Politics prediction markets
6,972 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 3,601-3,648 of 6,972 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
MD-07 House election: Scott Collier vote percent
K 3.8K contractsWill Scott Collier receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-07 House election?Yes 98%
Will Scott Collier receive at least 12% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-07 House election?Yes 97%
Will Scott Collier receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-07 House election?Yes 77.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Serbian presidential election called by...?
PM $10.5KWill Serbia call its presidential election by November 30, 2026?Yes 55.2%
Will Serbia call its presidential election by October 31, 2026?Yes 23.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida Senate election: Angie Nixon vote percent
K 3.8K contractsWill Angie Nixon receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Angie Nixon receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Senate election?Yes 96%
Will Angie Nixon receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Senate election?Yes 83.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Louisiana Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 0%-5%?Yes 24.1%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes 24%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 5%-10%?Yes 22%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Florida Senate margin of victory
K 3.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 3.7%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 26%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 25.2%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 16%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TN-07 House election: Darden Copeland vote percent
K 3.8K contractsWill Darden Copeland receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-07 House election?Yes 96%
Will Darden Copeland receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-07 House election?Yes 96%
Will Darden Copeland receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-07 House election?Yes 86%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NM-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 24.3%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 16.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Connecticut's 2nd District margin of victory
K 3.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 2nd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 93.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 2nd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 93.6%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 2nd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 85.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Sault Ste. Marie, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $10.4KWill Matthew Shoemaker win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election?Yes 63%
Will Joel Rowswell win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election?Yes 34.5%
Will Selva Rasaiah win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election?Yes 0.6%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Will China abolish birth limits?
K 3.8K contractsWill People's Republic of China agree to or announce the formal abolition of all nationwide numerical limits on the number of children an individual or couple may have before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 58%
Will People's Republic of China agree to or announce the formal abolition of all nationwide numerical limits on the number of children an individual or couple may have before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 39.5%
Will People's Republic of China agree to or announce the formal abolition of all nationwide numerical limits on the number of children an individual or couple may have before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 26.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New Hampshire Senate and Governor Combo
PM $10.4KWill Republicans win the New Hampshire Governor election and Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate election?Yes 83.5%
Will Republicans sweep the New Hampshire Senate and Governor elections?Yes 11%
Will Democrats sweep the New Hampshire Senate and Governor elections?Yes 3.8%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NC-13 House election: Brad Knott vote percent
K 3.8K contractsWill Brad Knott receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-13 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Brad Knott receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-13 House election?Yes 82.5%
Will Brad Knott receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-13 House election?Yes 66.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many House seats will the Democrats win in New York?
PM $10.4KWill Democrats win exactly 20 House seats in New York in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 33%
Will Democrats win exactly 19 House seats in New York in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 30%
Will Democrats win 21 or more House seats in New York in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 29.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York's 19th District margin of victory
K 3.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 19th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 93.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 19th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 87.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 19th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 78%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Wyoming Senate Election: Turnout
PM $10.4KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 190,000 and 210,000?Yes 30%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 170,000 and 190,000?Yes 22.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be 250,000 or more?Yes 7%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Adam Hamilton outperform the polls?
K 3.8K contractsWill Adam Hamilton outperform the Real Clear Polling average in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas?Yes 38%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Colorado Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election by 30% or more?Yes 27%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election by 20%-25%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes 17%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many ties will J.D. Vance break in 2026?
K 3.8K contractsWill J.D. Vance cast exactly 1 tie-breaking vote in the Senate in 2026?Yes 36%
Will J.D. Vance cast exactly 2 tie-breaking vote in the Senate in 2026?Yes 19.5%
Will J.D. Vance cast exactly 3 tie-breaking vote in the Senate in 2026?Yes 18%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-29 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 24%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 18.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas's 35th District margin of victory
K 3.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 35th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 32%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 35th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 20%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 35th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 9.3%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OR-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 23.1%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 23%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
SC-01 House election: Margo Ellis vote percent
K 3.8K contractsWill Margo Ellis receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-01 House election?Yes 4%
Will Margo Ellis receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-01 House election?Yes 4%
Will Margo Ellis receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-01 House election?Yes 4%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-13 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-13 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-13 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-13 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 23.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
College Football: Top 25 Ranked Teams on Nov 15 AP Poll
K 3.8K contractsWill Notre Dame be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?Yes 96.5%
Will Ohio St. be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?Yes 96%
Will Georgia be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?Yes 95%
+72 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Nevada Governor Election: Washoe County Winner
PM $10.3KWill the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes 68.5%
Will the Republicans win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes 28.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
GA-03 House winner?
K 3.8K contractsWill Republican win the House race for GA-03?Yes 96.7%
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-03?Yes 2.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Sorell Mayoral Election Winner
PM $10.3KWill Janet Gatehouse win the next Sorell mayoral election?Yes 69.5%
Will Kristian Horvath win the next Sorell mayoral election?Yes 21%
Will Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux win the next Sorell mayoral election?Yes 1.2%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Paraguayan Senate election winner?
K 3.8K contractsWho will win the next Paraguayan Senate election? (Colorado)Yes 80.5%
Who will win the next Paraguayan Senate election? (PLRA)Yes 15%
Who will win the next Paraguayan Senate election? (PEN)Yes 2.1%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 30, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Khamenei # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?
PM $10.3KWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 98.4%
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 1.2%
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 0.9%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Colorado's 3rd District margin of victory
K 3.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 3rd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 16.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 3rd District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 6.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-03 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-03 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 23%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 12%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television
K 3.8K contractsWill David Harbour be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 95.5%
Will Charles Melton be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 75%
Will Jason Bateman be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 70%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Minnesota Senate Election: Turnout
PM $10.3KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,750,000 and 2,900,000?Yes 30.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,900,000 and 3,050,000?Yes 29.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,600,000 and 2,750,000?Yes 17.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Patient Zero weeks at #1: 2026
K 3.8K contractsWill Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 5 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Yes 50%
Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 4 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Yes 40.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NJ-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-11 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-11 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 21.6%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-11 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 19.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned?
PM $10.2K · K 7.0K contractsJair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Mar 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 74.5%Rules differK Yes 72%
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Mar 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 61%Rules differK Yes 72%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 24, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Oklahoma Governor election: Cyndi Munson vote percent
K 3.8K contractsWill Cyndi Munson receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Cyndi Munson receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Cyndi Munson receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-22 House election: Casey Askar vote percent
K 3.7K contractsWill Casey Askar receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-22 House election?Yes 87.5%
Will Casey Askar receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-22 House election?Yes 73.5%
Will Casey Askar receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-22 House election?Yes 56.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OR-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 30%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 24.8%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Golden Globe Nominations: Best Television Series - Limited Series
K 3.7K contractsWill East of Eden be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Limited Series at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 98%
Will DTF St. Louis be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Limited Series at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 91%
Will Beef be on the list of nominees for Best Television Series - Limited Series at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 88%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Texas Senate Election: Collin County Winner
PM $10.2KWill the Democrats win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 67.5%
Will the Republicans win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 27.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 15th District margin of victory
K 3.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 15th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 91%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 15th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 82%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 15th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 72.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?
PM $10.2KWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on December 31?Yes 78.5%
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on December 31?Yes 8.5%
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on December 31?Yes 5.7%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Florida Governor: which counties will Byron Donalds win?
K 3.7K contractsWill Byron Donalds win Sarasota County?Yes 91%
Will Byron Donalds win St. Lucie County?Yes 72%
Will Byron Donalds win Miami-Dade County?Yes 28%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Nebraska Senate Election: Turnout
PM $10.1KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 750,000 and 800,000?Yes 36.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 700,000 and 750,000?Yes 31.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be less than 650,000?Yes 13.8%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Minnesota Governor General Election: voter turnout
K 3.7K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Minnesota Governor General Election be above 2100000?Yes 84%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Minnesota Governor General Election be above 2200000?Yes 78%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Minnesota Governor General Election be above 2300000?Yes 71%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Mayor of České Budějovice
PM $10.1KWill Dagmar Škodová Parmová be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?Yes 72%
Will Viktor Lavička be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?Yes 7.5%
Will Ondřej Talíř be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?Yes 2.6%
+4 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC