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Politics prediction markets

6,975 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.

Showing 2,929-2,976 of 6,975 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiPolitics
NJ-10 House election: LaMonica McIver vote percent

NJ-10 House election: LaMonica McIver vote percent

K 5.8K contracts
Will LaMonica McIver receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-10 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will LaMonica McIver receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-10 House election?Yes 88.5%
Will LaMonica McIver receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-10 House election?Yes 81.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
ID-01 House Election Margin of Victory

ID-01 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $16.4K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 21%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
PA-12 House election: James Hayes vote percent

PA-12 House election: James Hayes vote percent

K 5.8K contracts
Will James Hayes receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-12 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will James Hayes receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-12 House election?Yes 86.5%
Will James Hayes receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-12 House election?Yes 76.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2026 Reno Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Reno Mayoral Election Winner

PM $16.3K
Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?Yes 89.5%
Will Kathleen Taylor win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?Yes 7.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump order more tariffs in Oct 2026?

Will Trump order more tariffs in Oct 2026?

K 5.8K contracts
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Oct 2026?Yes 26.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Mayor of Pardubice

Next Mayor of Pardubice

PM $16.3K
Will Ondřej Tichý be the next Mayor of Pardubice?Yes 71.5%
Will Jan Nadrchal be the next Mayor of Pardubice?Yes 20%
Will Daniel Vondra be the next Mayor of Pardubice?Yes 1.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?

Will the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?

K 5.8K contracts
Will the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?Yes 4.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IA-02 House Election Margin of Victory

IA-02 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $16.3K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 18%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 17.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 16.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Virginia's 3rd District margin of victory

Virginia's 3rd District margin of victory

K 5.7K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 97%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 96.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 29 percentage points?Yes 96.2%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-18 House Election Margin of Victory

TX-18 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $16.3K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-18 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-18 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 13%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-18 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 12.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
WBC Heavyweight Title on January 1, 2027

WBC Heavyweight Title on January 1, 2027

K 5.7K contracts
Who will hold the WBC Heavyweight Title on January 1, 2027? (Agit Kabayel)Yes 80.5%
Who will hold the WBC Heavyweight Title on January 1, 2027? (Andrii Novitskyi)Yes 47.5%
Who will hold the WBC Heavyweight Title on January 1, 2027? (Joseph Parker)Yes 47.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MN-03 House Election Margin of Victory

MN-03 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $16.3K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 15%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Colorado's 6th District margin of victory

Colorado's 6th District margin of victory

K 5.7K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 6th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?Yes 96.9%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 6th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 93.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 6th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 88.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-08 House Election Margin of Victory

NY-08 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $16.3K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-08 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-08 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-08 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 16.9%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CO-03 House election: Clifton Brown vote percent

CO-03 House election: Clifton Brown vote percent

K 5.7K contracts
Will Clifton Brown receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-03 House election?Yes 67.5%
Will Clifton Brown receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-03 House election?Yes 29.5%
Will Clifton Brown receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-03 House election?Yes 13.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-08 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

GA-08 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

PM $16.3K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-08 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 31.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-08 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-08 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 19%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump approve a new city on federal land?

Will Trump approve a new city on federal land?

K 5.7K contracts
Will Trump approve a new city on federal land before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 35%
Will Trump approve a new city on federal land before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 16%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IN-09 House Election Margin of Victory

IN-09 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $16.3K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-09 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-09 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 20%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-09 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 16.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
MI-04 House winner?

MI-04 House winner?

PM $16.2K · K 32.4K contracts

Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for MI-4?

Related contracts

PM Yes 50.5%Rules differK Yes 50.5%

Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for MI-4?

Related contracts

PM Yes 50%Rules differK Yes 48.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2028 Libertarian Presidential nominee

2028 Libertarian Presidential nominee

K 5.7K contracts
Will Justin Amash be the nominee for the Presidency for the Libertarian party?Yes 29.5%
Will Chase Oliver be the nominee for the Presidency for the Libertarian party?Yes 11.5%
Will Jo Jorgensen be the nominee for the Presidency for the Libertarian party?Yes 7.4%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will Jon Ossoff announce his presidential candidacy?

When will Jon Ossoff announce his presidential candidacy?

K 5.7K contracts
Will Jon Ossoff announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 33.5%
Will Jon Ossoff announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 22.5%
Will Jon Ossoff announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 12%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-09 House Election Margin of Victory

NY-09 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $16.2K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-09 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 37.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-09 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 21%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-09 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Census finalize a rule excluding undocumented immigrants?

Will Census finalize a rule excluding undocumented immigrants?

K 5.7K contracts
Will Census finalize a rule excluding undocumented immigrants?Yes 39%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 27, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Nitra Region Governor Election Winner

Nitra Region Governor Election Winner

PM $16.2K
Will Branislav Becík win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election?Yes 88.3%
Will Henrich Varga win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election?Yes 4.9%
Will Tibor Csenger win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election?Yes 0.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Treg Taylor drop out?

