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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
Vol

PM $25.2K

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Markets

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Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, Yes is priced at 8.5% on Polymarket.

Polymarket

  1. Yes8.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $25.2K

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any court in the United States issues a ruling that widespread fraud, fraudulent conduct, or illegal manipulation of votes occurred in at least one US state during the 2020 United States Presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ruling is defined as any written order, judgement, opinion, or decision, including per curiam opinions, summary orders and sua sponte rulings issued by a relevant court. Unwritten oral rulings, tentative rulings, settlements, orders to show cause, or other procedures which do not constitute a finalized ruling will not count. A qualifying ruling of fraud must find that widespread, intentional voter fraud or vote-manipulation occured during the 2020 United States Presidential election. Procedural irregularities, administrative errors, or isolated rulings on individual cases of voter fraud will not count. The primary resolution source will be official information from the relevant court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
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PolymarketKalshiPolitics
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PM $717.87M · K 75.39M contracts

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Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

22 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
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+18 moreNext deadline Nov 6, 2028 UTC
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+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

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