Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIClimate and Weather

Cincinnati cumulative Heating Degree Days (Oct 1 - Dec 31, 2026)

Total Volume

$1.70K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Cincinnati cumulative Heating Degree Days (Oct 1 - Dec 31, 2026)

Vol

$1.70K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $1.70K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.70K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,650.00?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
HDD at Cincinnati below 1,650.00?	Kalshi	51%
HDD at Cincinnati below 1,600.00?	Kalshi	51%
HDD at Cincinnati below 1,550.00?	Kalshi	50%
HDD at Cincinnati below 1,500.00?	Kalshi	50%
HDD at Cincinnati below 1,450.00?	Kalshi	50%
HDD at Cincinnati below 1,400.00?	Kalshi	50%
HDD at Cincinnati below 1,350.00?	Kalshi	50%
HDD at Cincinnati below 1,300.00?	Kalshi	50%
HDD at Cincinnati below 1,250.00?	Kalshi	50%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

51%

Top Probability

$1.70K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Oct 1, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 If the cumulative sum of Heating Degree Days, HDD, at Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International Airport, station identifier KCVG, WMO identifier 72421, is below X between Oct 1, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to Yes. The official observing station is Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International Airport, station identifier KCVG, WMO identifier 72421. The specified local timezone is America/New_York. The accumulation period includes Oct 1, 2026 through Dec 3

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Cincinnati cumulative Heating Degree Days (Oct 1 - Dec 31, 2026)
**Category:** Climate and Weather | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Oct 1, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026

If the cumulative sum of Heating Degree Days, HDD, at Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International Airport, station identifier KCVG, WMO identifier 72421, is below X between Oct 1, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to Yes. The official observing station is Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International Airport, station identifier KCVG, WMO identifier 72421. The specified local timezone is America/New_York. The accumulation period includes Oct 1, 2026 through Dec 3

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the cumulative sum of Heating Degree Days (HDD) at Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International Airport (station identifier KCVG, WMO identifier 72421) is below 1,650.00 between Oct 1, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The official observing station is Cincinnati/N"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. HDD at Cincinnati below 1,650.00?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. HDD at Cincinnati below 1,600.00?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. HDD at Cincinnati below 1,550.00?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. HDD at Cincinnati below 1,500.00?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $540
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. HDD at Cincinnati below 1,450.00?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $141
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. HDD at Cincinnati below 1,400.00?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $985
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. HDD at Cincinnati below 1,350.00?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. HDD at Cincinnati below 1,300.00?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $15
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. HDD at Cincinnati below 1,250.00?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIClimate and Weather

Cincinnati cumulative Heating Degree Days (Oct 1 - Dec 31, 2026)

Volume$1.70K

Markets9

9 of 9

Sort:

KALSHI

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,650.00?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

KALSHIOther

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,650.00?

If the cumulative sum of Heating Degree Days (HDD) at Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International Airport (station identifier KCVG, WMO identifier 72421) is below 1,650.00 between Oct 1, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The official observing station is Cincinnati/N

KALSHI

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,600.00?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

KALSHIOther

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,600.00?

If the cumulative sum of Heating Degree Days (HDD) at Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International Airport (station identifier KCVG, WMO identifier 72421) is below 1,600.00 between Oct 1, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The official observing station is Cincinnati/N

KALSHI

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,550.00?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

KALSHIOther

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,550.00?

If the cumulative sum of Heating Degree Days (HDD) at Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International Airport (station identifier KCVG, WMO identifier 72421) is below 1,550.00 between Oct 1, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The official observing station is Cincinnati/N

KALSHI

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,500.00?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

KALSHIOther

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,500.00?

If the cumulative sum of Heating Degree Days (HDD) at Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International Airport (station identifier KCVG, WMO identifier 72421) is below 1,500.00 between Oct 1, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The official observing station is Cincinnati/N

KALSHI

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,450.00?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

KALSHIOther

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,450.00?

If the cumulative sum of Heating Degree Days (HDD) at Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International Airport (station identifier KCVG, WMO identifier 72421) is below 1,450.00 between Oct 1, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The official observing station is Cincinnati/N

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/wSF2Mx" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Cincinnati cumulative Heating Degree Days (Oct 1 - Dec 31, 2026)"></iframe>

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Cincinnati cumulative Heating Degree Days (Oct 1 - Dec 31, 2026)

Cincinnati cumulative Heating Degree Days (Oct 1 - Dec 31, 2026)

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HDD at Cincinnati below 1,650.00?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Cincinnati cumulative Heating Degree Days (Oct 1 - Dec 31, 2026)

Markets (9)

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,650.00?

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,650.00?

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,600.00?

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,600.00?

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,550.00?

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,550.00?

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,500.00?

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,500.00?

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,450.00?

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,450.00?

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Discussion

Market Insights

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,650.00?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Cincinnati cumulative Heating Degree Days (Oct 1 - Dec 31, 2026)

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,650.00?

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,650.00?

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,600.00?

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,600.00?

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,550.00?

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,550.00?

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,500.00?

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,500.00?

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,450.00?

HDD at Cincinnati below 1,450.00?

Related News & Context

Discussion

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