Will Treg Taylor drop out?

K 5.7K contracts
Will Treg Taylor drop out of the 2026 Alaska Governor race before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 13%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NC-13 House Election Winner

NC-13 House Election Winner

PM $16.2K
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?Yes 85.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?Yes 15%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alaska State Senate winner?

Alaska State Senate winner?

K 5.7K contracts
Who will win the Alaska State Senate? (Republican party)Yes 89.5%
Who will win the Alaska State Senate? (Democratic party)Yes 12.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Lauren Boebert resign by...?

Will Lauren Boebert resign by...?

PM $16.2K
Will Lauren Boebert resign by October 31, 2026?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the blue slip process be removed?

Will the blue slip process be removed?

K 5.7K contracts
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Senate Judiciary Committee holds a hearing for, or votes to report, a district-court or U.S.-attorney nomination associated with a state where a sitting home-state senator has not returned an affirmative blue slip before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 39%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Senate Judiciary Committee holds a hearing for, or votes to report, a district-court or U.S.-attorney nomination associated with a state where a sitting home-state senator has not returned an affirmative blue slip before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 30%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Senate Judiciary Committee holds a hearing for, or votes to report, a district-court or U.S.-attorney nomination associated with a state where a sitting home-state senator has not returned an affirmative blue slip before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 13.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
South Dakota Senate Election: Turnout

South Dakota Senate Election: Turnout

PM $16.2K
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be between 350,000 and 375,000?Yes 26%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be between 375,000 and 400,000?Yes 21%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be between 300,000 and 325,000?Yes 17.3%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Colorado's 4th District margin of victory

Colorado's 4th District margin of victory

K 5.7K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Colorado's 4th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 63.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Colorado's 4th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 39.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Colorado's 4th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 29%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-13 House Election Margin of Victory

TX-13 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $16.2K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-13 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 33.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-13 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 32%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-13 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Michigan's 8th District margin of victory

Michigan's 8th District margin of victory

K 5.6K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 2.1%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
KS-01 House Election Margin of Victory

KS-01 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $16.2K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 32%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 22.9%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 21.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
SD-AL House winner?

SD-AL House winner?

K 5.6K contracts
Will Republican win the House race for SD-AL?Yes 96%
Will Democratic win the House race for SD-AL?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TN-01 House Election Margin of Victory

TN-01 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $16.2K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-01 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 32.9%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-01 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 27.9%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-01 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 26%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Midterms: which party wins young men?

Midterms: which party wins young men?

K 5.6K contracts
Will Democrats win young men (18-29) in the exit poll?Yes 85%
Will Republicans win young men (18-29) in the exit poll?Yes 15%
2 mktsNext deadline Feb 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-19 House Election Margin of Victory

FL-19 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $16.1K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 33.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 16.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-12 House election: Wilneida Negron vote percent

NY-12 House election: Wilneida Negron vote percent

K 5.6K contracts
Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?Yes 17.5%
Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?Yes 8.5%
Will Wilneida Negron receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?Yes 6%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Texas Senate Election: Turnout

Texas Senate Election: Turnout

PM $16.1K
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be 11,200,000 or more?Yes 28.7%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,200,000 and 9,600,000?Yes 21.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 10,000,000 and 10,400,000?Yes 13.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CT-05 House election: Jahana Hayes vote percent

CT-05 House election: Jahana Hayes vote percent

K 5.6K contracts
Will Jahana Hayes receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 CT-05 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Jahana Hayes receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 CT-05 House election?Yes 94%
Will Jahana Hayes receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 CT-05 House election?Yes 81.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-16 House Election Margin of Victory

IL-16 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $16.1K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 32%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 21%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 18.8%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alaska Governor General Election: voter turnout

Alaska Governor General Election: voter turnout

K 5.6K contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Alaska Governor General Election be above 240000?Yes 91%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Alaska Governor General Election be above 250000?Yes 85%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Alaska Governor General Election be above 260000?Yes 79%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by...?

Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by...?

PM $16.1K
Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31?Yes 10.5%
Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by October 31?Yes 1.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Oregon's 1st District margin of victory

Oregon's 1st District margin of victory

K 5.6K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 1st District House election be at least 33 percentage points?Yes 94.6%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 1st District House election be at least 36 percentage points?Yes 90.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 1st District House election be at least 39 percentage points?Yes 83.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NC-04 House Election Margin of Victory

NC-04 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $16.1K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 31.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 60% or more?Yes 22.9%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Minnesota Governor election: Amy Klobuchar vote percent

Minnesota Governor election: Amy Klobuchar vote percent

K 5.6K contracts
Will Amy Klobuchar receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election?Yes 94.5%
Will Amy Klobuchar receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election?Yes 90%
Will Amy Klobuchar receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election?Yes 71%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-04 House Election Margin of Victory

NY-04 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $16.1K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 36%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 20%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 19.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC