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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

Over 10,000 Pump.fun graduated tokens in April?

Name: Over 10,000 Pump.fun graduated tokens in April?
End: 2026-05-01T04:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$78.50

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Over 10,000 Pump.fun graduated tokens in April?

Vol

$78.50

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $78.50

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $78.50

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Over 10,000 Pump.fun graduated tokens in April?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Over 10,000 Pump.fun graduated tokens in April?	Poly	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$78.50

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if over 10,000 Pump.fun graduated tokens are recorded in April. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is Dune Analytics, specifically the "Graduated Tokens" bar chart available at https://dune.com/adam_tehc/pumpfun. The total for April will be calculated as the sum of all daily bars during the month. A daily bar will be considered finalized once the next day’s bar is published. If the data is revised before the thr

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Over 10,000 Pump.fun graduated tokens in April?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 1, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if over 10,000 Pump.fun graduated tokens are recorded in April. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is Dune Analytics, specifically the "Graduated Tokens" bar chart available at https://dune.com/adam_tehc/pumpfun. The total for April will be calculated as the sum of all daily bars during the month.

A daily bar will be considered finalized once the next day’s bar is published.

If the data is revised before the thr

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if over 10,000 Pump.fun graduated tokens are recorded in April. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is Dune Analytics, specifically the "Graduated Tokens" bar chart available at https://dune.com/adam_tehc/pumpfun. The "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $79
* **Total Liquidity:** $317
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.25)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Over 10,000 Pump.fun graduated tokens in April?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $79
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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