Market snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 27, 2026?

Reported volume

K 14.7K contracts

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 27, 2026?

Vol

K 14.7K contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

As of Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Below 38.2% at 33%.

Kalshi

Below 38.2%33%
38.2%16%
38.5%13.5%
38.4%13.5%
38.3%12.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

9 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Trump's RCP approval average be below 38.2 on Oct 27, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Trump's RCP approval average be below 38.2 on Oct 27, 2026?	Kalshi	33.0%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.2 on Oct 27, 2026?	Kalshi	16.0%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.5 on Oct 27, 2026?	Kalshi	13.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.4 on Oct 27, 2026?	Kalshi	13.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.3 on Oct 27, 2026?	Kalshi	12.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.6 on Oct 27, 2026?	Kalshi	10.0%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.8 on Oct 27, 2026?	Kalshi	5.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.7 on Oct 27, 2026?	Kalshi	5.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be above 38.8 on Oct 27, 2026?	Kalshi	3.5%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

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A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 14.7K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

On Oct 27, 2026 If Trump's RCP approval average is X Y at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 27, 2026?
Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 14.7K contracts
Coverage: 9 of 9 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be below 38.2 on Oct 27, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT27-U38.2; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct27
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 27, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 4.8K contracts
Outcome Yes: 33.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 67.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.2% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.8 on Oct 27, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT27-E38.8; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct27
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 27, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 507.71 contracts
Outcome Yes: 5.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.7 on Oct 27, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT27-E38.7; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct27
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 27, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 470.55 contracts
Outcome Yes: 5.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.7% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.6 on Oct 27, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT27-E38.6; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct27
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 27, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 569.14 contracts
Outcome Yes: 10.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 90.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.5 on Oct 27, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT27-E38.5; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct27
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 27, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.2K contracts
Outcome Yes: 13.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 86.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.4 on Oct 27, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT27-E38.4; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct27
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 27, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 716.98 contracts
Outcome Yes: 13.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 86.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.4% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.3 on Oct 27, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT27-E38.3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct27
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 27, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 2.4K contracts
Outcome Yes: 12.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 87.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.3% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.2 on Oct 27, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT27-E38.2; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct27
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 27, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 3.6K contracts
Outcome Yes: 16.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 84.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.2% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be above 38.8 on Oct 27, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT27-A38.8; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct27
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 27, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 451.91 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is above 38.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics