Market snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Senate Combo: Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire

Reported volume

PM $14.3K

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Senate Combo: Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire

Vol

PM $14.3K

Events

Markets

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Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Dems sweep at 66.5%.

Polymarket

Dems sweep66.5%
Reps MI, Dems MN & NH21.4%
Reps MI & MN, Dems NH5%
Dems MI & NH, Reps MN4.9%
Reps sweep4.3%

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Price ChartContract price history

8 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?	Poly	66.5%
Will Republicans win the Michigan Senate seat, and Democrats win Minnesota and New Hampshire?	Poly	21.4%
Will Republicans win the Michigan and Minnesota Senate seats, and Democrats win New Hampshire?	Poly	5.0%
Will Democrats win the Michigan and New Hampshire Senate seats, and Republicans win Minnesota?	Poly	4.9%
Will Republicans win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?	Poly	4.3%
Will Democrats win the Michigan and Minnesota Senate seats, and Republicans win New Hampshire?	Poly	3.6%
Will Democrats win the Michigan Senate seat, and Republicans win Minnesota and New Hampshire?	Poly	0.8%
Will Republicans win the Michigan and New Hampshire Senate seats, and Democrats win Minnesota?	Poly	0.5%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $14.3K

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Senate Combo: Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $14.3K
Coverage: 8 of 8 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Republicans win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5420675; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-republicans-win-the-michigan-minnesota-and-new-hampshire-senate-seats
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $1.4K
Outcome Yes: 4.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.7%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. 

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". 

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. 

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Contract: Will Republicans win the Michigan and Minnesota Senate seats, and Democrats win New Hampshire?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5420676; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-republicans-win-the-michigan-and-minnesota-senate-seats-and-democrats-win-new-hampshire
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $434.08
Outcome Yes: 5.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. 

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". 

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. 

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Contract: Will Republicans win the Michigan and New Hampshire Senate seats, and Democrats win Minnesota?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5420677; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-republicans-win-the-michigan-and-new-hampshire-senate-seats-and-democrats-win-minnesota
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $864.77
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. 

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". 

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. 

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Contract: Will Republicans win the Michigan Senate seat, and Democrats win Minnesota and New Hampshire?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5420678; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-republicans-win-the-michigan-senate-seat-and-democrats-win-minnesota-and-new-hampshire
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $1.6K
Outcome Yes: 21.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 78.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. 

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". 

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. 

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Contract: Will Democrats win the Michigan Senate seat, and Republicans win Minnesota and New Hampshire?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5420679; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-seat-and-republicans-win-minnesota-and-new-hampshire
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $312.39
Outcome Yes: 0.8%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.2%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. 

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". 

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. 

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Contract: Will Democrats win the Michigan and New Hampshire Senate seats, and Republicans win Minnesota?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5420680; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-democrats-win-the-michigan-and-new-hampshire-senate-seats-and-republicans-win-minnesota
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $602.27
Outcome Yes: 4.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.1%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. 

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". 

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. 

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Contract: Will Democrats win the Michigan and Minnesota Senate seats, and Republicans win New Hampshire?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5420681; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-democrats-win-the-michigan-and-minnesota-senate-seats-and-republicans-win-new-hampshire
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $2.3K
Outcome Yes: 3.6%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.4%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. 

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". 

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. 

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Contract: Will Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5420682; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-democrats-win-the-michigan-minnesota-and-new-hampshire-senate-seats
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: $6.8K
Outcome Yes: 66.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 33.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. 

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". 

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. 

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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POLYMARKETPolitics