GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

US electricity price in June

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US electricity price in June

Vol

$0.00

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.0¢?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.0¢?	Kalshi	99%
Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.2¢?	Kalshi	98%
Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.6¢?	Kalshi	96%
Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.4¢?	Kalshi	96%
Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.8¢?	Kalshi	94%
Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 20.0¢?	Kalshi	89%
Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 20.2¢?	Kalshi	52%
Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 20.4¢?	Kalshi	11%
Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 21.0¢?	Kalshi	2%
Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 20.8¢?	Kalshi	2%
Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 20.6¢?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

99%

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$0.00

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About This Event

June 2026 If the average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the first value published by FRED for the June 2026 observation of Average Price: Electricity per Kilowatt-Hour in U.S. City Average [APU000072610], stated in U.S. dollars, not seasonally adjusted. The value will be measured to the last decimal place published by the Source Agency. Revisions to the Underlying made after Last Trading

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** US electricity price in June
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** June 2026

If the average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the first value published by FRED for the June 2026 observation of Average Price: Electricity per Kilowatt-Hour in U.S. City Average [APU000072610], stated in U.S. dollars, not seasonally adjusted. The value will be measured to the last decimal place published by the Source Agency. Revisions to the Underlying made after Last Trading

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 is above 21.0¢, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first value published by FRED for the June 2026 observation of Average Price: Electricity per Kilowatt-Hour in U.S. Cit"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 21.0¢?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 20.8¢?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 20.6¢?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 20.4¢?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 20.2¢?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 20.0¢?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 89.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.8¢?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.6¢?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.4¢?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.2¢?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.0¢?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

US electricity price in June

Volume$0.00

Markets11

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KALSHI

Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.0¢?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.0¢?

If the average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 is above 19.0¢, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first value published by FRED for the June 2026 observation of Average Price: Electricity per Kilowatt-Hour in U.S. Cit

KALSHI

Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.2¢?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.2¢?

If the average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 is above 19.2¢, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first value published by FRED for the June 2026 observation of Average Price: Electricity per Kilowatt-Hour in U.S. Cit

KALSHI

Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.6¢?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.6¢?

If the average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 is above 19.6¢, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first value published by FRED for the June 2026 observation of Average Price: Electricity per Kilowatt-Hour in U.S. Cit

KALSHI

Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.4¢?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.4¢?

If the average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 is above 19.4¢, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first value published by FRED for the June 2026 observation of Average Price: Electricity per Kilowatt-Hour in U.S. Cit

KALSHI

Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.8¢?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 93.5¢No 6.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.8¢?

If the average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 is above 19.8¢, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first value published by FRED for the June 2026 observation of Average Price: Electricity per Kilowatt-Hour in U.S. Cit

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Average Yes Price

58¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/wFUAzh" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="US electricity price in June"></iframe>

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US electricity price in June

US electricity price in June

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Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.0¢?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

US electricity price in June

Markets (11)

Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.0¢?

Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.0¢?

Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.2¢?

Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.2¢?

Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.6¢?

Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.6¢?

Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.4¢?

Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.4¢?

Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.8¢?

Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.8¢?

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Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.0¢?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

US electricity price in June

Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.0¢?

Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.0¢?

Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.2¢?

Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.2¢?

Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.6¢?

Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.6¢?

Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.4¢?

Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.4¢?

Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.8¢?

Will average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for June 2026 be above 19.8¢?

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