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Politics prediction markets

6,972 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.

Showing 3,793-3,840 of 6,972 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiPolitics
FL-18 House winner?

FL-18 House winner?

K 3.4K contracts
Will Republican win the House race for FL-18?Yes 93.2%
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-18?Yes 5.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2026 Louisville Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Louisville Mayoral Election Winner

PM $8.2K
Will Craig Greenberg win the 2026 Louisville mayoral election?Yes 94%
Will Shameka Parrish-Wright win the 2026 Louisville mayoral election?Yes 6.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MI-12 House election: Rashida Tlaib vote percent

MI-12 House election: Rashida Tlaib vote percent

K 3.4K contracts
Will Rashida Tlaib receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-12 House election?Yes 96%
Will Rashida Tlaib receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-12 House election?Yes 92.5%
Will Rashida Tlaib receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-12 House election?Yes 80.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo

PM $8.2K
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?Yes 95.7%
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?Yes 4.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
SC-03 House election: Sheri Biggs vote percent

SC-03 House election: Sheri Biggs vote percent

K 3.4K contracts
Will Sheri Biggs receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-03 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Sheri Biggs receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-03 House election?Yes 95%
Will Sheri Biggs receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-03 House election?Yes 88.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-32 House Election Margin of Victory

TX-32 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $8.1K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 20%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 18.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-06 House winner?

TX-06 House winner?

K 3.4K contracts
Will Republican win the House race for TX-06?Yes 98.9%
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-06?Yes 0.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-21 House Election Margin of Victory

NY-21 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $8.1K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series

K 3.3K contracts
Will Kate O’Flynn be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 94.5%
Will Janelle James be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 71%
Will Hannah Einbinder be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 71%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which party will win the Minnesota State Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Minnesota State Senate in 2026?

PM $8.1K
Will the Democratic Party control the Minnesota Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 89%
Will the Republican Party control the Minnesota Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 12%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California 12 House General Election: voter turnout

California 12 House General Election: voter turnout

K 3.3K contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 12 House General Election be above 145000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 12 House General Election be above 155000?Yes 94%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 12 House General Election be above 165000?Yes 93.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Spain General Election: Turnout

Spain General Election: Turnout

PM $8.1K
Will voter turnout be 70% or higher in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 32%
Will voter turnout be between 68% and 70% in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 28.5%
Will voter turnout be between 66% and 68% in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 18.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Next government of the United Kingdom?

Next government of the United Kingdom?

K 3.3K contracts
Will Labour majority form the next government in the United Kingdom?Yes 14%
Will Reform UK majority form the next government in the United Kingdom?Yes 8.5%
Will Reform UK minority form the next government in the United Kingdom?Yes 8.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?

Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?

PM $8.1K
JD Vance Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?Yes 96.8%
Marco Rubio Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?Yes 2.3%
Donald Trump Jr. Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?Yes 0.9%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-38 House election: Jon Bonck vote percent

TX-38 House election: Jon Bonck vote percent

K 3.3K contracts
Will Jon Bonck receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-38 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Jon Bonck receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-38 House election?Yes 79.5%
Will Jon Bonck receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-38 House election?Yes 62.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by...?

Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by...?

PM $8.0K
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?Yes 47.5%
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?Yes 32.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump win his BBC lawsuit?

Will Trump win his BBC lawsuit?

K 3.3K contracts
Will Donald Trump win Donald J. Trump v. British Broadcasting Corporation?Yes 18.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
White House # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?

White House # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?

PM $8.0K
Will White House post 200+ posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 82.5%
Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 12.5%
Will White House post 160-179 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 2%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alaska State House winner?

Alaska State House winner?

K 3.3K contracts
Who will win the Alaska State House? (Republican party)Yes 70.5%
Who will win the Alaska State House? (Democratic party)Yes 26.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Graham Platner divorce by October 31?

Graham Platner divorce by October 31?

PM $7.9K
Graham Platner divorce by October 31?Yes 28.1%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-09 House winner?

NY-09 House winner?

K 3.3K contracts
Will Democratic win the House race for NY-09?Yes 97.5%
Will Republican win the House race for NY-09?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
VA-10 House Election Winner

VA-10 House Election Winner

PM $7.9K
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-10 House seat?Yes 96.4%
Will the Republican Party win the VA-10 House seat?Yes 1.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
AL-05 House election: Dale Strong vote percent

AL-05 House election: Dale Strong vote percent

K 3.3K contracts
Will Dale Strong receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-05 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Dale Strong receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-05 House election?Yes 95%
Will Dale Strong receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-05 House election?Yes 88%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which party will win Latino men in the midterms?

Which party will win Latino men in the midterms?

PM $7.9K
Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms?Yes 85%
Will Republicans win Latino men in the midterms?Yes 13.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois's 16th District margin of victory

Illinois's 16th District margin of victory

K 3.3K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 16th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 92.2%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 16th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 84.8%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 16th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 69.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Devonport Mayoral Election Winner

Devonport Mayoral Election Winner

PM $7.8K
Will Alison Jarman win the next Devonport mayoral election?Yes 63.5%
Will Steve Martin win the next Devonport mayoral election?Yes 26%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
WI-03 House winner?

WI-03 House winner?

PM $7.8K · K 141.2K contracts

Will the Democratic Party win the WI-03 House seat?

Kalshi: Will a Democrat win the House race for WI-3?

Related contracts

PM Yes 74%Rules differK Yes 74.5%

Will the Republican Party win the WI-03 House seat?

Kalshi: Will a Republican win the House race for WI-3?

Related contracts

PM Yes 26%Rules differK Yes 26%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump visit Camp David again?

Will Trump visit Camp David again?

K 3.3K contracts
Will Donald Trump visit Camp David before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 20.5%
Will Donald Trump visit Camp David before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 20.5%
Will Donald Trump visit Camp David before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 19.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MO-02 House election: Ann Wagner vote percent

MO-02 House election: Ann Wagner vote percent

K 3.3K contracts
Will Ann Wagner receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-02 House election?Yes 88.5%
Will Ann Wagner receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-02 House election?Yes 77.5%
Will Ann Wagner receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-02 House election?Yes 60.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

PM $7.8K
Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?Yes 10.4%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the 11th Circuit rule non-intervened False Claims Act qui tam suits unconstitutional?

Will the 11th Circuit rule non-intervened False Claims Act qui tam suits unconstitutional?

K 3.3K contracts
Will United States Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit rule holds that the False Claims Act’s qui tam provisions violate Article II of the Constitution when the United States declines to intervene in the underlying False Claims Act action and the private relator continues the suit?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-14 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

GA-14 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

PM $7.8K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 34%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 33.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 23.9%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

K 3.3K contracts
Will the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections with polling day scheduled and held in 2026 be at least 7 2026?Yes 37.5%
Will the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections with polling day scheduled and held in 2026 be at least 8 2026?Yes 14%
Will the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections with polling day scheduled and held in 2026 be at least 9 2026?Yes 5%
3 mktsNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?

Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?

PM $7.8K
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?Yes 20.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (10/16-10/23)?

Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (10/16-10/23)?

K 3.3K contracts
Above 8.1%Yes 42%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MD-05 House Election Margin of Victory

MD-05 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $7.7K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-05 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 37%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-05 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 26%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-05 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 11.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
College Football: Top 10 Ranked Teams on Final AP Poll

College Football: Top 10 Ranked Teams on Final AP Poll

K 3.3K contracts
Will West Virginia be a top 10 ranked team on the College Football Final AP Poll rankings of the 2026-27 season?Yes 50%
Will Wisconsin be a top 10 ranked team on the College Football Final AP Poll rankings of the 2026-27 season?Yes 50%
Will Washington be a top 10 ranked team on the College Football Final AP Poll rankings of the 2026-27 season?Yes 50%
+72 moreNext deadline Feb 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ebonyi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Ebonyi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

PM $7.7K
Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election?Yes 80%
Will Ifeanyi Chukwuma Odii win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election?Yes 11.9%
Will Splendor Oko Eze win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election?Yes 5.8%
3 mktsNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Oakland Mayor winner?

Oakland Mayor winner?

K 3.3K contracts
Who will win the 2026 Oakland mayoral election? (Barbara Lee)Yes 92.5%
Who will win the 2026 Oakland mayoral election? (Brenda Grisham)Yes 3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Richmond Hill, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Richmond Hill, ON Mayoral Election Winner

PM $7.7K
Will David West win the 2026 Richmond Hill mayoral election?Yes 97.2%
Will Holo Devnani win the 2026 Richmond Hill mayoral election?Yes 2.6%
Will Domenic Bardari win the 2026 Richmond Hill mayoral election?Yes 1.8%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
HI-01 House election: Ed Case vote percent

HI-01 House election: Ed Case vote percent

K 3.3K contracts
Will Ed Case receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-01 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Ed Case receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-01 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Ed Case receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-01 House election?Yes 85.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US plague travel ban on Russia in 2026?

US plague travel ban on Russia in 2026?

PM $7.6K
US plague travel ban on Russia in 2026?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois's 14th District margin of victory

Illinois's 14th District margin of victory

K 3.3K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 14th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 90.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 14th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 82.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 14th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 73%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ohio Secretary of State Election Winner

Ohio Secretary of State Election Winner

PM $7.6K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Secretary of State election?Yes 59.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Secretary of State election?Yes 39%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy?

When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy?

K 3.3K contracts
Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 41%
Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Dec 19, 2026?Yes 30%
Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Nov 21, 2026?Yes 6%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Colima Congress Election Winner

Colima Congress Election Winner

PM $7.6K
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Colima Congress election?Yes 58%
Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Colima Congress election?Yes 6.5%
Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Colima Congress election?Yes 4.7%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Carolina's 1st District margin of victory

South Carolina's 1st District margin of victory

K 3.3K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 65%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 55%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the South Carolina's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 39%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Taraba, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Taraba, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

PM $7.6K
Will Agbu Kefas win the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election?Yes 75%
Will Emmanuel Bwacha win the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election?Yes 22.5%
Will Aboki Stephen Bayonga win the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election?Yes 3.1%
+1 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC