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GroupKALSHI

Who will be Knesset Speaker after the election?

Who will be Knesset Speaker after the election?
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Source snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Before Oct 27, 2027 If X wins the first election for Speaker of the Knesset after the Oct 27, 2026 Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes. The first election for Speaker of the Knesset after the Oct 27, 2026 Knesset election is the first vote in which the Knesset elected on Oct 27, 2026 elects a Speaker, including an interim or temporary Speaker or the re-election of the outgoing Speaker; a later replacement does not change the outcome. The outgoing Speaker continuing without such a vote, a Deputy Speaker, and a member presiding or acting as Speaker do not count. If that Knesset does not elect a Speaker before Oct 27, 2027, including because it is dissolved first, every market resolves to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

K 12.1K contracts
Will Likud finish 2nd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 63.5%
Will Yashar finish 2nd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 33.5%
Will Reservists–New Economic Party finish 2nd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 3%
+20 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

K 10.0K contracts
Will Together finish 3rd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 86.5%
Will The Democrats finish 3rd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 8%
Will Yisrael Beiteinu finish 3rd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 3.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 4th Place

Israeli Parliamentary Election: 4th Place

K 36.6K contracts
Will The Democrats finish 4th in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 32%
Will Shas finish 4th in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 15.5%
Will Together finish 4th in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 14.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Israeli Knesset election: voter turnout

Israeli Knesset election: voter turnout

K 10.0K contracts
Will at least 4,800,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?Yes 98%
Will at least 4,900,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?Yes 96.5%
Will at least 5,000,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?Yes 95.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be Israeli defense minister after the election?

Who will be Israeli defense minister after the election?

K 4.5K contracts
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that Israel Katz is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030?Yes 20.5%
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that Avigdor Lieberman is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030?Yes 18.5%
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that Naftali Bennett is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2030 UTC
KalshiPolitics
120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House?

120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House?

K 18.5K contracts
Who will win the election for Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives at the opening of the 120th Congress? (Hakeem Jeffries)Yes 86.5%
Who will win the election for Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives at the opening of the 120th Congress? (Mike Johnson)Yes 9.5%
Who will win the election for Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives at the opening of the 120th Congress? (Pete Aguilar)Yes 3%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Reviewed equivalent pairs

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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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