GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

FAO Food Price Index in July

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FAO Food Price Index in July

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10 markets tracked

Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 127.0?

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Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 127.0?	Kalshi	98%
Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 128.0?	Kalshi	93%
Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 129.0?	Kalshi	82%
Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 130.0?	Kalshi	41%
Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 131.0?	Kalshi	23%
Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 132.0?	Kalshi	16%
Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 133.0?	Kalshi	11%
Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 134.0?	Kalshi	6%
Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 135.0?	Kalshi	5%
Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 136.0?	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

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About This Event

July 2026 If the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the headline FAO Food Price Index, not the Cereal, Vegetable Oil, Meat, Dairy, or Sugar sub-index. The relevant observation is the July 2026 monthly value first reported in FAO’s Food Price Index scheduled for release on Aug 7, 2026. Subsequent revisions do not apply. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** FAO Food Price Index in July
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** July 2026

If the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the headline FAO Food Price Index, not the Cereal, Vegetable Oil, Meat, Dairy, or Sugar sub-index. The relevant observation is the July 2026 monthly value first reported in FAO’s Food Price Index scheduled for release on Aug 7, 2026. Subsequent revisions do not apply. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 is above 136.0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the headline FAO Food Price Index, not the Cereal, Vegetable Oil, Meat, Dairy, or Sugar sub-index.

The relevant observation is the July 2026 monthly value first reported in "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 136.0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 135.0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 134.0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 133.0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 132.0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 131.0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 130.0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 129.0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 82.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 128.0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 93.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 127.0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

FAO Food Price Index in July

Volume$0.00

Markets10

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KALSHI

Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 127.0?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.0¢No 2.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 127.0?

If the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 is above 127.0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the headline FAO Food Price Index, not the Cereal, Vegetable Oil, Meat, Dairy, or Sugar sub-index. The relevant observation is the July 2026 monthly value first reported in

KALSHI

Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 128.0?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 93.0¢No 7.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 128.0?

If the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 is above 128.0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the headline FAO Food Price Index, not the Cereal, Vegetable Oil, Meat, Dairy, or Sugar sub-index. The relevant observation is the July 2026 monthly value first reported in

KALSHI

Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 129.0?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 82.0¢No 18.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 129.0?

If the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 is above 129.0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the headline FAO Food Price Index, not the Cereal, Vegetable Oil, Meat, Dairy, or Sugar sub-index. The relevant observation is the July 2026 monthly value first reported in

KALSHI

Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 130.0?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 40.5¢No 59.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 130.0?

If the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 is above 130.0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the headline FAO Food Price Index, not the Cereal, Vegetable Oil, Meat, Dairy, or Sugar sub-index. The relevant observation is the July 2026 monthly value first reported in

KALSHI

Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 131.0?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 23.0¢No 77.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 131.0?

If the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 is above 131.0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the headline FAO Food Price Index, not the Cereal, Vegetable Oil, Meat, Dairy, or Sugar sub-index. The relevant observation is the July 2026 monthly value first reported in

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FAO Food Price Index in July

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Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 127.0?

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Events (1)

FAO Food Price Index in July

Markets (10)

Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 127.0?

Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 127.0?

Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 128.0?

Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 128.0?

Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 129.0?

Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 129.0?

Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 130.0?

Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 130.0?

Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 131.0?

Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 131.0?

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Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 127.0?

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FAO Food Price Index in July

Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 127.0?

Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 127.0?

Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 128.0?

Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 128.0?

Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 129.0?

Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 129.0?

Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 130.0?

Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 130.0?

Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 131.0?

Will the FAO Food Price Index for July 2026 be above 131.0?

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