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Will Bitcoin be below $40000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?

Yes 4.5%

Vol1.39M contracts

SnapshotOct 21, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

Yes 4.5%

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Event

MarketKALSHIactive

MarketKALSHIactiveCrypto

Will Bitcoin be below $40000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?

Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

YesYes Price

4.5¢

VolTotal Volume

1.39M contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 31, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC

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Will Bitcoin be below $40000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?

Yes

4.5¢

Vol

1.39M contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes4.5¢

No95.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 4.5%. Snapshot Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Bitcoin be below $40000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 31, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is below $40000.00 starting Feb 5, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if Bitcoin crosses the specified price threshold.

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Resolution Info