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Politics prediction markets

6,953 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.

Showing 3,985-4,032 of 6,953 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiPolitics
Bank of Thailand rate decision in October

Bank of Thailand rate decision in October

K 3.1K contracts
Will the Bank of Thailand maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 96.5%
Will the Bank of Thailand cut 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 3.5%
Will the Bank of Thailand hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?Yes 2%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Khamenei # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?

Khamenei # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?

PM $5.9K
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 83%
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 10.3%
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
CA-12 House winner?

CA-12 House winner?

PM $5.9K · K 7.8K contracts

Will Lateefah Simon win the CA-12 House seat?

Kalshi: Who will win the 2026 CA-12 House election? (Lateefah Simon)

Related contracts

PM Yes 94.5%Rules differK Yes 96.5%

Will Jamie Joyce win the CA-12 House seat?

Kalshi: Who will win the 2026 CA-12 House election? (Jamie Joyce)

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 2%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MO-07 House election: Missi Hesketh vote percent

MO-07 House election: Missi Hesketh vote percent

K 3.0K contracts
Will Missi Hesketh receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-07 House election?Yes 96%
Will Missi Hesketh receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-07 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Missi Hesketh receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-07 House election?Yes 80%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Fort Bend County Judge winner?

Fort Bend County Judge winner?

K 3.0K contracts
Who will win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge general election? (Dexter McCoy)Yes 83%
Who will win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge general election? (Daniel Wong)Yes 15%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Puebla Congress Election Winner

Puebla Congress Election Winner

PM $5.9K
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?Yes 67.5%
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?Yes 6.3%
Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?Yes 5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arizona's 2nd District margin of victory

Arizona's 2nd District margin of victory

K 3.0K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 72%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 56%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 39.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?

Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?

PM $5.9K
Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?Yes 23%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
British Columbia general election: 3rd place

British Columbia general election: 3rd place

PM $5.9K · K 35.5K contracts

Will Greens win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Kalshi: Will BC Greens finish 3rd in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 94%Rules differK Yes 94%

Will NDP win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Kalshi: Will BC NDP finish 3rd in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.4%Rules differK Yes 2%

Will CentreBC win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Kalshi: Will CentreBC finish 3rd in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.1%Rules differK Yes 1%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Football Passing Interceptions Leader

Pro Football Passing Interceptions Leader

K 3.0K contracts
Will Kirk Cousins lead Pro Football in Passing Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?Yes 40.5%
Will Tyler Shough lead Pro Football in Passing Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?Yes 40%
Will Trevor Lawrence lead Pro Football in Passing Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?Yes 40%
+27 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will New Hampshire schedule its 2028 presidential primary before South Carolina?

Will New Hampshire schedule its 2028 presidential primary before South Carolina?

K 3.0K contracts
Will it be reported by New Hampshire Secretary of State that the New Hampshire secretary of state announces a specific date for the 2028 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary that precedes the currently scheduled date for the South Carolina presidential primary before Jan 22, 2028?Yes 88%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 29, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

PM $5.8K
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes 14.5%
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by October 31, 2026?Yes 5.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Will the US create a national AI regulator?

Will the US create a national AI regulator?

K 3.0K contracts
Will the US commit to a national AI regulator before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 67.5%
Will the US commit to a national AI regulator before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 42.5%
Will the US commit to a national AI regulator before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 15.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IEA asks France to release oil stocks by...?

IEA asks France to release oil stocks by...?

PM $5.8K
Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by December 31?Yes 36.5%
Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by October 31?Yes 22.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
GA-01 House election: Amanda Hollowell vote percent (1st Round)

GA-01 House election: Amanda Hollowell vote percent (1st Round)

K 3.0K contracts
Will Amanda Hollowell receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-01 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Amanda Hollowell receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-01 House election?Yes 94%
Will Amanda Hollowell receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-01 House election?Yes 86%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Sinaloa Congress Election Winner

Sinaloa Congress Election Winner

PM $5.8K
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sinaloa Congress election?Yes 60.5%
Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Sinaloa Congress election?Yes 17.5%
Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Sinaloa Congress election?Yes 5.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will Marco Rubio announce his presidential candidacy?

When will Marco Rubio announce his presidential candidacy?

K 3.0K contracts
Will Marco Rubio announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 48%
Will Marco Rubio announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 42.5%
Will Marco Rubio announce a run for President of the United States before Jun 1, 2027?Yes 30%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Victoria Legislative Council Election Winner

Victoria Legislative Council Election Winner

PM $5.8K
Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?Yes 81%
Will Labor win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?Yes 16.5%
Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?Yes 3.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OH-02 House election: Jennifer Mazzuckelli vote percent

OH-02 House election: Jennifer Mazzuckelli vote percent

K 3.0K contracts
Will Jennifer Mazzuckelli receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 OH-02 House election?Yes 93%
Will Jennifer Mazzuckelli receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 OH-02 House election?Yes 86%
Will Jennifer Mazzuckelli receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 OH-02 House election?Yes 75%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte

PM $5.8K
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?Yes 96.8%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?

Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?

K 3.0K contracts
Will Alice Weidel become Chancellor of Germany following the next German federal election?Yes 44.5%
Will Friedrich Merz become Chancellor of Germany following the next German federal election?Yes 15.5%
Will No one become Chancellor of Germany following the next German federal election?Yes 7.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Aug 26, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Collins flips Jackson for Maine Senate by November 2?

Collins flips Jackson for Maine Senate by November 2?

PM $5.8K
Collins flips Jackson for Maine Senate by November 2?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Virginia's 6th District margin of victory

Virginia's 6th District margin of victory

K 3.0K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 6th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 3.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 6th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 3.2%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 6th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 3%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
State of Mexico Congress Election Winner

State of Mexico Congress Election Winner

PM $5.8K
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election?Yes 78.5%
Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election?Yes 5.5%
Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election?Yes 1.9%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Oregon 01 House General Election: voter turnout

Oregon 01 House General Election: voter turnout

K 3.0K contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Oregon 01 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Oregon 01 House General Election be above 250000?Yes 95%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Oregon 01 House General Election be above 280000?Yes 87%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Michigan Senate Election: Grand Traverse County Winner

Michigan Senate Election: Grand Traverse County Winner

PM $5.7K
Will the Democrats win Grand Traverse County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes 61.5%
Will the Republicans win Grand Traverse County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes 37.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Iowa Senate election: Ashley Hinson vote percent

Iowa Senate election: Ashley Hinson vote percent

K 3.0K contracts
Will Ashley Hinson receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Iowa Senate election?Yes 95.5%
Will Ashley Hinson receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Iowa Senate election?Yes 87%
Will Ashley Hinson receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Iowa Senate election?Yes 65%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Roraima

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Roraima

PM $5.7K
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima?Yes 97.3%
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the independence of the judiciary be weakened during Trump's term?

Will the independence of the judiciary be weakened during Trump's term?

K 3.0K contracts
Will the independence of the judiciary be weakened during Trump's term?Yes 20.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2026 Denton County Judge Election Winner

2026 Denton County Judge Election Winner

PM $5.7K
Will Andy Eads win the 2026 Denton County Judge election?Yes 87.5%
Will Nick Pappas win the 2026 Denton County Judge election?Yes 8.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NC-12 House winner?

NC-12 House winner?

K 3.0K contracts
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-12?Yes 97%
Will Republican win the House race for NC-12?Yes 2.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Chiayi County Magistrate Election Winner

Chiayi County Magistrate Election Winner

PM $5.7K
Will Tsai Yi-yu win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election?Yes 90.5%
Will Wu Pin-jui win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election?Yes 9.5%
Will Tsai Sung-yi win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election?Yes 0.7%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
KS-02 House election: Derek Schmidt vote percent

KS-02 House election: Derek Schmidt vote percent

K 3.0K contracts
Will Derek Schmidt receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 KS-02 House election?Yes 95%
Will Derek Schmidt receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 KS-02 House election?Yes 89%
Will Derek Schmidt receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 KS-02 House election?Yes 76%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Cross River, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Cross River, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

PM $5.7K
Will Otu Bassey Edet win the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election?Yes 80%
Will Arthur Jarvis win the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election?Yes 13%
2 mktsNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Iowa's 4th District margin of victory

Iowa's 4th District margin of victory

K 3.0K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 4th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 95.9%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 4th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 94.9%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 4th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 84%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Tamaulipas Congress Election Winner

Tamaulipas Congress Election Winner

PM $5.7K
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tamaulipas Congress election?Yes 77.5%
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Tamaulipas Congress election?Yes 9.5%
Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Tamaulipas Congress election?Yes 6.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Which ballot measures will pass in Nebraska?

Which ballot measures will pass in Nebraska?

K 3.0K contracts
Will Fairness for Girls Constitutional Amendment pass?Yes 80%
Will Online Sports Wagering Regulation Initiative pass?Yes 66%
Will Online Sports Wagering Authorization Constitutional Amendment pass?Yes 64%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Derwent Valley Mayoral Election Winner

Derwent Valley Mayoral Election Winner

PM $5.7K
Will Michelle Dracoulis win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?Yes 63%
Will Casey Farrell win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?Yes 37%
Will James Randall win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?Yes 3%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will the America Party contest the 2028 U.S. presidential election?

Will the America Party contest the 2028 U.S. presidential election?

K 3.0K contracts
Will a party founded by Elon Musk contest the 2028 U.S. presidential election?Yes 10.4%
1 mktNext deadline Sep 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Goiás

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Goiás

PM $5.7K
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Yes 97%
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Yes 1.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will New York tax QSBS gains?

Will New York tax QSBS gains?

K 3.0K contracts
Will legislation that decouples New York tax law from the federal Qualified Small Business Stock (QSBS) gain exclusion under IRC §1202 become law in New York before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 7.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2?

Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2?

PM $5.7K
Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2?Yes 15%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Montana's 2nd District margin of victory

Montana's 2nd District margin of victory

K 3.0K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana's 2nd District House election be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 92.8%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana's 2nd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?Yes 87.7%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana's 2nd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?Yes 74.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

PM $5.6K
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?Yes 49%
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31?Yes 12.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Iowa Secretary of Agriculture winner?

Iowa Secretary of Agriculture winner?

K 3.0K contracts
Will Chris Jones win the 2026 Iowa Secretary of Agriculture election?Yes 55.5%
Will Mike Naig win the 2026 Iowa Secretary of Agriculture election?Yes 43%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Democratic Senate odds on October 23?

Democratic Senate odds on October 23?

PM $5.6K
Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 23?Yes 44%
Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 23?Yes 32.5%
Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 23?Yes 20.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Utah governor winner? (2028)

Utah governor winner? (2028)

K 3.0K contracts
Will the Republican party win the governorship in UtahYes 87.9%
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in UtahYes 12%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026?

Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026?

PM $5.6K
Will the Democratic Party control the Pennsylvania Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 58%
Will the Republican Party control the Pennsylvania Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 42.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC