Economics prediction markets
1,518 economics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 1,201-1,248 of 1,518 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics
What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
K 2.5K contractsWill the tariff rate on People's Republic of China imports be at least 15% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the tariff rate on People's Republic of China imports be at least 10% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the tariff rate on People's Republic of China imports be at least 50% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 50.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
US Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) Up or Down on October 19?
PM $0US Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Credit Card Delinquency Rate in Q3 2026
K 2.5K contractsWill Credit Card Delinquency Rate in Q3 2026 be above 2.79%?Yes 82%
Will Credit Card Delinquency Rate in Q3 2026 be above 2.80%?Yes 64%
Will Credit Card Delinquency Rate in Q3 2026 be above 2.81%?Yes 47%
+10 moreNext deadline Dec 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW) Up or Down on October 19?
PM $0US Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed funds rate at end of 2035
K 2.5K contractsWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 2.25%?Yes 72.5%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 1.25%?Yes 71.5%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 1.00%?Yes 70%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2036 UTC
PolymarketFinance
US Dollar / Swiss Franc (USD/CHF) Up or Down on October 19?
PM $0US Dollar / Swiss Franc (USD/CHF) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Dollar General same-store sales growth in fiscal 2026
K 2.5K contractsWill Dollar General Corporation report Above 1% same-store sales growth in fiscal 2026?Yes 95%
Will Dollar General Corporation report Above 1.5% same-store sales growth in fiscal 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will Dollar General Corporation report Above 2% same-store sales growth in fiscal 2026?Yes 73%
+4 moreNext deadline Jun 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
US Dollar / Mexican Peso (USD/MXN) Up or Down on October 19?
PM $0US Dollar / Mexican Peso (USD/MXN) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
US unemployment rate at year-end 2028
K 2.5K contractsWill the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 be above 3.0%?Yes 94.5%
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 be above 3.5%?Yes 90%
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 be above 4.0%?Yes 82%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 12, 2029 UTC
PolymarketFinance
US Dollar / Norwegian Krone (USD/NOK) Up or Down on October 19?
PM $0US Dollar / Norwegian Krone (USD/NOK) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Vancouver condo price below C$650K in 2026?
K 2.4K contractsWill the MLS® Home Price Index benchmark price of apartment homes in Metro Vancouver in 2026 fall below 650K?Yes 22%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 22, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
US Dollar / Swedish Krona (USD/SEK) Up or Down on October 19?
PM $0US Dollar / Swedish Krona (USD/SEK) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
X Money APY at end of 2026
K 2.4K contractsWill the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 4.00%?Yes 92%
Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 4.50%?Yes 86.5%
Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 5.00%?Yes 85%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
US Dollar / South African Rand (USD/ZAR) Up or Down on October 19?
PM $0US Dollar / South African Rand (USD/ZAR) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
ISM Manufacturing PMI in October
K 2.4K contractsISM Manufacturing PMI in Oct 2026? (At least 51)Yes 97.5%
ISM Manufacturing PMI in Oct 2026? (At least 52)Yes 95.5%
ISM Manufacturing PMI in Oct 2026? (At least 53)Yes 84%
+5 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
US Dollar / Turkish Lira (USD/TRY) Up or Down on October 19?
PM $0US Dollar / Turkish Lira (USD/TRY) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
When will insulated copper cable face Section 232 restrictions?
K 2.4K contractsWill it be reported by the Federal Register that a Section 232 import restriction takes effect for articles classified under HTSUS statistical reporting number 8544.49.3040 before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 36%
Will it be reported by the Federal Register that a Section 232 import restriction takes effect for articles classified under HTSUS statistical reporting number 8544.49.3040 before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 35%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
US Dollar / Brazilian Real (USD/BRL) Up or Down on October 19?
PM $0US Dollar / Brazilian Real (USD/BRL) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Canada home price above C$700K in December?
K 2.3K contractsWill actual, not seasonally adjusted, national average sale price of homes sold in Canada for December, 2026 be above C$700,000ㅤ?Yes 17%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 22, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on October 19?
PM $0Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Core CPI YoY in December (exact value)
K 2.3K contractsWill CPI core year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 2.9%?Yes 22%
Will CPI core year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 2.8%?Yes 17%
Will CPI core year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 2.7%?Yes 15%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $0Will Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 69%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Companies removed from the S&P 500 in Q4?
K 2.3K contractsWill Kenvue be removed from the S&P 500 in Q4 2026?Yes 80.5%
Will AES be removed from the S&P 500 in Q4 2026?Yes 30.5%
Will Norwegian Cruise Line be removed from the S&P 500 in Q4 2026?Yes 26%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Teleflex (TFX) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $0Will Teleflex (TFX) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 64%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Roblox daily active users in fiscal 2026
K 2.3K contractsWill Roblox Corporation report Above 130 million daily active users in fiscal 2026?Yes 90%
Will Roblox Corporation report Above 135 million daily active users in fiscal 2026?Yes 74%
Will Roblox Corporation report Above 140 million daily active users in fiscal 2026?Yes 62%
+7 moreNext deadline May 12, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Hyatt (H) beat quarterly earnings?
PM $0Will Hyatt (H) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 71%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
#2 Global Netflix Movie this week?
K 2.3K contractsWill Doing Life be #2 Global Netflix Movie on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 97%
Will UNABOMBER be #2 Global Netflix Movie on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 1.5%
Will The Forever Purge be #2 Global Netflix Movie on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 1.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
SPY Opens Up or Down on October 19?
PM $0SPY Opens Up or Down on October 19?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
FAO Food Price Index for October
K 2.3K contractsWill the FAO Food Price Index for October 2026 be above 131.0?Yes 91%
Will the FAO Food Price Index for October 2026 be above 132.0?Yes 82.5%
Will the FAO Food Price Index for October 2026 be above 133.0?Yes 72%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 13, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Apple (AAPL) closes week of Oct 19 at ___?
PM $0Will Apple (AAPL) close at <$320 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?Yes 22%
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $340-$345 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?Yes 22%
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $345-$350 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?Yes 21.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Olipop officially announce an IPO?
K 2.2K contractsWhen will Olipop IPO? (Before Jun 1, 2027)Yes 14%
When will Olipop IPO? (Before May 1, 2027)Yes 13%
When will Olipop IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 11%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of October 19 above___?
PM $0Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of October 19 above $320?Yes 94.5%
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of October 19 above $315?Yes 94%
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of October 19 above $325?Yes 93.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
How much will core PCE increase in Nov 2026?
K 2.2K contractsWill the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.0% in November 2026?Yes 95%
Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.1% in November 2026?Yes 77.5%
Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.2% in November 2026?Yes 48%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Microsoft (MSFT) closes week of Oct 19 at ___?
PM $0Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $520-$530 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?Yes 23%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $530-$540 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?Yes 20%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $510-$520 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?Yes 17.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed funds rate at end of 2032
K 2.2K contractsWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 1.50%?Yes 80%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 1.25%?Yes 79%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 1.75%?Yes 69.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2033 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of October 19 above___?
PM $0Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of October 19 above $490?Yes 91.5%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of October 19 above $470?Yes 90%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of October 19 above $480?Yes 90%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed funds rate at end of 2034
K 2.2K contractsWill the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 1.25%?Yes 75.5%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 1.00%?Yes 75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 1.75%?Yes 70%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2035 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Amazon (AMZN) closes week of Oct 19 at ___?
PM $0Will Amazon (AMZN) close at <$225 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?Yes 25%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $250-$255 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?Yes 25%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $245-$250 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?Yes 23%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
US manufacturing construction spending in December 2026
K 2.1K contractsWill Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $130 billion?Yes 96%
Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $140 billion?Yes 93.5%
Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $150 billion?Yes 84%
+7 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Google (GOOGL) closes week of Oct 19 at ___?
PM $0Will Google (GOOGL) close at $340-$345 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?Yes 18%
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $345-$350 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?Yes 17%
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $335-$340 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?Yes 16.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
PPI YoY in October
K 2.1K contractsWill the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for October 2026 be above 6.0%?Yes 93%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for October 2026 be above 6.1%?Yes 88.5%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for October 2026 be above 6.2%?Yes 85.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of October 19 above___?
PM $0Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of October 19 above $310?Yes 92.5%
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of October 19 above $315?Yes 91%
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of October 19 above $320?Yes 88%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Brendan Carr departure announced?
K 2.1K contractsWill Brendan Carr leave chair of the Federal Communications Commission before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Meta (META) closes week of Oct 19 at ___?
PM $0Will Meta (META) close at >$750 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?Yes 23%
Will Meta (META) close at <$660 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?Yes 19%
Will Meta (META) close at $730-$740 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?Yes 11.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will wages beat inflation in 2026?
K 2.1K contractsWill U.S. real average hourly earnings growth (all private employees, YoY, seasonally adjusted) for December 2026 be above 0.0%?Yes 51.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Meta (META) finish week of October 19 above___?
PM $0Will Meta (META) finish week of October 19 above $650?Yes 81.5%
Will Meta (META) finish week of October 19 above $670?Yes 70%
Will Meta (META) finish week of October 19 above $660?Yes 69%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Delivery app downloads array index in October 2026
K 2.1K contractsWill Delivery app downloads array index for October 2026 be above 135?Yes 50.5%
Will Delivery app downloads array index for October 2026 be above 145?Yes 50.2%
Will Delivery app downloads array index for October 2026 be above 140?Yes 50.2%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 15, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Oct 19 at ___?
PM $0Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$330 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?Yes 28%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$375 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?Yes 21.5%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $360-$365 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?Yes 11.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC