Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

How many new housing units will NYC permit in 2026?

Total Volume

$28.93

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Trade on Kalshi

How many new housing units will NYC permit in 2026?

Vol

$28.93

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $28.93

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $28.93

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will the New York City Department of City Planning Housing Database’s citywide count of proposed Class A housing units in New Building jobs, measured by the date of first partial construction permit issuance be above 23000 in 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the New York City Department of City Planning Housing Database’s citywide count of proposed Class A housing units in New Building jobs, measured by the date of first partial construction permit issuance be above 23000 in 2026?	Kalshi	77%
Will the New York City Department of City Planning Housing Database’s citywide count of proposed Class A housing units in New Building jobs, measured by the date of first partial construction permit issuance be above 26000 in 2026?	Kalshi	55%
Will the New York City Department of City Planning Housing Database’s citywide count of proposed Class A housing units in New Building jobs, measured by the date of first partial construction permit issuance be above 29000 in 2026?	Kalshi	26%
Will the New York City Department of City Planning Housing Database’s citywide count of proposed Class A housing units in New Building jobs, measured by the date of first partial construction permit issuance be above 32000 in 2026?	Kalshi	6%
Will the New York City Department of City Planning Housing Database’s citywide count of proposed Class A housing units in New Building jobs, measured by the date of first partial construction permit issuance be above 35000 in 2026?	Kalshi	5%
Will the New York City Department of City Planning Housing Database’s citywide count of proposed Class A housing units in New Building jobs, measured by the date of first partial construction permit issuance be above 38000 in 2026?	Kalshi	5%
Will the New York City Department of City Planning Housing Database’s citywide count of proposed Class A housing units in New Building jobs, measured by the date of first partial construction permit issuance be above 41000 in 2026?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

77%

Top Probability

$28.93

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

in 2026 If the New York City Department of City Planning Housing Database’s citywide count of proposed Class A housing units in New Building jobs, measured by the date of first partial construction permit issuance is above X in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many new housing units will NYC permit in 2026?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** in 2026

If the New York City Department of City Planning Housing Database’s citywide count of proposed Class A housing units in New Building jobs, measured by the date of first partial construction permit issuance is above X in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the New York City Department of City Planning Housing Database’s citywide count of proposed Class A housing units in New Building jobs, measured by the date of first partial construction permit issuance is above 41,000 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $29
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the New York City Department of City Planning Housing Database’s citywide count of proposed Class A housing units in New Building jobs, measured by the date of first partial construction permit issuance be above 41000 in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $3
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the New York City Department of City Planning Housing Database’s citywide count of proposed Class A housing units in New Building jobs, measured by the date of first partial construction permit issuance be above 38000 in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the New York City Department of City Planning Housing Database’s citywide count of proposed Class A housing units in New Building jobs, measured by the date of first partial construction permit issuance be above 35000 in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the New York City Department of City Planning Housing Database’s citywide count of proposed Class A housing units in New Building jobs, measured by the date of first partial construction permit issuance be above 32000 in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the New York City Department of City Planning Housing Database’s citywide count of proposed Class A housing units in New Building jobs, measured by the date of first partial construction permit issuance be above 29000 in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the New York City Department of City Planning Housing Database’s citywide count of proposed Class A housing units in New Building jobs, measured by the date of first partial construction permit issuance be above 26000 in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $25
  DATA: [Yes: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the New York City Department of City Planning Housing Database’s citywide count of proposed Class A housing units in New Building jobs, measured by the date of first partial construction permit issuance be above 23000 in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 77.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics