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Explore the full Polymarket and Kalshi catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
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Showing 1-48 of 2,143 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics
S&P close price end of 2026?
K 7.80M contractsWill the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 17.5%
Will the S&P 500 be between 8000 and 8199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 16%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7600 and 7799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 14.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomics
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
PM $54.47M · K 10.73M contractsWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Fed cut rates 0 times?
Related contracts
PM Yes 96.9%Rules differK Yes 95.2%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Fed cut rates 1 time?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.1%Rules differK Yes 2%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Fed cut rates 2 times?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.5%Rules differK Yes 0.8%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
12 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomics
Fed decision in Oct 2026?
PM $45.21M · K 12.56M contractsWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2027 meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 86.5%Rules differK Yes 75%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 86.5%Rules differK Yes 86.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2027 meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 13.5%Rules differK Yes 8%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
K 4.81M contractsWill the Nasdaq-100 be above 33000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 10%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 30500 and 30999.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 8.5%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 30000 and 30499.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 8.5%
+27 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Recession this year?
K 3.69M contractsWill there be a recession in 2026?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Largest Company end of December 2026?
PM $8.57MWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 67%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 28.8%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 1.9%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will at least 50% of scheduled flights at JFK be cancelled on October 21, 2026?
K 3.07M contractsWill at least 50% of scheduled passenger and cargo flights at JFK be cancelled October 21, 2026?Yes 0.6%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiClimate
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
PM $8.13M · K 629.3K contractsWill there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Kalshi: Will there be more than 5000 measles cases in 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 98%Rules differK Yes 96.5%
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Kalshi: Will there be more than 6000 measles cases in 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 88.5%Rules differK Yes 83.5%
Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Kalshi: Will there be more than 7000 measles cases in 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 45.5%Rules differK Yes 55.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
K 1.86M contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $4.60 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 45.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.80 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 31.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $5.00 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 24.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PM $6.62MWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 64.5%
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 35.8%
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 0.4%
+9 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed rate cut before 2027?
K 1.51M contractsWill the Federal Reserve cut rates before 2027?Yes 5.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PM $5.79MWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes 83%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes 68%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes 57.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Will the S&P finish positive this year?
K 1.35M contractsWill the S&P 500 be above 6845.5 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 89.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Anthropic IPO by __?
PM $4.96MWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 71.5%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes 66.5%
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes 55.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Picture
K 1.31M contracts2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (The Odyssey)Yes 97.5%
2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (The Black Ball)Yes 94.5%
2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? (Wild Horse Nine)Yes 90%
+50 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Fed Decision in December?
PM $3.90MWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes 74.5%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes 21.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes 2.8%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed decision in Dec 2026?
K 1.25M contractsWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting?Yes 73.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2026 meeting?Yes 21.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2026 meeting?Yes 5%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Fed rate cut by...?
PM $3.80MFed rate cut by July 2027 meeting?Yes 50%
Fed rate cut by June 2027 meeting?Yes 36%
Fed rate cut by April 2027 meeting?Yes 31.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiFinance
Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
PM $3.14M · K 3.55M contractsWill GameStop acquire eBay?
Kalshi: Will GameStop announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 6.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Houston vs Jacksonville: Touchdowns
K 1.13M contractsWoody Marks: 1+ touchdownsYes 41.5%
Bhayshul Tuten: 1+ touchdownsYes 39.5%
Parker Washington: 1+ touchdownsYes 34.5%
+46 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?
K 1.10M contractsWill any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Unusual Machines?Yes 31%
Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Anduril?Yes 24%
Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Neros Technologies?Yes 20.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
PM $2.81MWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?Yes 87.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?Yes 60.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Yes 46.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Avengers: Doomsday: Cast
K 943.7K contractsWill Hugh Jackman perform as Wolverine in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 92%
Will Ryan Reynolds perform as Deadpool in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 90.5%
Will Benedict Cumberbatch perform as Doctor Strange in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 89.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
US recession by end of 2026?
PM $2.32MUS recession by end of 2026?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US gas prices this week
K 854.8K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $4.2800?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2600?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2400?Yes 99.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
PM $2.05MWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,500 by end of December?Yes 49.5%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Yes 13.5%
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?Yes 12.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How high will unemployment get in 2026?
K 809.5K contractsHow high will unemployment get before 2027? (Above 6.5%)Yes 12%
How high will unemployment get before 2027? (Above 5%)Yes 11.8%
How high will unemployment get before 2027? (Above 5.5%)Yes 11.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Mar 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PM $1.91MWill Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 25.5%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes 18.8%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes 18.1%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Carolina vs Philadelphia: Touchdowns
K 808.6K contractsChuba Hubbard: 1+ touchdownsYes 49.5%
Dameon Pierce: 1+ touchdownsYes 34.5%
Tetairoa McMillan: 1+ touchdownsYes 31.5%
+40 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
PM $1.88MWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes 78.2%
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Yes 8.9%
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?Yes 5.3%
+17 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Recession in 2027?
K 701.7K contractsWill there be a recession in 2027?Yes 20%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketFinance
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
PM $1.56MOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Yes 74.3%
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes 70.5%
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Yes 62%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
CPI in October
K 693.7K contractsWill CPI rise more than -0.1% in October 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in October 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in October 2026?Yes 85.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Feb 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How high will inflation get in 2026?
PM $1.49MWill inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Yes 14.5%
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Yes 8%
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?Yes 3.9%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
K 682.7K contractsWill integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during 2026 get above 91,500 MW?Yes 4.5%
Will integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during 2026 get above 92,500 MW?Yes 3.5%
Will integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during 2026 get above 92,000 MW?Yes 3.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
PM $1.48MWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 46%
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 18.5%
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 17.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCulture
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
PM $1.46M · K 2.55M contractsJack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
Kalshi: Will Jack Lowden be the next James Bond?
Related contracts
PM Yes 33%Rules differK Yes 34.5%
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
Kalshi: Will Callum Turner be the next James Bond?
Related contracts
PM Yes 18.6%Rules differK Yes 30.5%
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?
Kalshi: Will Josh O'Connor be the next James Bond?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.4%Rules differK Yes 23.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
19 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Core CPI in October
K 681.8K contractsWill CPI Core rise more than 0.0% in October?Yes 94.5%
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.1% in October?Yes 81.5%
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in October?Yes 48.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 17, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?
K 672.1K contractsWill the Fed cut rates more than 25 bps in 2026?Yes 2.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
PM $1.44M · K 4.51M contractsWill Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Susie WIles leaves Chief of Staff in before 2027?
Needs review
PM Yes 35%Review neededK Yes 35.5%
Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Tom Homan leaves White House Border Czar in before 2027?
Needs review
PM Yes 26%Review neededK Yes 14.5%
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Pete Hegseth leaves Secretary of Defense in before 2027?
Needs review
PM Yes 25.5%Review neededK Yes 23.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
11 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
How high will inflation get this year?
K 564.1K contractsInflation surge in 2026? (At least 4.5%)Yes 21.8%
Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 6.5%)Yes 16%
Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 5.0%)Yes 10.2%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PM $1.30MWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes 64.5%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes 14%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Yes 12%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
CPI YoY in November
K 524.9K contractsWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.1% for the year ending in November 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year ending in November 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in November 2026?Yes 96.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Mar 11, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
New pandemic in 2026?
PM $1.24MNew pandemic in 2026?Yes 4.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
K 522.7K contractsWill Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 80,000 jobs?Yes 97.5%
Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 81,000 jobs?Yes 96.5%
Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 82,000 jobs?Yes 92.5%
+10 moreNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
PM $1.17MWill there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Yes 51%
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes 31%
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes 7.1%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
When will the next US recession start?
K 520.8K contractsWhen will the next U.S. recession start? (Q1 2026)Yes 5.9%
When will the next U.S. recession start? (Q4 2025)Yes 3.6%
When will the next U.S. recession start? (Q2 2025)Yes 1.8%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomics
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
PM $1.10MWill 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes 68.5%
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes 22.5%
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes 10.4%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC