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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

2028 Presidential Election: New York Winner

2028 Presidential Election: New York Winner
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Events

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Markets

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Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Democratic Party at 90%.

Polymarket

  1. Democratic Party90%
  2. Republican Party10.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $0

Reported volume · provider units

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Saved contracts

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

The 2028 Presidential Election is expected to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate, or, in the case of an independent candidate, the named candidate, who wins the most valid statewide votes of any candidate in New York in the 2028 Presidential Election. A candidate will be considered to represent a party if they are the nominee of that party. A candidate who is the nominee of either the Democratic or Republican Party will be considered to represent that party, regardless of any additional party affiliations they may have. This market resolves based on the candidate that wins the most statewide votes in the specified state in the 2028 US presidential election, regardless of the subsequent distribution of that state’s electoral college votes. For states using ranked-choice voting or another multi-round system, the vote count from the final round will be used. The nominees of relevant parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. If any named party nominee is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and this market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the statewide New York results of the 2028 presidential election cannot be definitively determined by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution sources for this market are the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC; however, the certified statewide results of the 2028 presidential election may also be used. This market will resolve once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have all concurrently called the state for the same candidate. If one or more of these news organizations does not make statewide race calls for the 2028 presidential election it will be considered to have been struck from this list. If the relevant news organizations do not reach consensus, this market will resolve based on the certified results of the election reported by the state government.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
New York presidential election winner?

New York presidential election winner?

K 0 contracts
Will the Democratic Party win New York in the 2028 presidential election?Yes 95%
Will the Republican Party win New York in the 2028 presidential election?Yes 5.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which states will pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

Which states will pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

K 1.7K contracts
Will New York pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?Yes 82%
Will Wisconsin pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?Yes 74.5%
Will Maryland pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?Yes 71.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York Democratic presidential primary winner?

New York Democratic presidential primary winner?

K 0 contracts
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?Yes 26%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?Yes 17%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?Yes 13.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York Republican presidential primary winner?

New York Republican presidential primary winner?

K 0 contracts
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 New York Republican primary?Yes 33.5%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 New York Republican primary?Yes 20.5%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 New York Republican primary?Yes 11.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2028 Presidential Election: New Jersey Winner

2028 Presidential Election: New Jersey Winner

PM $10.0K
Will the Democrats win New Jersey in the 2028 Presidential Election?Yes 87%
Will the Republicans win New Jersey in the 2028 Presidential Election?Yes 9.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2028 Presidential Election: New Hampshire Winner

2028 Presidential Election: New Hampshire Winner

PM $9.5K
Will the Democrats win New Hampshire in the 2028 Presidential Election?Yes 75.5%
Will the Republicans win New Hampshire in the 2028 Presidential Election?Yes 24.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2028 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

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