ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET" [1]. The stated rule is that it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The title's time window and the listed end time are expressed differently. The title uses Eastern Time, while the listed end time is 2026-10-20T04:35:00.000Z [1]. The listed end time is a closing time from the contract data, not an announced event or a confirmed resolution.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z and retrieved at 2026-10-19T06:57:17.938Z [1]. It shows the provider status as active and the two outcomes at equal prices: "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot values, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they describe conditions only at the observation time.
The sample covers all saved markets for this event: one market, with no partial sample flagged [1]. Because the event contains only this binary contract, there are no omitted outcomes to compare against. The equal prices mean the snapshot shows no difference between the two sides at that moment. The data does not show why the prices were equal or how many traders hold each side. The volume field in the saved data is not included here, and volume would not establish liquidity or trader count in any case.
What remains uncertain
The evidence contains no price history, so it cannot show whether the prices have changed since the observation. It also does not establish the Chainlink price at the start of the window or the TWAP during it, so the eventual outcome cannot be inferred from this snapshot. Readers should check the provider page for current pricing and the Chainlink stream for resolution data, since neither is included in the supplied evidence beyond the rule text [1].
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a short-window price market on ZCash, a cryptocurrency, listed on Polymarket under the title "ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET" [1]. It asks whether the price of ZCash will be higher or lower over a five-minute interval, which the title places at 12:30 AM to 12:35 AM Eastern Time on October 20. The provider record lists the end time as 2026-10-20T04:35:00Z, which corresponds to the close of that window in UTC [1]. The resolution rules are specific. The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The outcome therefore depends on an average across the window compared with a starting reference, not on the price at the final moment alone. The resolution source is the ZEC/USD time-weighted average price data stream published by Chainlink, identified in the rules as a 60-second stream [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream for the ZEC/USD pair, and not the price reported by any other source or spot market [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a price on a different exchange or data feed should keep that distinction in mind. The provider record describes the market as active at the time it was observed, with a listed end time that falls after the most recent retrieval of the rules [1]. That status describes the provider's listing at the observation time only. It does not show how the window finished, because the evidence contains no resolution outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the time-weighted average ZEC/USD price from the Chainlink stream over a five-minute window is at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because it uses an average rather than a single print, a brief move near the end of the window may affect the result less than a sustained move across it. Because the rules tie resolution to one named data stream, the contract is a bet on that specific measure rather than a general view of ZCash's market price [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?
The market resolves Up if the time-weighted average price from the Chainlink ZEC/USD stream over the stated window is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that window. Otherwise it resolves Down [1].
Which price source is used to settle the contract?
Settlement uses the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules state that other sources or spot markets are not the reference [1].
When does the market window end?
The provider record lists the end time as 2026-10-20T04:35:00Z, which is 12:35 AM Eastern Time on October 20 [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.