Politics prediction markets

6,975 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.

Politics Sports Culture Crypto Climate Economics Mentions Companies Financials Tech Science Health World Clear categories

Showing 3,217-3,264 of 6,975 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiPolitics

Will the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for FL-13?

Related contracts

PM Yes 74%Rules differK Yes 76%

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for FL-13?

Related contracts

PM Yes 25.5%Rules differK Yes 25%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum?

K 4.7K contracts

Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum before 2030?Yes 23%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC

KalshiCrypto

Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

K 4.7K contracts

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Bitcoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 13.5%

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Hyperliquid (HYPE) for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 10%

Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Ethereum for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 6%

+4 moreNext deadline Jan 21, 2029 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Alagoas

PM $13.8K

Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?Yes 98.3%

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?Yes 1.8%

2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Will the US restrict access to Kimi in 2026?

K 4.7K contracts

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a binding U.S. federal measure takes effect that generally prohibits or requires federal authorization for private U.S. persons or companies to access, host, or deploy Kimi K3 or a successor Kimi model before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 14%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?

PM $13.8K

Will Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 16.5%

Will Democrats win 12 or more House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 14%

Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 12.8%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Illinois Governor election: Darren Bailey vote percent

K 4.7K contracts

Will Darren Bailey receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?Yes 94.5%

Will Darren Bailey receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?Yes 84%

Will Darren Bailey receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?Yes 65.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 12?

PM $13.7K

Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Yes 44.5%

Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Yes 42%

Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Yes 6.9%

+2 more

KalshiPolitics

Alabama Governor election: Tommy Tuberville vote percent

K 4.7K contracts

Will Tommy Tuberville receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%

Will Tommy Tuberville receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election?Yes 91.5%

Will Tommy Tuberville receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election?Yes 84.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Arkansas Senate Election Margin of Victory

PM $13.6K

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes 33.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes 26%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 5%-10%?Yes 17.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

TN-01 House election: Diana Harshbarger vote percent

K 4.7K contracts

Will Diana Harshbarger receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-01 House election?Yes 95.5%

Will Diana Harshbarger receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-01 House election?Yes 85%

Will Diana Harshbarger receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-01 House election?Yes 63.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

TN-06 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $13.6K

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-06 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 34.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 22%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-06 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 17%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

New Jersey 08 House General Election: voter turnout

K 4.7K contracts

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 08 House General Election be above 60000?Yes 96%

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 08 House General Election be above 75000?Yes 89%

Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 08 House General Election be above 90000?Yes 72%

+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

NH-02 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $13.6K

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 26.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 21.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 21%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

PA-14 House election: Alan Bradstock vote percent

K 4.7K contracts

Will Alan Bradstock receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-14 House election?Yes 95%

Will Alan Bradstock receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-14 House election?Yes 90.5%

Will Alan Bradstock receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-14 House election?Yes 83.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Guelph, ON Mayoral Election Winner

PM $13.6K

Will Leanne Caron win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Yes 51.5%

Will Ken Yee Chew win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Yes 24%

Will Ryan Meunier win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Yes 2.8%

+3 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Rhode Island's 1st District margin of victory

K 4.7K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 1st District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 95.3%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 1st District House election be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 92%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 1st District House election be at least 29 percentage points?Yes 83.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

NJ-12 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $13.6K

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 34.1%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 27%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 19.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

NY-09 House election: Yvette Clarke vote percent

K 4.7K contracts

Will Yvette Clarke receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-09 House election?Yes 96.5%

Will Yvette Clarke receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-09 House election?Yes 95%

Will Yvette Clarke receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-09 House election?Yes 88.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout

PM $13.6K

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000?Yes 39%

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?Yes 38%

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be 1,400,000 or more?Yes 9%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Wisconsin 02 House General Election: voter turnout

K 4.7K contracts

Will the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin 02 House General Election be above 280000?Yes 52%

Will the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin 02 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 51%

Will the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin 02 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 51%

+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

NC-02 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $13.6K

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 22.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 21.7%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 17.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Will Tulsi Gabbard rejoin the Trump administration?

K 4.7K contracts

Will Tulsi Gabbard rejoin the Trump administration before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 25.5%

Will Tulsi Gabbard rejoin the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 11.5%

Will Tulsi Gabbard rejoin the Trump administration before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 4.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

FL-15 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $13.6K

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 30.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 27%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 24.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Spanish general election: margin of victory

K 4.7K contracts

Will the margin of victory for the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election be between 3% and 6%?Yes 24.5%

Will the margin of victory for the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election be between 6% and 9%?Yes 22.5%

Will the margin of victory for the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election be between 0% and 3%?Yes 14.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

AZ-09 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $13.5K

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 36%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 20%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 13.1%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiWorld

When will Canada and the EU begin association talks?

K 4.7K contracts

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Canada and the European Union jointly announce that they have begun, or agreed to begin, formal negotiations toward a new formal association status, including associate membership, a unique alliance, or another equivalent new institutional status before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 50%

3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place

PM $13.5K

Will The Democrats win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 32%

Will Otzma Yehudit win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 21.1%

Will Together win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 18%

+12 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC

Politics prediction markets

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X banned in any European country by December 31?

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Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

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Oregon's 6th District margin of victory

Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner

Simi Valley mayoral election winner?

Idaho Senate Election Margin of Victory

FL-13 House winner?

Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum?

Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Alagoas

Will the US restrict access to Kimi in 2026?

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?

Illinois Governor election: Darren Bailey vote percent

How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 12?

Alabama Governor election: Tommy Tuberville vote percent

Arkansas Senate Election Margin of Victory

TN-01 House election: Diana Harshbarger vote percent

TN-06 House Election Margin of Victory

New Jersey 08 House General Election: voter turnout

NH-02 House Election Margin of Victory

PA-14 House election: Alan Bradstock vote percent

Guelph, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Rhode Island's 1st District margin of victory

NJ-12 House Election Margin of Victory

NY-09 House election: Yvette Clarke vote percent

Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout

Wisconsin 02 House General Election: voter turnout

NC-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Will Tulsi Gabbard rejoin the Trump administration?

FL-15 House Election Margin of Victory

Spanish general election: margin of victory

AZ-09 House Election Margin of Victory

When will Canada and the EU begin association talks?

Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place