BackKKALSHI

Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? (Alibaba)

Yes 19.0%

Vol1.4K contracts

SnapshotOct 16, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

Yes 19.0%

TradeTrade on Kalshi

Event

MarketKALSHIactive

MarketKALSHIactiveTech

Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? (Alibaba)

Part of: Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?

YesYes Price

19.0¢

VolTotal Volume

1.4K contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 31, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC

Trade on Kalshi

Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? (Alibaba)

Yes

19.0¢

Vol

1.4K contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes19.0¢

No81.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 19.0%. Snapshot Oct 16, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? (Alibaba) · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 31, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If Alibaba has a model on the Pareto frontier of Artificial Analysis's Intelligence Index vs. Cost per Intelligence Index Task chart on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolves at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2026, using the chart on artificialanalysis.ai with the Pareto line shown. A model counts for the creator Artificial Analysis lists for it. A model is on the frontier if the chart's Pareto line passes through it: no other plotted model has an Intelligence Index at least as high and a Cost per Task at least as low, both unrounded, with one of the two strictly better; models with identical values are both on it. A model without a positive Cost per Task is not plotted and cannot be on the frontier.

Read this contract on Kalshi

Resolution Info