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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Thunder vs. Trail Blazers

Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
Vol

PM $439.3K

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Events

1

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Markets

491

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Aday Mara: Rebounds O/U 3.5 at 86.5%.

Polymarket

  1. Aday Mara: Rebounds O/U 3.586.5%
  2. Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 3.585%
  3. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 1.585%
  4. Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 1.585%
  5. Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 3.583.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $439.3K

Reported volume · provider units

491

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

In the upcoming NBA game between Thunder and Trail Blazers, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the Trail Blazers win, the market will resolve to "Trail Blazers". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Snapshot observed 2026-11-11T09:00:06.029Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The contract set is an Over/Under market tied to the Thunder vs. Trail Blazers game. Each market asks whether the total points will land above or below a stated line. The rules state that "The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods" [1]. The event excerpt describes the game as "the upcoming NBA game," and gives a start time "originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event)" [1]. That phrasing marks the time as the original schedule at market creation, not a confirmed start time.

The rules also set a fallback. If the game "is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-11-12T03:00:00.000Z [1].

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 2026-11-11T09:00:06.029Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-11-11T09:22:46.482Z [1]. These are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.

The sample includes 12 of 124 markets from this single Polymarket event [1]. Within the included set, the Over price falls as the line rises, from 0.978 at 196.5 to 0.685 at 218.5. The "Over" side is the first reported outcome in each market, so the sample was ordered by those higher Over prices. Omitted lines are not implied to have lower prices, and the included markets should not be treated as the full field.

Each row compares only the same event on one platform. No cross-platform comparison or average is possible from this evidence, and differing prices between contracts do not establish an arbitrage opportunity.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why any price is where it is, and it does not show how many traders hold each view. Volume is not included in the displayed rows, and even if it were, it would not indicate liquidity. The record also does not confirm whether the game has started, been postponed, or been resolved. The listed end time and the Friday, November 13 deadline are contract terms, not confirmed event dates. Readers should check the provider page for current status and the exact rules before relying on any price.

References

  1. Polymarket: Thunder vs. Trail Blazers. Provider data observed 2026-11-11T09:00:06.029Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Nov 11, 2026 UTC

Overview

This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket event titled Thunder vs. Trail Blazers, an NBA game listed under the Sports category. The provider's event rules describe the game as originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, and the listed end time is 2026-11-12T03:00:00.000Z [1]. The event page reports its provider status as active [1]. The event rules state the basic settlement logic. If the Thunder win, the market resolves to "Thunder", and if the Trail Blazers win, it resolves to "Trail Blazers" [1]. The rules also say that if a market's outcome was already definitively determined under its listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome stands. Otherwise, a no-result provision applies. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by then, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. That deadline is a rule threshold in the contract, not a scheduled event. The saved event also includes Over/Under markets at several point thresholds, ranging from 196.5 to 218.5 [1]. The rules excerpt states that the result is determined by the final score, including any overtime periods [1]. It does not spell out the mechanics of each Over/Under threshold beyond that scoring basis, so this article does not explain them further. The market figures shown with this entry are snapshots from the provider's observation time, not live or executable quotes. They are also a partial sample: 12 of 124 markets from this provider event are included, selected by a ranking rule that orders markets by Yes price and then volume [1]. A ranking inside this sample does not describe the full set of markets for the game.

Historical Context

The Portland Trail Blazers are an American professional basketball team based in Portland, Oregon, and compete in the NBA's Northwest Division of the Western Conference [2]. The franchise entered the league as an expansion team in 1970 [2]. The team played in Memorial Coliseum before moving to Moda Center in 1995 [2]. From 1977 through 1995, the team sold out 814 consecutive home games, which the source describes as the longest such streak in American major professional sports at the time [2]. The same source notes that after the Seattle SuperSonics relocated to Oklahoma City in 2008, the Trail Blazers remain the only NBA team based in the Pacific Northwest [2]. These are historical background points from a Wikipedia retrieval and do not verify any current event.

Why It Matters

The contract measures the outcome of one NBA game between the Thunder and the Trail Blazers, as described in the event rules [1]. Its listed outcomes for the winner-based rule are the two teams, and the saved event shows Over/Under markets tied to a total score threshold [1]. Because the rules tie settlement to the final score including overtime, a game that is canceled or lacks an official result by the stated deadline would fall under the 50-50 provision instead [1]. Readers should treat the displayed prices as point-in-time observations and check the provider's current rules and status before relying on them.

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-11 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the event rule decide the winner market?

If the Thunder win, the market resolves to "Thunder". If the Trail Blazers win, it resolves to "Trail Blazers" [1].

What happens if the game does not finish or is canceled?

If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by then, the market resolves 50-50. An outcome already definitively determined under the listed resolution sources before abandonment stands [1].

What score counts for resolution?

The rules state that the result is determined based on the final score including any overtime periods [1].

Was this helpful?
Saved Nov 11, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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