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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Gas prices on October 20?

Gas prices on October 20?
Vol

PM $5.71

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Events

1

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Markets

6

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $5.71

Reported volume · provider units

6

Saved contracts

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA for October 20, 2026. This market resolves based on the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA at https://gasprices.aaa.com/ in the "National Average Gas Prices" table under the "Regular" column and the "Current Avg." row. Each date's price is the price displayed at 10:00 AM ET on that date, provided that at that time the "Price as of" date shown on the webpage is that date and the "Yesterday Avg." row in the same column shows the previous date's price. If either condition is not met at 10:00 AM ET, the price will be observed at the first time on that date at which both are met; if both are not met by 11:59 PM ET on that date, the price displayed in the table at that time will be used. If AAA does not display the US national average price of regular gasoline in the table at the time of observation, the price displayed elsewhere on the webpage will be used. If AAA displays no US national average price of regular gasoline on the specified webpage at any time on the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent previously-published AAA US national average price of regular gasoline. The resolution source for this market will be the American Automobile Association (AAA) (https://gasprices.aaa.com/). Note: AAA currently publishes gas prices to four decimal places (e.g., $4.3718). The price will be used as published, without rounding.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiEconomy
US gas prices on Election Day

US gas prices on Election Day

PM $5.4K · K 276.9K contracts

Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by October 31?

Kalshi: Will average **gas prices** be above $4.50?

Related contracts

PM Yes 42.5%Rules differK Yes 11.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
What will gas hit the week of October 19?

What will gas hit the week of October 19?

PM $0
Will US gas hit $4.28 (Low) the week of October 19?Yes 51.5%
Will US gas hit $4.30 (High) the week of October 19?Yes 51%
Will US gas hit $4.40 (High) the week of October 19?Yes 50%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Will gas be below $3.75 in any state on...?

Will gas be below $3.75 in any state on...?

PM $9.1K
Will gas be below $3.75/gallon in any state on October 31?Yes 57%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomics
Fed decision in Oct 2026?

Fed decision in Oct 2026?

PM $49.59M · K 12.70M contracts

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 84.5%Rules differK Yes 85.5%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2027 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 84.5%Rules differK Yes 72.5%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2027 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 14.5%Rules differK Yes 8%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
October Inflation US - Annual

October Inflation US - Annual

PM $17.5K
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?Yes 81.5%
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in October?Yes 4.8%
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in October?Yes 4.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Colombia rate decision in October

Colombia rate decision in October

PM $41.0K · K 27.9K contracts

Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Banco de la República maintain the current rate at the October Policy Rate Meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 54.5%Rules differK Yes 54.5%

Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Banco de la República hike 1-25bps at the October Policy Rate Meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 39.5%Rules differK Yes 35%

Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Banco de la República hike more than 25bps at the October Policy Rate Meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 5.8%Rules differK Yes 4%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

0

No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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