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What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 15, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.8)

Yes 5.0%

Vol190.49 contracts

SnapshotOct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC

Yes 5.0%

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Event

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What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 15, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.8)

Part of: What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 15, 2026?

YesYes Price

5.0¢

VolTotal Volume

190.49 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 14, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

Trade on Kalshi

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 15, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.8)

Yes

5.0¢

Vol

190.49 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes5.0¢

No95.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 5.0%. Snapshot Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 15, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.8) · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 14, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 15, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

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Resolution Info