top Album on Spotify U.S in 2026?

Top Album on Spotify U.S in 2026?

K 117.3K contracts
Will I’m The Problem be the #1 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 72.5%
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love be the #1 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 7.5%
Will ARIRANG be the #1 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 3.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCulture
Grand Theft Auto VI · The Album: First Week Album Equivalent Units

Grand Theft Auto VI · The Album: First Week Album Equivalent Units

PM $9.2K · K 18.9K contracts

Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 100k?

Kalshi: Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 100000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?

Related contracts

PM Yes 26.5%Rules differK Yes 76%

Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 200k?

Kalshi: Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 200000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?

Related contracts

PM Yes 26%Rules differK Yes 35%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
Grand Theft Auto VI · The Album: First Week Pure Album Sales

Grand Theft Auto VI · The Album: First Week Pure Album Sales

K 4.3K contracts
Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 80000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?Yes 50%
Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 60000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?Yes 50%
Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 40000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?Yes 50%
+17 moreNext deadline Dec 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
#2 Album on Spotify in 2026?

#2 Album on Spotify in 2026?

K 14.5K contracts
Will ARIRANG be the #2 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 65.5%
Will The Great Divide: The Last of the Bugs be the #2 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 7%
Will Dandelion be the #2 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 6%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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