Climate prediction markets
597 climate market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 385-432 of 597 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiClimate and Weather
When will Jackson Hole open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 381.46 contractsWill Jackson Hole open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 51.5%
Will Jackson Hole open before Dec 20, 2026?Yes 50.5%
Will Jackson Hole open before Dec 13, 2026?Yes 50%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Chongqing on October 20?
PM $1.8KWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 20?Yes 48%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 20?Yes 28.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 20?Yes 16%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 19, 2026?
K 361.99 contractsWill the minimum temperature be 62-63° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 42.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 64-65° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 41.5%
Will the minimum temperature be >65° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 11.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on October 19?
PM $1.8KWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 19?Yes 35%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 19?Yes 31.5%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 19?Yes 14.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in San Antonio on Oct 19, 2026?
K 360.5 contractsWill the minimum temperature be 53-54° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 38%
Will the minimum temperature be 55-56° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 31%
Will the minimum temperature be >56° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 19%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Jeddah on October 18?
PM $1.7KWill the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on October 18?Yes 50.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 24°C or below on October 18?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 28°C on October 18?Yes 46%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 19, 2026?
K 359.09 contractsWill the minimum temperature be 54-55° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 39%
Will the minimum temperature be 56-57° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 38%
Will the minimum temperature be 52-53° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 13.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Lucknow on October 20?
PM $1.5KWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 20?Yes 62.5%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 20?Yes 19.5%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 20?Yes 13.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in San Francisco in Nov 2026?
K 351.93 contractsRain in San Francisco in Nov 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 50%
Rain in San Francisco in Nov 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 44.5%
Rain in San Francisco in Nov 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 43.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Karachi on October 18?
PM $1.5KWill the lowest temperature in Karachi be 25°C on October 18?Yes 93.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 24°C on October 18?Yes 49%
Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 22°C on October 18?Yes 15%
+8 more
KalshiTech
Rain in Chicago in Nov 2026?
K 345.74 contractsRain in Chicago in Nov 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 85%
Rain in Chicago in Nov 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 76.5%
Rain in Chicago in Nov 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 38.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Helsinki on October 18?
PM $1.5KWill the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 0°C on October 18?Yes 93.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be -1°C on October 18?Yes 49%
Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be -3°C or below on October 18?Yes 9%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Oklahoma City on Oct 19, 2026?
K 338.58 contractsWill the minimum temperature be 44-45° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 35.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 46-47° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 29%
Will the minimum temperature be >47° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 24%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Taipei on October 20?
PM $1.4KWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 20?Yes 39%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on October 20?Yes 27%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 20?Yes 21%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Seattle on Oct 19, 2026?
K 314.4 contractsWill the maximum temperature be 59-60° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 39.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 61-62° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 38.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 63-64° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 10%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Manila on October 20?
PM $1.4KWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 20?Yes 41%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 20?Yes 37.5%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 20?Yes 9.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Miami on Oct 19, 2026?
K 274.28 contractsWill the minimum temperature be 76-77° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 29.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 74-75° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 29%
Will the minimum temperature be >77° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 21%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Cape Town on October 20?
PM $1.3KWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 20?Yes 40.5%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 20?Yes 39.5%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 20?Yes 11.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
How much will it rain in Napa in October 2026?
K 251.76 contractsHow much will it rain in Napa in October 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 56.5%
How much will it rain in Napa in October 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 28.5%
How much will it rain in Napa in October 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 20.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in London on October 20?
PM $1.3KWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?Yes 46.5%
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 20?Yes 41.5%
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 20?Yes 5.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Houston on Oct 19, 2026?
K 243.24 contractsWill the minimum temperature be >58° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 66%
Will the minimum temperature be 57-58° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 22%
Will the minimum temperature be 53-54° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 6.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Wellington on October 19?
PM $1.3KWill the lowest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 19?Yes 50.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 6°C on October 19?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on October 19?Yes 50%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Snow in Denver in Dec 2026?
K 206.23 contractsSnow in Denver in Dec 2026? (Above 8 inches)Yes 69.5%
Snow in Denver in Dec 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 51.5%
Snow in Denver in Dec 2026? (Above 10 inches)Yes 51.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 19 - October 25?
PM $1.2KWill there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 26%
Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 13.5%
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 13%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Trenton on Oct 19, 2026?
K 202.13 contractsWill the maximum temperature be 64-65° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 51%
Will the maximum temperature be 66-67° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 22%
Will the maximum temperature be 62-63° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 22%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 20?
PM $1.2KWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 20?Yes 32%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 20?Yes 26.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 20?Yes 20.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Dallas in Nov 2026?
K 182.06 contractsRain in Dallas in Nov 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 85.5%
Rain in Dallas in Nov 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 79%
Rain in Dallas in Nov 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 75%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on October 18?
PM $1.2KWill the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+1 more
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in San Diego on Oct 19, 2026?
K 159.64 contractsWill the maximum temperature be 80-81° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 51.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 78-79° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 28%
Will the maximum temperature be 82-83° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 12.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on October 19?
PM $1.1KWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 19?Yes 37.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 19?Yes 37.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 19?Yes 27%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 19, 2026?
K 140.39 contractsWill the minimum temperature be 68-69° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 39.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 66-67° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 23.5%
Will the minimum temperature be >69° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 23%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Paris on October 19?
PM $1.1KWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on October 19?Yes 46.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on October 19?Yes 30.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 19?Yes 19%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Houston in Nov 2026?
K 138.09 contractsRain in Houston in Nov 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 80%
Rain in Houston in Nov 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 79.5%
Rain in Houston in Nov 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 62%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Beijing on October 19?
PM $1.1KWill the lowest temperature in Beijing be 2°C or below on October 19?Yes 49.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 3°C on October 19?Yes 47.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 4°C on October 19?Yes 47.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
When will Snowbasin open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 135 contractsWill Snowbasin open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 55%
Will Snowbasin open before Dec 13, 2026?Yes 50.5%
Will Snowbasin open before Dec 20, 2026?Yes 50%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Helsinki on October 20?
PM $1.0KWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 20?Yes 48.5%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 20?Yes 30%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 20?Yes 12.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Sally category?
K 133 contractsWill Sally become a Category 1 hurricane?Yes 14.5%
Will Sally become a Category 2 hurricane?Yes 9%
Will Sally become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 4.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on October 18?
PM $878.14Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 7°C on October 18?Yes 93.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 6°C on October 18?Yes 49%
Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 3°C on October 18?Yes 11%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Atlanta on Oct 19, 2026?
K 120.37 contractsWill the minimum temperature be 45-46° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 46%
Will the minimum temperature be 43-44° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 28%
Will the minimum temperature be >46° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 23%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Moscow on October 20?
PM $838.94Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 20?Yes 38%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 20?Yes 35%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on October 20?Yes 18.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 19, 2026?
K 88.43 contractsWill the minimum temperature be 42-43° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 39%
Will the minimum temperature be 44-45° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 37.5%
Will the minimum temperature be >45° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 14%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Madrid on October 18?
PM $835.66Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 9°C on October 18?Yes 51%
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 10°C on October 18?Yes 50.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 8°C on October 18?Yes 47%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Josephine category?
K 85.57 contractsWill Josephine become a Category 5 hurricane?Yes 50%
Will Josephine become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 50%
Will Josephine become a Category 2 hurricane?Yes 50%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Dallas on October 20?
PM $830.12Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 20?Yes 46.5%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 20?Yes 19.5%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 20?Yes 15.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Vicky category?
K 81 contractsWill Vicky become a Category 2 hurricane?Yes 49.5%
Will Vicky become a Category 5 hurricane?Yes 26%
Will Vicky become a Category 4 hurricane?Yes 26%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Seattle on October 18?
PM $826.42Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on October 18?Yes 96.4%
Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on October 18?Yes 49%
Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 38-39°F on October 18?Yes 4.5%
+8 more
KalshiTech
Rain in Seattle in Nov 2026?
K 75.86 contractsRain in Seattle in Nov 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 79.5%
Rain in Seattle in Nov 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 79.5%
Rain in Seattle in Nov 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 73.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Seattle on October 20?
PM $786.14Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 20?Yes 44.5%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 20?Yes 32%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 20?Yes 11.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC