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GroupKALSHI

South Dakota Democratic presidential primary winner?

South Dakota Democratic presidential primary winner?
Vol

K 0 contracts

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Events

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Markets

12

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Jon Ossoff at 26%.

Kalshi

  1. Jon Ossoff26%
  2. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez14.5%
  3. Gavin Newsom13.5%
  4. Pete Buttigieg5.9%
  5. Kamala Harris5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 0 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

12

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

SD If X wins the 2028 South Dakota Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Democratic national convention delegates from South Dakota, the earlier one if two allocate the same number. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Related prediction markets

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiPolitics
South Carolina Democratic presidential primary winner?

South Carolina Democratic presidential primary winner?

PM $41.0K · K 9.8K contracts

Will Jon Ossoff win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?

Kalshi: Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 26.5%Rules differK Yes 25.5%

Will Raphael Warnock win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?

Kalshi: Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 16%Rules differK Yes 9.5%

Will Kamala Harris win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?

Kalshi: Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 11.5%Rules differK Yes 11.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

18 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 23, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
North Dakota Democratic presidential primary winner?

North Dakota Democratic presidential primary winner?

K 0 contracts
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 North Dakota Democratic primary?Yes 26%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 North Dakota Democratic primary?Yes 14.5%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 North Dakota Democratic primary?Yes 13.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Dakota Republican presidential primary winner?

South Dakota Republican presidential primary winner?

K 0 contracts
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 South Dakota Republican primary?Yes 33.5%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 South Dakota Republican primary?Yes 19%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 South Dakota Republican primary?Yes 11.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Dakota presidential election winner?

South Dakota presidential election winner?

K 0 contracts
Will the Republican Party win South Dakota in the 2028 presidential election?Yes 95%
Will the Democratic Party win South Dakota in the 2028 presidential election?Yes 5.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?

Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?

K 101.5K contracts
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that New Hampshire holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 83.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Iowa holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 9.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that South Carolina holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 4%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will New Hampshire schedule its 2028 presidential primary before South Carolina?

Will New Hampshire schedule its 2028 presidential primary before South Carolina?

K 3.0K contracts
Will it be reported by New Hampshire Secretary of State that the New Hampshire secretary of state announces a specific date for the 2028 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary that precedes the currently scheduled date for the South Carolina presidential primary before Jan 22, 2028?Yes 86.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 29, 2028 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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