Climate prediction markets
610 climate market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 289-336 of 610 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
Rain in Miami in Nov 2026?
K 1.1K contractsRain in Miami in Nov 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 83%
Rain in Miami in Nov 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 74%
Rain in Miami in Nov 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 70.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Paris on October 20?
PM $4.8KWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 20?Yes 37%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 20?Yes 25.5%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 20?Yes 23.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Newark on Oct 18, 2026?
K 1.1K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 59-60° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 63%
Will the maximum temperature be 61-62° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 24%
Will the maximum temperature be 57-58° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 6.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 19?
PM $4.7KWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 19?Yes 45%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 19?Yes 38.5%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 19?Yes 7.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Houston on Oct 18, 2026?
K 1.1K contractsWill the minimum temperature be 55-56° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 93.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 53-54° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 6%
Will the minimum temperature be 51-52° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest sea level in San Diego this winter?
PM $4.6KWill the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.70 ft MLLW or more?Yes 69.5%
Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.90 ft MLLW or more?Yes 50.5%
Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 8.10 ft MLLW or more?Yes 41%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
When will Killington open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 1.0K contractsWill Killington open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will Killington open before Nov 22, 2026?Yes 94%
Will Killington open before Nov 8, 2026?Yes 63%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 18?
PM $4.6KWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 18?Yes 35%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C or below on October 18?Yes 3.9%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 19, 2026?
K 998.35 contractsWill the maximum temperature be 66-67° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 38.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 68-69° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 23.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 64-65° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 20%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Warsaw on October 20?
PM $4.6KWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 20?Yes 39%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 20?Yes 25.5%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 20?Yes 24%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Atlanta on Oct 18, 2026?
K 994.04 contractsWill the minimum temperature be >47° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 90%
Will the minimum temperature be 46-47° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 11%
Will the minimum temperature be 44-45° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 4.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in October
PM $4.6KWill the peak wind gust in Wellington be 86 to 95 km/h in October?Yes 60.5%
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 96 km/h or above in October?Yes 40%
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 85 km/h or below in October?Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in San Diego on Oct 18, 2026?
K 988.03 contractsWill the maximum temperature be 85-86° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 53.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 83-84° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 37.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 87-88° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 6%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on October 19?
PM $4.5KWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 19?Yes 43.5%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 19?Yes 27.5%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 19?Yes 16.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Washington DC on Oct 18, 2026?
K 979.63 contractsWill the minimum temperature be >40° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 97%
Will the minimum temperature be 39-40° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 3%
Will the minimum temperature be 37-38° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 1.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 20?
PM $4.2KWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on October 20?Yes 28.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on October 20?Yes 27.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 20?Yes 17%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Milwaukee in Oct 2026?
K 927.12 contractsRain in Milwaukee in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 67.5%
Rain in Milwaukee in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 25.5%
Rain in Milwaukee in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 15.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in NYC on October 18?
PM $4.0KWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on October 18?Yes 95.5%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on October 18?Yes 7.5%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on October 18?Yes 4.5%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Oct 18, 2026?
K 861.11 contractsWill the minimum temperature be 58-59° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 56-57° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 3%
Will the minimum temperature be 54-55° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 2%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Mexico City on October 19?
PM $4.0KWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 19?Yes 41%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 19?Yes 27%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 19?Yes 23.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Seattle on Oct 18, 2026?
K 824.16 contractsWill the minimum temperature be 43-44° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 66%
Will the minimum temperature be 41-42° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 17.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 39-40° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 3.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Miami on October 18?
PM $4.0KWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 18?Yes 80%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on October 18?Yes 20%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on October 18?Yes 5.5%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Oct 19, 2026?
K 801.09 contractsWill the maximum temperature be 66-67° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 50.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 64-65° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 29.5%
Will the maximum temperature be >67° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 12.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Singapore on October 20?
PM $3.9KWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 20?Yes 61.5%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 20?Yes 18%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 20?Yes 13.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Oklahoma City on Oct 19, 2026?
K 792.94 contractsWill the maximum temperature be 72-73° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 41.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 70-71° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 35.5%
Will the maximum temperature be >73° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 11%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on October 18?
PM $3.9KWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 18?Yes 54.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 18?Yes 16%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 18?Yes 0.5%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 19, 2026?
K 670.8 contractsWill the maximum temperature be 67-68° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 54.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 69-70° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 24%
Will the maximum temperature be 65-66° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 14%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Wellington on October 20?
PM $3.6KWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 20?Yes 41.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 20?Yes 24.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 20?Yes 24%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 18, 2026?
K 660.43 contractsWill the minimum temperature be 56-57° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 65%
Will the minimum temperature be 54-55° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 25%
Will the minimum temperature be 58-59° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 6%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Jeddah on October 20?
PM $3.5KWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 20?Yes 52.5%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 20?Yes 32%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 20?Yes 13.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in San Diego on Oct 18, 2026?
K 653.76 contractsWill the minimum temperature be 64-65° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 50%
Will the minimum temperature be 62-63° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 36.5%
Will the minimum temperature be <62° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 11.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 20?
PM $3.5KWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 20?Yes 45.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 20?Yes 39%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 20?Yes 8.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Snow in Detroit in Dec 2026?
K 608.67 contractsSnow in Detroit in Dec 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 55.5%
Snow in Detroit in Dec 2026? (Above 8 inches)Yes 51%
Snow in Detroit in Dec 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 50%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
US Tornadoes in September 2026
PM $3.4KWill there be between 50 and 74 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?Yes 84%
Will there be between 25 and 49 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?Yes 17%
Will there be between 75 and 124 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?Yes 10.8%
+2 more
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Louisville on Oct 18, 2026?
K 603.11 contractsWill the maximum temperature be 67-68° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 65%
Will the maximum temperature be 65-66° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 20.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 69-70° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 6.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Qingdao on October 19?
PM $3.4KWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 19?Yes 44.5%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 19?Yes 37%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 19?Yes 12.3%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Snow in Minneapolis in Dec 2026?
K 588.36 contractsSnow in Minneapolis in Dec 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 56%
Snow in Minneapolis in Dec 2026? (Above 8 inches)Yes 53.5%
Snow in Minneapolis in Dec 2026? (Above 24 inches)Yes 48.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Seattle on October 19?
PM $3.4KWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 19?Yes 46.5%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 19?Yes 35%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 19?Yes 12%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Trenton on Oct 18, 2026?
K 583.73 contractsWill the maximum temperature be 58-59° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 78%
Will the maximum temperature be 60-61° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 13.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 56-57° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 3.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Taipei on October 19?
PM $3.3KWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 19?Yes 53%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 19?Yes 37%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 19?Yes 6%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Atlanta on Oct 19, 2026?
K 546.59 contractsWill the maximum temperature be 70-71° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 48%
Will the maximum temperature be 68-69° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 39%
Will the maximum temperature be 72-73° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 8%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Milan on October 20?
PM $3.2KWill the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 20?Yes 32.5%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 20?Yes 31%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 20?Yes 16.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 19, 2026?
K 546.28 contractsWill the maximum temperature be 85-86° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 54.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 87-88° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 34.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 83-84° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 8.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Istanbul on October 19?
PM $3.2KWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 19?Yes 48%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 19?Yes 27%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 19?Yes 19.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Wilfred category?
K 532.64 contractsWill Wilfred become a Category 2 hurricane?Yes 2.5%
Will Wilfred become a Category 1 hurricane?Yes 2.5%
Will Wilfred become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 1%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Karachi on October 19?
PM $3.1KWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 19?Yes 56%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 19?Yes 30.5%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 19?Yes 5.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will a Category 5 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before Dec 1, 2026?
K 500 contractsWill a Category 5 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Chengdu on October 20?
PM $3.1KWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 20?Yes 34.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 20?Yes 25%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 20?Yes 23%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC