Fast food credit card spend array index in November 2026
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 13, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Above 98 at 50%.
Kalshi
- Above 9850%
- Above 9650%
- Above 9450%
- Above 9250%
- Above 9050%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
15
Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 13, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Snapshot observed Nov 13, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The event is titled "Fast food credit card spend array index in November 2026." Each market asks whether the index will be above a stated threshold. The reference is the Carbon Arc Quick Service Restaurants Array for the full month, and a market resolves to Yes if that value is above its threshold [1]. The array is "the equally weighted arithmetic mean of its constituent year-over-year indices," and at listing its members were McDonald's, Starbucks, Chipotle, Wendy's and Chick-fil-A, each weighted 20% [1].
Timing matters. The source says the value is "recorded by Kalshi at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 4th calendar day after the end of that month," so the November value would be recorded in early December 2026 [1]. "Later corrections or revisions will not affect the recorded value" [1]. The market record lists an end date of 2026-12-12 06:30 UTC [1]. That field is a listed close date, not the recording time, and the source excerpt states "Listed end time: not supplied," so the two should not be read as the same event. The excerpt also says the market "will close and expire early if the economic data is released" [1].
Reading the snapshot
The snapshot was observed at 2026-11-13 06:00 UTC and retrieved at 06:34 UTC [1]. It reflects prices at those times and is not a live reading.
The sample includes 12 of 15 markets for this event [1]. The included thresholds are 80, 82, 84, 86, 88, 90, 92, 94, 96, 98, 106 and 108. The thresholds 100, 102 and 104 are not in the included sample, and the excerpt does not say why. The sample was ordered by finite Yes price, then volume, and the source warns that the included markets are not the full field [1]. Because the omitted markets are not shown, nothing can be inferred about their prices.
Every included market shows Yes at 0.5 and No at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Identical prices across thresholds should not be read as a forecast of the index level. The evidence also does not show trading volume or the number of participants, so volume cannot be interpreted as liquidity.
What remains uncertain
The excerpt does not supply the index's recent values, the reason for any price, or whether the market will close early. It also does not confirm the listed end time beyond the date field. Readers comparing this contract with a similar one on another platform should check each contract's wording, reference source, recording time and close time separately, since different rules can produce different outcomes even for similar thresholds.
References
- Kalshi: Fast food credit card spend array index in November 2026. Provider data observed Nov 13, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 13, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi event tracking the Carbon Arc Fast food credit card spend array index for November 2026, classified under financials [1]. The contract asks whether the index for that month will be above a stated threshold. In the saved listing, the market resolves to Yes if the index is above the threshold X and to No otherwise [1]. The index being measured is the Carbon Arc Quick Service Restaurants Array. The contract says the resolution value is Carbon Arc's published full-month array level for the month covered by the market [1]. The array is the equally weighted arithmetic mean of its constituent year-over-year indices. At listing, the members were McDonald's, Starbucks, Chipotle, Wendy's and Chick-fil-A, each weighted at 20% [1]. Each constituent index equals 100 when its measured value matches the same month of the previous year, and the array averages these indices [1]. A reading above 100 therefore means the array is higher than the prior year on average, and a reading below 100 means it is lower, under this construction. The recording rule is specific. Kalshi records the full-month value at 11:59 p.m. ET on the fourth calendar day after the month ends, so the November 2026 value is recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on December 4, 2026 [1]. The contract says later corrections or revisions will not affect the recorded value [1]. The saved market records list an end date of December 12, 2026 at 06:30 UTC, which is a field in the market data and is not a separate announced event [1]. The contract also states that the market will close and expire early if the economic data is released [1]. The listed end time for the event itself was not supplied. The saved market sample includes a set of threshold markets for this one event. Each included market asks whether the November 2026 value will be above a different level, with thresholds ranging from 80 to 108 in the saved sample [1]. The event page states that Kalshi is not affiliated with the underlying companies and that the brand names belong to their respective owners [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single monthly reading of a published index built from the year-over-year movement of five quick service restaurant companies [1]. Because each threshold market asks whether that one reading will land above a given level, the thresholds in the event sort the outcomes by the reading rather than tracking separate events [1]. Readers should note the timing: the value is fixed at the recording time stated in the contract, and corrections after that time do not change it [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-13 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
How is the index calculated?
The array is the equally weighted arithmetic mean of its constituent year-over-year indices. Each constituent index is 100 when its measured value equals the same month of the previous year [1].
When is the November 2026 value recorded?
The contract says the value is recorded by Kalshi at 11:59 p.m. ET on the fourth calendar day after the end of the month, which for November 2026 is December 4, 2026 [1].
Do later revisions change the outcome?
The contract states that later corrections or revisions will not affect the recorded value [1].
Which companies are in the array?
At listing, the array members were McDonald's, Starbucks, Chipotle, Wendy's and Chick-fil-A, each weighted at 20% [1].
Is Kalshi affiliated with the companies in the index?
The event states that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying companies [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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