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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

2028 Presidential Election: New Hampshire Winner

2028 Presidential Election: New Hampshire Winner
Vol

PM $183.72

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Events

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Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Republican Party at 40%.

Polymarket

  1. Republican Party40%
  2. Democratic Party36%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $183.72

Reported volume · provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

The 2028 Presidential Election is expected to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate, or, in the case of an independent candidate, the named candidate, who wins the most valid statewide votes of any candidate in New Hampshire in the 2028 Presidential Election. A candidate will be considered to represent a party if they are the nominee of that party. A candidate who is the nominee of either the Democratic or Republican Party will be considered to represent that party, regardless of any additional party affiliations they may have. This market resolves based on the candidate that wins the most statewide votes in the specified state in the 2028 US presidential election, regardless of the subsequent distribution of that state’s electoral college votes. For states using ranked-choice voting or another multi-round system, the vote count from the final round will be used. The nominees of relevant parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. If any named party nominee is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and this market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the statewide New Hampshire results of the 2028 presidential election cannot be definitively determined by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution sources for this market are the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC; however, the certified statewide results of the 2028 presidential election may also be used. This market will resolve once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have all concurrently called the state for the same candidate. If one or more of these news organizations does not make statewide race calls for the 2028 presidential election it will be considered to have been struck from this list. If the relevant news organizations do not reach consensus, this market will resolve based on the certified results of the election reported by the state government.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?

Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?

K 99.0K contracts
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that New Hampshire holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 87.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Iowa holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 8%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that South Carolina holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 4.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will New Hampshire schedule its 2028 presidential primary before South Carolina?

Will New Hampshire schedule its 2028 presidential primary before South Carolina?

K 3.0K contracts
Will it be reported by New Hampshire Secretary of State that the New Hampshire secretary of state announces a specific date for the 2028 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary that precedes the currently scheduled date for the South Carolina presidential primary before Jan 22, 2028?Yes 86%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 29, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?

Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?

K 198.8K contracts
Will Florida be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 42.5%
Will Maine be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 32.5%
Will Ohio be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 8%
+17 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2028 Presidential Election: New Mexico Winner

2028 Presidential Election: New Mexico Winner

PM $2.8K
Will the Democrats win New Mexico in the 2028 Presidential Election?Yes 66.5%
Will the Republicans win New Mexico in the 2028 Presidential Election?Yes 30%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2028 Presidential Election: New Jersey Winner

2028 Presidential Election: New Jersey Winner

PM $480.96
Will the Democrats win New Jersey in the 2028 Presidential Election?Yes 75.5%
Will the Republicans win New Jersey in the 2028 Presidential Election?Yes 19%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?

Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?

K 194.6K contracts
Will Texas be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 26.5%
Will Kansas be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 23.5%
Will South Carolina be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 17.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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