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Will the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment be above 10 from February 2026 to February 2027?

Yes 84.5%

Vol640.7 contracts

SnapshotOct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

Yes 84.5%

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Event

MarketKALSHIactive

MarketKALSHIactiveOther

Will the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment be above 10 from February 2026 to February 2027?

Part of: How much will ACA Marketplace enrollment decline in 2027?

YesYes Price

84.5¢

VolTotal Volume

640.7 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Sep 29, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC

Trade on Kalshi

Will the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment be above 10 from February 2026 to February 2027?

Yes

84.5¢

Vol

640.7 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes84.5¢

No15.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 84.5%. Snapshot Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment be above 10 from February 2026 to February 2027? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Sep 29, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment is above 10% from February 2026 to February 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percent decline equals 100 × (February 2026 enrollment − February 2027 enrollment) ÷ February 2026 enrollment, based on the exact figures reported under CMS’s nationwide “All” Marketplace category, or its equivalent aggregate combining HealthCare.gov and state-based Marketplaces, in CMS’s first official or non-preliminary release containing February 2027 data. Nationwide includes the 50 states and Washington, D.C.

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Resolution Info