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Politics prediction markets

6,975 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.

Showing 3,361-3,408 of 6,975 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiPolitics
Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Limited Series

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Limited Series

K 4.4K contracts
Will Carey Mulligan be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Limited Series at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 89%
Will Florence Pugh be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Limited Series at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 84.5%
Will Sarah Pidgeon be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Limited Series at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 79.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
South Carolina Senate Election: Turnout

South Carolina Senate Election: Turnout

PM $12.6K
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,800,000 and 2,000,000?Yes 38.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,600,000 and 1,800,000?Yes 36.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?Yes 19.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MI-11 House election: Jeremy Moss vote percent

MI-11 House election: Jeremy Moss vote percent

K 4.4K contracts
Will Jeremy Moss receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-11 House election?Yes 94%
Will Jeremy Moss receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-11 House election?Yes 87.5%
Will Jeremy Moss receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-11 House election?Yes 77.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-06 House Election Margin of Victory

FL-06 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $12.6K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 29%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-06 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 26.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-06 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 21.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
KS-01 House winner?

KS-01 House winner?

K 4.3K contracts
Will Republican win the House race for KS-01?Yes 95.7%
Will Democratic win the House race for KS-01?Yes 3.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-07 House Election Margin of Victory

FL-07 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $12.6K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-07 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 24.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-07 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 18.1%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-07 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 15.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Wisconsin State Senate winner?

Wisconsin State Senate winner?

K 4.3K contracts
Who will win the Wisconsin State Senate? (Democratic party)Yes 82.5%
Who will win the Wisconsin State Senate? (Republican party)Yes 16.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
PA-17 House Election Margin of Victory

PA-17 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $12.6K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-17 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 31%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-17 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 28%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-17 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 23.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Iowa Senate General Election: voter turnout

Iowa Senate General Election: voter turnout

K 4.3K contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Iowa Senate General Election be above 1100000?Yes 94.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Iowa Senate General Election be above 1160000?Yes 90%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Iowa Senate General Election be above 1220000?Yes 82.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Georgia Governor Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Georgia Governor Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

PM $12.6K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes 19.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
KY-01 House winner?

KY-01 House winner?

K 4.3K contracts
Will Republican win the House race for KY-01?Yes 96.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for KY-01?Yes 2.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Mayor of Hradec Králové

Next Mayor of Hradec Králové

PM $12.6K
Will Pavlína Springerová be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?Yes 92.5%
Will Lukáš Fiedler be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?Yes 3.5%
Will Martin Soukup be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?Yes 2.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series

K 4.3K contracts
Will Stephen Root be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 83.5%
Will Harrison Ford be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 70.5%
Will Paul W. Downs be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 70%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CZ # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?

CZ # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?

PM $12.6K
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 96.1%
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 3.4%
Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 0.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
VA-11 House winner?

VA-11 House winner?

K 4.3K contracts
Will Democratic win the House race for VA-11?Yes 97%
Will Republican win the House race for VA-11?Yes 2.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?

How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?

PM $12.5K
Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 63.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 31.5%
Will Democrats win 3 or more House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 5.9%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California Insurance Commissioner winner?

California Insurance Commissioner winner?

K 4.3K contracts
Who will win the 2026 California Insurance Commissioner general election? (Ben Allen)Yes 70.5%
Who will win the 2026 California Insurance Commissioner general election? (Jane Kim)Yes 29.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Anwar Ibrahim out as Prime Minister of Malaysia by...?

Anwar Ibrahim out as Prime Minister of Malaysia by...?

PM $12.5K
Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by December 31, 2026?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-25 House winner?

TX-25 House winner?

K 4.3K contracts
Will Republican win the House race for TX-25?Yes 96.4%
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-25?Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
PA-11 House Election Margin of Victory

PA-11 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $12.5K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-11 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 31%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-11 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 29%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-11 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 22%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Shas win?

Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Shas win?

K 4.3K contracts
Will Shas win above 5 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 95%
Will Shas win above 6 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 89.5%
Will Shas win above 7 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 69%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AZ-05 House Election Margin of Victory

AZ-05 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $12.5K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-05 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-05 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 25%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 19.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MI-13 House election: Donavan McKinney vote percent

MI-13 House election: Donavan McKinney vote percent

K 4.3K contracts
Will Donavan McKinney receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-13 House election?Yes 94%
Will Donavan McKinney receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-13 House election?Yes 88.5%
Will Donavan McKinney receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-13 House election?Yes 76.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-03 House Election Margin of Victory

FL-03 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $12.5K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-03 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 31.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 27%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 25.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arizona State House winner?

Arizona State House winner?

K 4.3K contracts
Who will win the Arizona State House? (Democratic party)Yes 70.5%
Who will win the Arizona State House? (Republican party)Yes 27.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Gambia Presidential Election Winner

Gambia Presidential Election Winner

PM $12.5K
Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?Yes 64.5%
Will Ousainou Darboe win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?Yes 25.5%
Will Essa Faal win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?Yes 5.1%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 5, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
New Hampshire's 1st District margin of victory

New Hampshire's 1st District margin of victory

K 4.3K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New Hampshire's 1st District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 2.6%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AZ-07 House Election Margin of Victory

AZ-07 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $12.5K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-07 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-07 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 24%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-07 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
PA-02 House election: Brendan Boyle vote percent

PA-02 House election: Brendan Boyle vote percent

K 4.3K contracts
Will Brendan Boyle receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-02 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Brendan Boyle receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-02 House election?Yes 95%
Will Brendan Boyle receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-02 House election?Yes 88.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Lienchiang County Magistrate Election Winner

Lienchiang County Magistrate Election Winner

PM $12.5K
Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?Yes 75.5%
Will Tsao Erh-yuan win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?Yes 24.9%
Will Tsao Erh-chang win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?Yes <0.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
When will Russian diesel be imported into the U.S.?

When will Russian diesel be imported into the U.S.?

K 4.3K contracts
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Russian-origin diesel fuel is imported into the United States before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 28.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Russian-origin diesel fuel is imported into the United States before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 18.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Russian-origin diesel fuel is imported into the United States before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 3.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?

Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?

PM $12.4K
Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arizona Governor margin of victory

Arizona Governor margin of victory

K 4.3K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arizona be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 7%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arizona be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 2.8%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arizona be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 2.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Texas Senate Election: Fort Bend County Winner

Texas Senate Election: Fort Bend County Winner

PM $12.3K
Will the Democrats win Fort Bend County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 97.8%
Will the Republicans win Fort Bend County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 1.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 14th District margin of victory

Florida's 14th District margin of victory

K 4.3K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 14th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 60.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 14th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 49%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 14th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 34.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-17 House Election Margin of Victory

TX-17 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $12.3K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-17 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-17 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-17 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 17.6%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
ME-01 House winner?

ME-01 House winner?

K 4.3K contracts
Will Democratic win the House race for ME-01?Yes 96.8%
Will Republican win the House race for ME-01?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-10 House Election Margin of Victory

NY-10 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $12.3K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-10 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-10 House election by 70%-75%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-10 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 15.2%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IL-17 House election: Eric Sorensen vote percent

IL-17 House election: Eric Sorensen vote percent

K 4.3K contracts
Will Eric Sorensen receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-17 House election?Yes 95%
Will Eric Sorensen receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-17 House election?Yes 88%
Will Eric Sorensen receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-17 House election?Yes 75.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner

Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner

PM $12.3K
Will Chen Yu-jen win the next Kinmen County Magistrate election?Yes 95.5%
Will Li Wen-liang win the next Kinmen County Magistrate election?Yes 2.4%
Will Liang Wen-tao win the next Kinmen County Magistrate election?Yes 2.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December

Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December

PM $12.2K · K 16.2K contracts

Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of India hike 1-25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 73%Rules differK Yes 68%

Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of India maintain the current rate at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 14.5%Rules differK Yes 20.5%

Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of India hike more than 25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 10.5%Rules differK Yes 5.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
LA-03 House winner?

LA-03 House winner?

K 4.3K contracts
Will Republican win the House race for LA-03?Yes 96.7%
Will Democratic win the House race for LA-03?Yes 2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the EU adopt a ban on Israeli settlement goods?

Will the EU adopt a ban on Israeli settlement goods?

K 4.3K contracts
Will the Council of the European Union report adoption of an EU ban on Israeli settlement goods before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory

Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory

PM $12.2K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?Yes 23%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes 18%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CO-04 House election: Douglas Mangeris vote percent

CO-04 House election: Douglas Mangeris vote percent

K 4.3K contracts
Will Douglas Mangeris receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-04 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Douglas Mangeris receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-04 House election?Yes 79.5%
Will Douglas Mangeris receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-04 House election?Yes 47.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NC-07 House Election Margin of Victory

NC-07 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $12.2K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-07 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 22.1%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-07 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 17%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-07 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Indiana's 2nd District margin of victory

Indiana's 2nd District margin of victory

K 4.3K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 2nd District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 85%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 2nd District House election be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 72%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 2nd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?Yes 61%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Pennsylvania Governor Election: Turnout

Pennsylvania Governor Election: Turnout

PM $12.2K
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania be between 5,000,000 and 5,500,000?Yes 42.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania be between 4,500,000 and 5,000,000?Yes 27%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania be between 5,500,000 and 6,000,000?Yes 23%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC