GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Michigan Senate and Governor Combo

Name: Michigan Senate and Governor Combo
End: 2026-11-03T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$10.93K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Michigan Senate and Governor Combo

Vol

$10.93K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $10.93K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $10.93K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?	Poly	66%
Will Democrats win the Michigan Governor election and Republicans win the Michigan Senate election?	Poly	29%
Will Republicans sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?	Poly	7%
Will Republicans win the Michigan Governor election and Democrats win the Michigan Senate election?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

66%

Top Probability

$10.93K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these e

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Michigan Senate and Governor Combo
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 3, 2026 (60 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. 

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these e

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. 

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $10.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $26.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.42)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $4.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 65.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Republicans sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $4.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Democrats win the Michigan Governor election and Republicans win the Michigan Senate election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Republicans win the Michigan Governor election and Democrats win the Michigan Senate election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $824
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics