Politics prediction markets
6,972 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 2,545-2,592 of 6,972 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
KATSEYE’s “WILD”: Weeks at No. 1 in 2026
K 7.4K contractsWill Wild by KATSEYE spend 3 weeks at #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?Yes 3.5%
Will Wild by KATSEYE spend 4 weeks at #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?Yes 3%
Will Wild by KATSEYE spend 2 weeks at #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?Yes 2.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
HI-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $20.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 31.3%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 28%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 22%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas Commissioner of Agriculture winner?
K 7.4K contractsWho will win the 2026 Texas Commissioner of Agriculture election? (Nate Sheets)Yes 59.5%
Who will win the 2026 Texas Commissioner of Agriculture election? (Clayton Tucker)Yes 38.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner
PM $20.1KWill Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?Yes 52%
Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?Yes 40%
Will Lin Szu-ming win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?Yes 0.1%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026)
K 7.4K contractsWill the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 9 in Oct 2026?Yes 37%
Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 10 in Oct 2026?Yes 25%
Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 12 in Oct 2026?Yes 11%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Michigan Senate and Governor Combo
PM $20.1KWill Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?Yes 68.5%
Will Democrats win the Michigan Governor election and Republicans win the Michigan Senate election?Yes 28%
Will Republicans sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?Yes 3.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Moody's Corporation say during their next earnings call?
K 7.4K contractsWhat will Moody's Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Private Credit)Yes 97.5%
What will Moody's Corporation say during their next earnings call? (AI / Artificial Intelligence (3+ times))Yes 97.5%
What will Moody's Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Retention)Yes 90.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 19, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $20.0KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-03 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 33%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-03 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 29.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 17%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NC-12 House election: Jack Codiga vote percent
K 7.4K contractsWill Jack Codiga receive at least 16% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-12 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Jack Codiga receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-12 House election?Yes 92%
Will Jack Codiga receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-12 House election?Yes 72.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $20.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-06 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 24.2%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-06 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 19.6%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-06 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 17.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
GA-08 House winner?
K 7.4K contractsWill Republican win the House race for GA-08?Yes 96.9%
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-08?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
PA-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $20.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-12 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 29.7%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-12 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-12 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 13.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arkansas Senate General Election: voter turnout
K 7.4K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Arkansas Senate General Election be above 750000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Arkansas Senate General Election be above 800000?Yes 94%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Arkansas Senate General Election be above 850000?Yes 86%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-29 House Election Winner
PM $19.9KWill the Democratic Party win the TX-29 House seat?Yes 97.3%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-29 House seat?Yes 1.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
HI-02 House election: Brenton Awa vote percent
K 7.3K contractsWill Brenton Awa receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-02 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Brenton Awa receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-02 House election?Yes 96%
Will Brenton Awa receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-02 House election?Yes 90%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.9KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?Yes 33%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 5%-10%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?Yes 16.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia Secretary of State winner?
K 7.3K contractsWill the Democratic party win the Secretary of State election in Georgia?Yes 54%
Will the Republican party win the Secretary of State election in Georgia?Yes 44%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
PM $19.9KWill the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? Yes 74.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
K 7.3K contractsWill Treg Taylor receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Treg Taylor receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Treg Taylor receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Yes 86.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IN-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 23%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 21%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
WI-01 House winner?
PM $19.8K · K 111.5K contractsWill the Republican Party win the WI-01 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for WI-1?
Related contracts
PM Yes 61.5%Rules differK Yes 61.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for WI-1?
Related contracts
PM Yes 38.5%Rules differK Yes 39%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Italian Chamber of Deputies election winner?
K 7.3K contractsWho will win the next Italian Chamber of Deputies election? (Brothers of Italy)Yes 55.5%
Who will win the next Italian Chamber of Deputies election? (Democratic Party)Yes 36%
Who will win the next Italian Chamber of Deputies election? (Five Star Movement)Yes 3.7%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Wyoming Governor election: Kenneth Casner vote percent
K 7.3K contractsWill Kenneth Casner receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election?Yes 96%
Will Kenneth Casner receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election?Yes 85%
Will Kenneth Casner receive at least 23% of the popular vote in the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election?Yes 78%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New Zealand Election: 3rd Place
PM $19.7KWill Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 84%
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 13%
Will ACT New Zealand win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 4.4%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout
K 7.3K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina Senate General Election be above 3400000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina Senate General Election be above 3600000?Yes 95.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in North Carolina Senate General Election be above 3800000?Yes 90%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
SC-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-03 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 34%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-03 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 19.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will India resume the Indus Waters Treaty?
K 7.3K contractsWill India resume the Indus Waters Treaty before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Taichung Mayor Election Winner
PM $19.6KWill Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election?Yes 71.5%
Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election?Yes 28.9%
Will Yang Chiung-ying win the next Taichung Mayor election?Yes 0.2%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?
K 7.3K contractsWill a reconciliation bill passed the Senate before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 27.5%
Will a reconciliation bill passed the Senate before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 4.5%
Will a reconciliation bill passed the Senate before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 1%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Texas Senate and Governor Combo
PM $19.6KWill Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election?Yes 43.5%
Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?Yes 35.5%
Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?Yes 22.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NM-03 House winner?
K 7.2K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for NM-03?Yes 95.4%
Will Republican win the House race for NM-03?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NJ-04 House Election Winner
PM $19.6KWill the Republican Party win the NJ-04 House seat?Yes 97.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-04 House seat?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MO-04 House election: Jordan Herrera vote percent
K 7.2K contractsWill Jordan Herrera receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-04 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Jordan Herrera receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-04 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Jordan Herrera receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-04 House election?Yes 83.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Nothing Ever Happens: October
PM $19.6KNothing Ever Happens: OctoberView outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
VA-05 House election: John McGuire vote percent
K 7.2K contractsWill John McGuire receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-05 House election?Yes 92.5%
Will John McGuire receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-05 House election?Yes 83%
Will John McGuire receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-05 House election?Yes 68.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
VA-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 27.8%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 16.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be the next President of the European Central Bank?
K 7.2K contractsWill Pablo Hernández de Cos be the next President of the European Central Bank before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 37%
Will Klaas Knot be the next President of the European Central Bank before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 32.5%
Will François Villeroy de Galhau be the next President of the European Central Bank before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 6%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-02 House Election Winner
PM $19.5KWill the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat?Yes 84.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-02 House seat?Yes 14.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Oklahoma Attorney General winner?
K 7.2K contractsWill the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Oklahoma?Yes 94%
Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Oklahoma?Yes 4.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Regional Board Chair of Stockholm?
PM $19.5KWill Aida Hadžialić be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm?Yes 67.3%
Will Axel Conradi be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm?Yes 22.2%
Will Msciwoj Swigon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm?Yes 0.6%
+11 more
KalshiPolitics
MI-12 House election: James Hooper vote percent
K 7.2K contractsWill James Hooper receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-12 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will James Hooper receive at least 16% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-12 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will James Hooper receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-12 House election?Yes 90.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-08 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 29%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-08 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-08 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 17.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-21 House winner?
K 7.1K contractsWill Republican win the House race for FL-21?Yes 91.3%
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-21?Yes 8.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 31.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 24%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 17.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
When will Wesley Hunt be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Saudi Arabia?
K 7.1K contractsWill Wesley Hunt be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Saudi Arabia before Jun 1, 2027?Yes 60%
Will Wesley Hunt be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Saudi Arabia before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 49%
Will Wesley Hunt be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Saudi Arabia before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 2.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
PM $19.4KIsraeli election results in a hung parliament?Yes 36%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
SC-01 House election: Nancy Lacore vote percent
K 7.1K contractsWill Nancy Lacore receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-01 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Nancy Lacore receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-01 House election?Yes 82.5%
Will Nancy Lacore receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-01 House election?Yes 71%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 12?
PM $19.4KWill 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?Yes 45.5%
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?Yes 39.5%
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?Yes 14.5%
+3 more