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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

MLB: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals

Name: MLB: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals
End: 2026-10-05T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$72.19K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

MLB: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals

Vol

$72.19K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $72.19K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $72.19K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

30 markets tracked

Will the New York Yankees win more than 86.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(30)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the New York Yankees win more than 86.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Poly	81%
Will the Athletics win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Poly	74%
Will the Houston Astros win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Poly	63%
Will the Atlanta Braves win more than 90.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Poly	56%
Will the Chicago Cubs win more than 86.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Poly	52%
Will the San Diego Padres win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Poly	51%
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Poly	51%
Will the Minnesota Twins win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Poly	51%
Will the Los Angeles Angels win more than 72.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Poly	51%
Will the Washington Nationals win more than 68.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Poly	51%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Poly	51%
Will the Texas Rangers win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Poly	50%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win more than 87.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Poly	50%
Will the Cleveland Guardians win more than 75.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Poly	50%
Will the San Francisco Giants win more than 82.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Poly	50%
Will the Detroit Tigers win more than 85.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Poly	49%
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win more than 82.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Poly	49%
Will the Colorado Rockies win more than 65.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Poly	49%
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win more than 75.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Poly	49%
Will the Seattle Mariners win more than 88.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Poly	48%
Will the New York Mets win more than 89.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Poly	48%
Will the Miami Marlins win more than 74.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Poly	48%
Will the Chicago White Sox win more than 67.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Poly	48%
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win more than 81.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Poly	47%
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win more than 99.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Poly	39%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win more than 83.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Poly	38%
Will the Boston Red Sox win more than 85.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Poly	32%
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Poly	28%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Poly	26%
Will the Kansas City Royals win more than 81.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	Poly	25%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

81%

Top Probability

$72.19K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the final regular season record of the listed team during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If the listed team records more than the listed number of wins, the corresponding market will to its corresponding “Over”. Otherwise, it will resolve to its corresponding “Under”. If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the listed team to record more than listed number of wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to corresponding

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, August 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** MLB: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 5, 2026 (53 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the final regular season record of the listed team during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If the listed team records more than the listed number of wins, the corresponding market will to its corresponding “Over”. Otherwise, it will resolve to its corresponding “Under”.

If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the listed team to record more than listed number of wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to corresponding

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "O 86.5" if the New York Yankees win more than 86.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.

If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the New York Yankees to record more than 86.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $72.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $4.9K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 14.60)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the New York Yankees win more than 86.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $30
  DATA: [O 86.5: 80.5% (0.0%)] | [U 86.5: 19.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Boston Red Sox win more than 85.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $443
  DATA: [O 85.5: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [U 85.5: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $5.4K
  DATA: [O 84.5: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [U 84.5: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the Baltimore Orioles win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $366
  DATA: [O 84.5: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [U 84.5: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the Tampa Bay Rays win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $11
  DATA: [O 78.5: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [U 78.5: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the Detroit Tigers win more than 85.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $132
  DATA: [O 85.5: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [U 85.5: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the Kansas City Royals win more than 81.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $270
  DATA: [O 81.5: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [U 81.5: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the Minnesota Twins win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $4
  DATA: [O 80.5: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [U 80.5: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the Cleveland Guardians win more than 75.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $432
  DATA: [O 75.5: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [U 75.5: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the Chicago White Sox win more than 67.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $26.4K
  DATA: [O 67.5: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [U 67.5: 52.4% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the Seattle Mariners win more than 88.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $3.7K
  DATA: [O 88.5: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [U 88.5: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the Texas Rangers win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [O 80.5: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [U 80.5: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will the Houston Astros win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [O 80.5: 63.0% (0.0%)] | [U 80.5: 37.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will the Athletics win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [O 78.5: 74.0% (0.0%)] | [U 78.5: 26.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will the Los Angeles Angels win more than 72.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [O 72.5: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [U 72.5: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will the Atlanta Braves win more than 90.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $130
  DATA: [O 90.5: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [U 90.5: 44.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will the New York Mets win more than 89.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $20
  DATA: [O 89.5: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [U 89.5: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will the Philadelphia Phillies win more than 87.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [O 87.5: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [U 87.5: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will the Miami Marlins win more than 74.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $23.0K
  DATA: [O 74.5: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [U 74.5: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will the Washington Nationals win more than 68.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [O 68.5: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [U 68.5: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will the Chicago Cubs win more than 86.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $84
  DATA: [O 86.5: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [U 86.5: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win more than 83.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [O 83.5: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [U 83.5: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will the Milwaukee Brewers win more than 82.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $581
  DATA: [O 82.5: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [U 82.5: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will the Cincinnati Reds win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $420
  DATA: [O 78.5: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [U 78.5: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will the St. Louis Cardinals win more than 75.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $200
  DATA: [O 75.5: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [U 75.5: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win more than 99.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [O 99.5: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [U 99.5: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will the San Francisco Giants win more than 82.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [O 82.5: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [U 82.5: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win more than 81.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $321
  DATA: [O 81.5: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [U 81.5: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will the San Diego Padres win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $270
  DATA: [O 80.5: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [U 80.5: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will the Colorado Rockies win more than 65.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 5, 2026): Vol $203
  DATA: [O 65.5: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [U 65.5: 51.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

MLB: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals

Volume$72.19K

Markets30

30 of 30

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Will the New York Yankees win more than 86.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will the New York Yankees win more than 86.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

This market will resolve to "O 86.5" if the New York Yankees win more than 86.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the New York Yankees to record more than 86.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U

POLYMARKET

Will the Boston Red Sox win more than 85.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will the Boston Red Sox win more than 85.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

This market will resolve to "O 85.5" if the Boston Red Sox win more than 85.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Boston Red Sox to record more than 85.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 85.5

POLYMARKET

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

This market will resolve to "O 84.5" if the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Toronto Blue Jays to record more than 84.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "

POLYMARKET

Will the Baltimore Orioles win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will the Baltimore Orioles win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

This market will resolve to "O 84.5" if the Baltimore Orioles win more than 84.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Baltimore Orioles to record more than 84.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "

POLYMARKET

Will the Tampa Bay Rays win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will the Tampa Bay Rays win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

This market will resolve to "O 78.5" if the Tampa Bay Rays win more than 78.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Tampa Bay Rays to record more than 78.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 78.5

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Next Market Closes

52d 12h remaining

Oct 05, 2026 3:59 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

48¢

Polymarket

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/xGIBOK" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="MLB: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals"></iframe>

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MLB: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals

MLB: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals

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Will the New York Yankees win more than 86.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

MLB: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals

Markets (30)

Will the New York Yankees win more than 86.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

Will the New York Yankees win more than 86.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

Will the Boston Red Sox win more than 85.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

Will the Boston Red Sox win more than 85.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

Will the Baltimore Orioles win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

Will the Baltimore Orioles win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

Will the Tampa Bay Rays win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

Will the Tampa Bay Rays win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the New York Yankees win more than 86.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

MLB: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals

Will the New York Yankees win more than 86.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

Will the New York Yankees win more than 86.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

Will the Boston Red Sox win more than 85.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

Will the Boston Red Sox win more than 85.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

Will the Baltimore Orioles win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

Will the Baltimore Orioles win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

Will the Tampa Bay Rays win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

Will the Tampa Bay Rays win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

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Discussion

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